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Theoretically, since UBER support 6-passenger vans(UBERXL), they could offer almost half the price of lyft, on the right rides.

Assuming people accept this, van availability would be a critical component of the competition in this field.

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Lyft has "Plus" which as far as I can tell is very similar - http://get.lyft.com/plus/ (both services are mid-sized SUV's, not vans, and claim to seat 6)

Lyft Plus is more or less a novelty and doesn't match UberXL in terms of availability. In Seattle you can get an UberXL very easily while Lyft Plus is nowhere to be found.

I wouldn't base anything off one geographic area. I just checked in SF, and Lyft Plus has 4 drivers in my area (SOMA), whereas Uber XL only had 3.

I could say the same to you! SF is not representative of Lyft's service in the rest of the US at all, being the location of the headquarters. Same for Uber in SF.

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