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AQuantized

1,088 karma · joined August 11, 2016

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AQuantized··on Ask HN: Mind bending books to read and never be the same as before?
Likewise Dennett's "Consciousness Explained." I don't agree with a lot of what he lays out, and it doesn't quite accomplish the title, but it challenges a lot of common intuitions about consciousness in a way I found productive.
AQuantized··on Bullshit Ability as an Honest Signal of Intelligence
does "based on empirical evidence only" mean anecdotes then?
AQuantized··on Age Reduction Breakthrough?
That seems orthogonal to his question.
AQuantized··on Our Bookless Future
Famines and disease were also much more common prior to the late 20th century. If our progress regressed it would still be cause for concern, even if the status quo hasn't lasted so long.
AQuantized··on Government to urge us all to walk and cycle more
That not wanting to walk or cycle in high pollution areas in close proximity to traffic is a mark of privilege is a sad commentary
AQuantized··on Finland to abandon school subjects in favour of phenomenon-based learning (2016)
I think this is at odds with how they achieved that result to begin with. To become the best you have to be willing to experiment. It makes sense to keep iterating the process so long as you continue the majority of good practices and return to a previous iteration if it doesn't work out.
AQuantized··on I got my first $50/mo customer
Are you basically advocating facilitating the spamming of a certain section of "morally bad" individuals? I'm not sure this is the kind of advice that will lead to a less controversial business.
AQuantized··on Apple borrows $8.5B, joins record corporate debt borrowing spree
They're getting good terms on the debt. During the recent Berkshire shareholder meeting Warren Buffett mentioned that Berkshire Hathaway raised a few billion in additional capital despite already having cash reserves of over $120 billion, simply because it's a good time to be a borrower.

As I understand it, this is largely due to the Federal Reserve signalling their intent to act as a backstop to the bond market due to the impact of COVID-19.

AQuantized··on How to get stock fundamentals data with Python
I've been up to this recently. None of the maths I've used is very advanced yet. I've mostly been trying to use simple statistical tools like regression analysis as well as possible. I know a few people who have found employed in finance after having done graduate work in stochastic processes, but I'm not sure what the payoff would be for some of the more advanced stuff as a non-institutional trader.
AQuantized··on US unprepared for an electrical grid collapse, but it costs only $300M
I think they are both categorically grey swans. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/grey-swan.asp COVID-19 especially because of the previous impact of Spanish Flu.
AQuantized··on Rust/WinRT Public Preview
Saying they "lost" in this context means they got to a point where it was clear capitulation to open source was the obvious play.
AQuantized··on U.S. Economy Shrinks at 4.8% Pace, Signaling Start of Recession
It's definitely much harder to inflate the dollar than any other currency. If there's massive demand for the dollar, that's a huge deflationary effect on the dollar, which counteracts the inflationary effect. In times of crisis, everyone wants to be in the global reserve currency.
AQuantized··on 2M chickens to be killed in US processing plants due to lack of employees
I don't understand how some hypothetical life in some hypothetical other universe is at all a sensible barometer to measure the quality of a life against?

It seems much more sane to benchmark against the life we have and know here.

AQuantized··on Teenagers are better behaved and less hedonistic (2018)
Seems unlikely. Lead typically reduces IQ, but IQ was slightly higher a generation ago in most developed countries.
AQuantized··on Feynman: making the extraordinary look easy
I don't think it's fair to say he saw women at large as "sex objects," since he often encouraged and aided female colleagues in their scientific work. That doesn't preclude him from seeing women in that way in certain contexts, or that being sexist, but I do think his view of women was a lot more nuanced than a characterization like that would suggest.
AQuantized··on What is interesting about Factorio
The idea of "seeing the ending" of Factorio undermining its appeal seems disconnected from my own experience. I'm not sure how giving up a game with no micro transactions helps that issue with the gaming industry either.
AQuantized··on Amazon fires two UX designers critical of warehouse working conditions
Standard corporate Newspeak. Make knowing exactly what you "can" say such a landmine ridden pursuit you stay silent, while avoiding contradiction of federal law.
AQuantized··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
An asteroid is definitionally a Grey Swan. Very unlikely to happen, and of great impact, but still considered possible. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/grey-swan.asp

COVID-19s impact wasn't nearly unpredictable or unprecedented enough to be defined as a Black Swan imo. I did know many people both in real life and online who were concerned about it before the impact, considerably different from e.g. 2008 financial crisis.

AQuantized··on Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (2017)
It's not just about profitability, but insurance. It allows you to distribute the losses over a much longer period of time and fix them in your budget.
AQuantized··on Edward Bernays and the birth of public relations (2015)
As I understand it Bernays was already working in the field long before publishing his book. His early work as a proto PR agent for the singer Caruso, fabricating myths about his prowess, does lend credence to this, as Caruso died in 1921.

It seems fair to say that there were many early adopters of this type of propaganda.

AQuantized··on Fed to buy junk bonds, lend to states in fresh virus support
No individual currency, greater regionalization of each currency.

As regards the EUR, I wouldn't say the UK leaving is sufficient to claim "the EU is already actually starting to break up." I don't think there's serious existential threat to the EUR long term, and there are plans to move away from the dollar.

Those factors don't matter much for CNY if China can exert sufficient political pressure on its economic dependents, which it will likely attempt given the long term geopolitical payoff.

I see those as the 2 main regionalizing forces, although as they wean their populations off the dollar, other smaller currencies may follow as it loses benefits of being global reserve.

AQuantized··on Dow Falls 2997 points worst drop since 1987 crash
Nobody can tell you what will happen for sure, but it might be a good idea to look for businesses with large market caps and capital stores to deploy that will make it much more likely they will survive this period.
AQuantized··on Amazon to hire 100k warehouse and delivery workers
There's nothing wrong with that in of itself, but if it stomps out any potential competition and renders them unable to compete after a certain degree of monopolization, what sort of position will consumers eventually be placed in?
AQuantized··on For Seoul’s poor, class strife in ‘Parasite’ is daily reality
As far as I'm aware, the NHS provides free healthcare to people visiting the UK.

As regards providing free healthcare to anyone regardless of country, that seems next to impossible without providing the infrastructure necessary within the country they live, which would indeed be very difficult to work out. It seems like a good goal to work towards - everyone regardless of nation having access to reasonable quality healthcare.

AQuantized··on Economists study what happens when people stop using Facebook
If you have no problems with your current levels of creativity, focus, etc. is doing those things ("reading books, travel, learning a language or art") still superior to TV?
AQuantized··on Freeman Dyson Has Died
I think you'll find those people were actually trained in their respective fields and not fielding essentially uneducated opinions, however.
AQuantized··on In Britain, even jails have a class system
Decriminalization of non violent drug use and a prison system focused on rehabilitation would be a start.
AQuantized··on Interview with Scott Aaronson about philosophy and quantum computing [video]
I think that's antithesis to the goals of his project. He clearly wants to ask those broad philosophical questions of a variety of influential people, and mostly only talk shop when it relates to that.

I think it's one of the appeals of his podcast to perspective guests, although as you mentioned for some people it falls flat.

AQuantized··on Athlete’s Heart (2003)
Good video, although I would like an analysis of how mortality rates change once you go beyond regular to extreme quantities of exercise.
AQuantized··on The Myth of Self-Reliance: An encounter with Emerson’s essays
Not that this is exactly a massive disadvantage for you, but I routinely see guys such as yourself, not being exploited as such, but essentially never having their compensation match their productivity.

I believe the original poster in that they could be much more productive than their coworkers. However, in my experience, that has only a loose correlation with wealth, and playing the game right / nepotism take precedence for real earning.

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