I doubt it. Culture is key. Being in the right place at the right time, having a network of folks interested in your welfare, etc is key.

Think of it this way -- how many smart people from school or childhood do you know who didn't amount to much, despite the raw ability to achieve. Now think about your work life -- how many times have worked for or witnessed a blithering idiot in charge of thing at your job or a customers org?

Culture matters.