Nobody is ever required to prove a negative. That's not how logic works.
So my point being, when your adversaries are nations, there usually isn't going to be "evidence" that your comms were decrypted, at least not until you're indicted. You're right: that doesn't mean it didn't happen.
I don't think anything interesting happened with Truecrypt, though.
Besides, "anyone with a laptop" hasn't been "hoovering up all the raw Internet traffic", and frankly the NSA hasn't been either.
Again, there's wild speculation, but there's no evidence. Again though, here you are preaching the fear and the wild speculation.
1. Stipulate that NSA is hoovering up all of Internet traffic, that being the motivating reason why people want encrypted messaging tools.
2. Cryptocat hosted egregious cryptographic errors for several years.
3. Those errors made it trivial for NSA, given a pcap file containing Cryptocat traffic such as would be generated by a Narus box, to decrypt and read Cryptocat messages.
4. Greenwald and Snowden used Cryptocat during this window of time.
5. Even if NSA didn't care about Cryptocat, Snowden, or Greenwald in June 2013, the vulnerabilities we're talking about allow them to retroactively decrypt those messages today, now that it's obvious that those messages were worth reading. We aren't talking about flaws that would let NSA MITM Cryptocat; we're talking about the worst possible vulnerability in a cryptosystem: retroactive arbitrary message decryption.
Which of these assertions to you dispute? We can go into lots more detail. I'm pretty familiar with Cryptocat's code[1], and I'd consider Steve Thomas a friend, in that he's been to my house a couple times and I gave a Black Hat presentation with him which in part involved Cryptocat.
[1]: 31580544b27c10736ebe1bdd05a56d96c486823d563d4493c317548976c3d8db --- I had to write my own CC client to get this, which is 2 hours of my life I'm never getting back :)
I think your source of confusion is related to the association you may have in your mind between me and Cryptocat, though in actuality there is literally none. In my previous comment I was referring to TrueCrypt, not Cryptocat.
As for your citation, what's that for?
Later: sorry, I missed the other question you had; here's an answer:
https://hn.algolia.com/?query=author:diminoten%20cryptocat&s...
If I gave you/anyone a TrueCrypt volume, could you/anyone crack it? No? Then stop trashing it. It's that simple.
Edit: I'd just like to say I'm glad you're developing a sense of humor regarding our conversations. I was worried you were a robot.