Meerkat Learns Buzz Doesn't Always Mean Business
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The only time I heard Meerkat being mentioned was in the context of Periscope stepping into its place at launch time. The only time I've heard about Periscope being used since its launch was in reading about HBO shutting down those streaming GoT on it.
"If you build it, they will come" seems to have been morphed into "If you build it, hopefully they'll find a reason to use it" here.
There are arguments that personal live streaming can be used for "empathy," but that's not a typical use case and would not be worth $50M-$100M anyways.
Oh wait ...
It's not a hugely novel idea though; a couple of days ago we had an article on the first girl to lifestream her life, in 1996.
Twitch.tv is exactly this BUT they show the screen and a webcam of the person. You can see both the face and screen of a person. Mostly this is used for people streaming games but others use it while they program and talk to people how they are coding. Others use it for podcasting.
These apps can answer a need, but so often we can't tell the future of what sticks with a group of people. That is why the company that is doing Meerkat is planning to create many apps and fail often to find the app that fits a need that they don't know about currently.
I've watched a number of streams of people showing things they're working on, streams of events people are at, etc. It's incredible - you feel like you're there, participating even. Live streaming has existed for years, but it has never been this easy to create streams and view streams. Just hit a button and you're showing what you're seeing to your Twitter followers. Or, if you're browsing Twitter, tap a link and you're seeing what they're seeing.
I'm especially looking forward to events such as WWDC, Google I/O, CES, etc: will be fascinating to get realtime access.
Holding your phone up and recording a livestream of pay-for-access events will not only likely get you kicked out (I believe Coachella cracked down on it), but it is very disrespectful toward the other attendees. That's one of the many reasons why personal livestreaming doesn't work.
The same happened with Secret/Whisper last year and I commented that based on my focus groups in the Midwest, Yik Yak was going to clean their clock. And they did.
It's because mobile is so pervasive and mainstream we need to look at the market from a mature distribution perspective. Dare I say even from a packaged goods perspective. How do you get a new brand of yogurt on the shelves? What's the quality bar necessary? If you win at distribution where everyone lives, you win period.
The "Crossing the Chasm" Christensen model that worked for Google over a decade ago when the preferred medium of distribution of a tech product was not mainstream does not apply today for consumer.