Want to spot the next bubble? Look at where Harvard grads work.
m.washingtonpost.com
m.washingtonpost.com
Link to the data.
And partly because tech looks just as, if not more, lucrative.
i'd think the bubble blown will be smaller due to VCs and Angels having learnt their lessons over the past decades - while not terribly smaller on account of New Angels and Corporate Venture Funds clamoring aboard.
of course, there are more tech hubs globally too siphoning off some of the previous "bay area tech bubble" effect...
i believe it's a smaller bubble, but nevertheless a rekindled one. many folks have gold miner fever out here...
ken, incubation hub
A lot of bubbles get really bad when things get so frothy that people without sufficient background jump in. E.g. the 1929 stock market crash and junk bonds in the '80s ... although there was also government action involved in both of those.
The tech eco system itself is one thing, and largely populated by people who can afford a bit of a hit. But nowadays, everything is priced and organized around ever more millionaires being minted in tech every day, and the spending these generate. Take even some of that away, say by making money less artificially cheap, and there is potential for plenty of pain and dislocation across the area.
Much like Finance in NYC, the tech boom/bubble is driving costs so high in the Bay Area, that the only remaining jobs are either in tech, or jobs providing highly paid, localized and personalized services to tech workers able to afford paying thousands to have their toenails clipped, lips kissed and walls decorated with Van Goghs. Leaving those providing the latter, highly vulnerable to any slowdown in the increasingly monocultural spigot from which almost all funds here now flow.
CEOs like consulting (primarily big name) because if it fails, they can say they got the best.
The tech sector employment has more than doubled since 2006 while the other sectors are roughly flat or, in the case of Finance, falling.
Small companies that have $0 revenue (much less profit) getting bought for billions smells like a pyramid scheme to me. At best, it's creating value where none exist, just like the market crash where people were bundling bundles of bundles of debt. Here, companies are selling potential for potential for possible revenue.
Don't have a viable business model? Just get $200M in investment and figure it out in a few years. Problem solved!