I'd love for a third viable option to pop up, but for the same reasons as iOS, Windows Phone is out. FirefoxOS seems not quite ready at this point, and until proven otherwise I will consider Tizen vaporware.
That pretty much leaves us with Android. While owned by Google is at least open-source. If you go super-paranoid you can always make/get builds not integrating with Google's services in any way.
Does anyone have any experience with making opens-source solutions for things like email, calendering and contact-management integrate nicely with Android?