Are Desktop Computers Dying?
paulstamatiou.com
paulstamatiou.com
The overall market for the desktop form factor is shrinking. As chips get smaller, we can put it in different form factors. Laptops take over for some balance between power and mobility. Mobile phones take over for the quick-whip-it-out kinda computing. Very specific computing tasks will end up in what we might call internet appliances, like an Ambient Orb or a Nabaztag. Even everyday tasks like emailing or web browsing might end up on Jack-PC thin clients.
That said, desktops have some advantages over other forms of computing--some off the top of my head are dual/triple screens, faster CPU/price. And if you want to do crazy hardware things like overclocking with some crazy cooling schemes, you'd probably do it with a desktop. Applications like photo-editing and coding seem more comfortable to me on a desktop.
If anything, I think desktop will remain as the computing hobbiest's choice of platform to tinker with, as they're cheap (power per price) and you can open them up and fiddle around with shit.
I can have a huge screen and tons of storage with a laptop, and I can move it around with me. If I have a Desktop + Laptop, I have to worry about syncing all the time.
dont worry though, the desktop isn't going anywhere, and neither is the desk.
when multitouch really takes off and becomes the sole form of interface between the user and pc, i believe we'll see things equalize to how they were a few years ago.
laptops will be slightly less functional, and a great addition to a large desktop. imagine a your desk, except instead of that monitor you have a huge, interactive surface. i believe that is the future of personal computing.
We may be headed towards a world with omnipresent wireless internet access; but we're probably going to carry around our own personal devices for accessing it. (Exactly what form said devices take is an open question, of course, but I'm guessing they will look something like an iPhone.)