> Objectively Russia may have nothing to gain from short military intrusions into neighboring countries
The entire idea of "objective gain" (and "Russia" as a unit that could have gain) is sometimes-useful but often misleading convenient fiction. All gain (in the sense that it motivates action) is grounded in subjective utility, and so is not objective, and, further, is the gain of individual actors for which larger entities (e.g., states) are potentially-misleading aggregate units of analysis.
Its not a matter of whether Russia has something objectively to gain from short military incursion, but whether Russian decision-makers feel that they have subjective utility tied to decisions which produce such incursions.