The example you give seems to me to oversimplify the issue of complex interconnections between data points, as if the traffic on a real website came from one set of referrals, while in reality its much more complex, with referrers inducing other referrers and a variety of campaigns, postings, etc. influencing each other, and over time, overlaid in a fairly complex pattern. In other words, a bunch of interrelated data, very little of which is actually independent of other items.
I'm not really asking for an explanation of this in the comment thread here; what I'd like to know is, if there are any studies or other publications that deal with the issue of how to evaluate tests run on interconnected data of this kind.