Pseudoscience and environmentalists
ttgnet.com
ttgnet.com
The author correctly points out that it's unethical to perform controlled experiments with suspected toxins. However, his response seems to be to give up any attempt to gather evidence (short of watching for massive die-offs of fish). For instance, he complains about the impossibility of conducting experiments to learn about arsenic poisoning, and concludes that one therefore cannot "obtain valid data" about the effects of arsenic.
To make this argument, he mis-characterizes the Bayesian position as, effectively, "perform controlled experiments." He evidently never heard of epidemiology, which attempts to make sense, statistically, of all the millions of experiments that nature and chance play on people all the time (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology).
While epidemiological evidence does, in fact, require careful analysis, ultimately one can back out valid inferences, given enough data. Sadly in the case of arsenic there are no end of data, provided by people drinking from contaminated wells.
The author starts with a rant about the local weather show. It quickly switches gears, accusing environmentalists of making 'correlation implies causation' logical fallacies. I don't mean to defend environmentalists, because I often agree that they make this fallacy. Unfortunately, the author offers no single point of evidence to back his claim. If he could cite just one case of an environmentalist making this fallacy (c'mon, there's got to be one, right?), then I'd take the article more seriously.
the article concludes: "[environmentalists] have contempt for science. Nor are they concerned about human wellbeing or even the environment itself. Environmentalism is not a scientific movement; it's a political movement. Environmentalists hate capitalism. Their goal is to destroy capitalism and all of its benefits. They'd like to see all of us living in mud huts and starving to death before we could have more children."
I've also met a fair number of environmentalists who are environmental scientists. They actually go to the trouble of doing exactly the research that this author claims that they don't, but they also go quite a bit farther; the author's cop-out 80/20 rule fails on a number of levels, one big one being that the stuff accumulates. One example is mercury; once that's in the water, it's there. Fish absorb it through vegetation, and then predation. They can't get rid of it naturally, so it just accumulates in their bodies. As the upper-level predators like salmon and tuna feed, they ingest more mercury, and since they can't get rid of it, the amount in their bodies accumulates.
The pseudo-science this author puts forth ignores that sort of actual science.
There's not much in that article that's worth taking seriously.
That said, there ARE environmentalists who don't have a clue about science and hide behind lots of rhetoric. They probably don't understand the science, and don't want to admit it. They're not an asset to the cause, unfortunately.
Fortunately, in spite of their noise, they're actually doing some good simply by generating awareness that the issues exist, and they're not clever enough to get in the way of the folks who are actually trying to DO things to address environmental issues that matter.
I'm not serious of course, but the idea that people could seriously think either of these things is the same kind of black and white logic that leads to everything wrong with the world.
I guess there are no "capitalists" (whatever that means) that care about the environment?
I freely acknowledge that whether we should try to avoid global warming is not a scientific question, it's a question of self-preservation and moral values. Whether we should avoid arsenic in the water because people get sick from it is also a moral question, not a scientific one. To claim that this means research on whether arsenic makes people sick is not science is ridiculous.