[edit; whoops you were talking about the format and I was talking about the material. Oh well, hopefully this is not too out of place.]

It could be made much more approachable by removing the math entirely. If you learned programming before algebra you might have solved it like this:

    from random import random
    from collections import defaultdict
    
    tally = defaultdict(int)
    for i in range(100000):
        thief = ['raccoon', 'fox'][random() < 0.3]
        bear = ['false', 'true'][random() < 0.8]
        hair = ['raccoon', 'fox'][random() < 0.3333333]
        if thief == 'raccoon' and bear == 'true':
            continue
        if thief == 'fox' and bear == 'false':
            continue
        if thief != hair:
            continue
        tally[thief] += 1
    
    print(sorted(tally.items()))

While crude it does give the correct answer, to within 1% or so.