I can't say much about the intricacies of how economies are managed, because I don't know much about that. But there are a few trends happening today that are unique in human history.
For one, we've entered an age where the economies of most of the countries in the world have become interconnected to some extent. Just 100 years ago, this wasn't the case. The mismanagement of an economy in one country can have serious repercussions in other countries now; I think it's inevitable that we'll see a world economic governing body develop. This sort of already de facto exists, but if it doesn't meet the needs of the lower and middle classes, it's going to become more political.
For another, we have begun to impose some serious limits on our resource demands. In the past, one way to combat a sluggish economy was to get bigger; if you had the money, you might try to establish a colony somewhere, grow your territory, or put more natural resources to work in the form of industry. But now, we've seen the effects of that on our natural environment and mostly collectively decided to limit our use of resources. Now, the name of the game is greater and greater efficiency, doing more with less, consuming less.
Meanwhile, a common trend around the world, and especially in the "west" (incl. Europe and Australia and the usual suspects), is that people want more leisure time. Workers are tired. The economy has been particularly hard on the lower socioeconomic classes, and they can get burnt out just like anybody else. They largely have crap jobs -- "bullshit jobs" as one economist puts it -- they can't expect loyalty from their company so they aren't loyal to it either, and they don't make enough money to get to enjoy the perks of life that, thanks to a massive global communications system, they get to see everyone else enjoying. You can't go to the store anymore without seeing a travel magazine with a beautiful front cover staring you in the face.
So, I don't think most people are looking to work more. In fact, I think that if it were possible for a lot of people, down to the poorest classes, to give up just a little bit more to be able to gain more real leisure time, they'd do it.
Simultaneously, production technology keeps getting better and better, so we can have more and more stuff for less and less money.
And, there's a massively adversarial relationship now between the worker classes and the wealthier classes. I think a lot of people intuitively recognize a lot of this, and they feel like the only thing keeping them from having the life they want is unfairly low wages mostly set by people who have a lot more money.
There's always political unrest somewhere in the world; I think a lot of it in the west is going to focus on economic issues. People are going to keep agitating to get their basic needs met, so that they're less reliant on jobs that they feel are both demeaning and fundamentally unfair. As hard as it may be to believe, especially if you rarely leave the Silicon Valley scene, I think we're going to see more of a movement towards spending less on material goods. I think the developing world is where almost all of the economic growth will be for a while, and I think the economies in the developed world are going to continue to be sluggish until there's a big breakthrough in either energy (e.g. fusion) or exploration (Mars).
I also think there's a possibility this could all lead to an amazing modern Renaissance. Never before in history have so many people been so close to having as much free time as they desire to create, build, or learn about anything they want; we truly have no idea what kind of art, engineering, or science might come from that.
Unfortunately, until a new social contract is developed between the economic classes, the poor are going to have a very hard time of it.
I don't blame you because this is the kind of conventional trope that everybody parrots and just feels right, but economic historians agree on that the extent of globalization 100 years ago was in fact just as high as it is today in many respects --and in some respects such as labor mobility, it was even higher then [1,2].
In fact, it was only after the collapse of the transoceanic European colonies after the wars that nationalism and the Great Depression gave rise to isolationism and trade protectionism as the natural state of affairs; only to be gradually re-dismantled towards the end of the twentieth century. But if you think about it, the technical and institutional elements of globalization --efficient mechanized shipping, industrialized commodities production/extraction, global electronic communications, settling/clearing institutions-- were all there then.
[1] http://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/users/rauch/misc/globalizati...
You're right to point out that all (edit: many) of the pieces of globalization were well in place by 1915, but the number of countries involved now, and the extent to which they're involved, is quite a bit different. Political conflicts between countries are now as likely to be handled economically as by any other means.
I thought my comment was already way too long, so I didn't explain what I meant.
I'm a little confused though: in the beginning of the paper, it seems to be supporting some of my thesis, that the modern global economy is more interconnected than it has been at any recent point in history. e.g., "We conclude that our world is different: commercial and financial integration before World War I was more limited. ...integration is deeper and broader than a hundred years ago."
...maybe they go on to refine that point in a way that refutes me. I'll keep reading.
"While presenting a good deal of detail, we have sought in this paper to emphasize a small number of general points. First, the globalization of commodity and financial markets is historically unprecedented. Facile comparisons with the late nineteenth century notwithstanding, the international integration of capital and commodity markets goes further and runs deeper than ever before."
Thank you for pointing this out! I stand corrected.
(Recycling also plays a part, though I don't know if it should be considered increasing the supply, or increasing our efficiency)
The only one that is a real problem is energy. Thanks to the laws of physics, we may not be able to forever increase our energy efficiency, and energy cannot be recycled.
The very long term outlook is positive; the short-term outlook is dismal. The global elite and the middle class have been at war and the latter is losing.
Things are getting better across the board, but that narrative won't sell. Doom sells.