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Team matters so much more than anything else. You can apply lean startup perfectly and have a team that just can't execute.

I am wary of methodology driven startups vs a great team tackling a general idea/market.

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It is a mix of many things, a good team is a prerequisite for building a successful business. You need a good idea / product / service, a good implementation, communication, money, contacts, attention, and many more. But all this things have one thing in common: hard work of the founder(s).

We can always speculate why one business fail and another win, i think it depend only on the founder and their decisions (right time, right place).

I am wary of methodology driven startups vs a great team tackling a general idea/market.

Those aren't mutually exclusive. How about a great team, employing a great methodology, pursuing a general idea?

Perfection is always ideal, but if you find a great team player who just doesn't believe in your methodology, which do you pick?

If they're a "great team player" they don't have to believe in the methodology, but they have to agree to work within it. Unless, that is, they can sell me on a different approach.

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