After a majority of the nodes have seen a transaction it becomes relatively safe to accept it as valid before 6 confirmations. You wouldn't want to do that for high value transactions, but I think it's fine up to a couple BTC (read: $1000 or less).
The Mycelium wallet implements transaction confidence: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1xqh51/new_mycelium... and http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/2014/02/13/the-mathematically...
Mycelium's "transaction confidence" feature is well intentioned but it is a disaster waiting to happen.
It also looks like most 'Square Market' purchases take more than an hour to deliver/ship... so the payment validity will be known before a hypothetical fraudster benefits.
What would this even look like? is anyone doing 'specialized mining' like this, where particular hashing nodes are being used for preferential transactions?
How do you know they're not getting 6 confirmations? They could just give you a confirmation screen, wait for 6 confirmations, then cancel the order in the rare event that it fails.
In a zero confirmation scenario you could send the transaction to all the big mining pools and wait till they see and validate it which could take just a few seconds. This way it becomes incredibly hard, even with zero confirmations, for an attacker to get her double-spend mined because the big pools saw your tnx first.
For large sums of money of course it's safer to wait for many confirmations, but for $30-40, the risk is relative.
Edit: yep, see https://www.squaremarket.com/about, this is not the US payment company most people on HN would call 'square' but an auction site started by Oxford grads.
I think people don't realize I'm responding to the parent, which stated:
> How is Square/Stripe getting around the issue that most exchanges wait for 6 confirmations before a transaction is accepted?
Square isn't doing anything with Bitcoin. SquareUp is.
Square's website is squareup.com, and their Square Market product is now accepting Bitcoin. See squareup.com/sell-online for reference.
https://www.squaremarket.com/about <- Ghetto-ass Bootstrap site made by Oxford grads, using weird concept of 'squares' that you buy to win the auction. No mention of any relation to 'square' of 'square device iPhone POS' fame.
https://squareup.com/market <- What most people would call 'Square'.
Looks like you're right, I have no idea where 'https://www.squaremarket.com/about' came from. It looks like they have a product with the same name and something got confused somewhere.