Edit: I wasn't 100% exact. It gives you more [1] than easily mining blocks, but still not that much power so that I would call it "Winning".
[1] https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Weaknesses#Attacker_has_a_lot_of_...
1) Attacker starts mining a fork offline (ie. doesn't publish blocks)
2) Attacker sends payment to merchant but does not include payment in fork in (1)
3) Attacker waits 6 confirmations then receives goods.
4) Attacker double spends the money in the fork (1).
5) Attacker releases fork when it is longer than the main chain.
If they have greater than 51% they will always be able to do (5) because at some point they'll be longer than the main chain. It doesn't matter how many confirmations the merchant waits for.
Not saying that the bitcoin blockchain or protocol suffers from this, but implementation and protocol flaws are often a far more fruitful source of compromises. If BTC has none of those then colour me impressed because at some point or other most of the big name systems (OpenSSH and OpenSSL spring to mind) have had revisions for various exploit-related reasons. We won't know for some years of course.