Just pointing out that it’s foolish to think anyone in the position is even remotely thinking about anyone but themselves.
2,371 karma · joined December 10, 2019
Just pointing out that it’s foolish to think anyone in the position is even remotely thinking about anyone but themselves.
You have no frame of context to understand his intent or legitimate worries.
The only applicable perspectives are to trust or apply logic. It is foolish to trust someone you don’t know who stands to benefit from lying to you.
Logic dictates that given the ungodly sum of money he stands to gain, he will lie to everyone who will listen.
My son is 12, he doesn't care, I've told him how LLMs work, he's used claude, he's not convinced that AI changes things that much and frankly, so am I.
The work was always to build, thoughtfully, carefully, with vision, and ingenuity. That hasn't gone away.
They are all gaming these benchmarks, it is perfectly reasonable not to trust any of them.
The rest of us have to clean up and maintain the slop and it's depressing as hell.
The real issue here is the death of critical thinking.
I don't need a model that can invent new mathematics. I need something that is fast, cheap, and consistent. Give me that and I can build and scale.
More likely though, it's AGI because they need to hold some claim to differentiate from competitors who are beating them in price and will launch something bigger next month.
Are VCs still in the "smart money" cohort if they are following?
Reminds me of that Portlandia sketch "put a bird on it". Is it tech? Put AI on it. Is it health-adjacent? Put supplements / gray market / ethically-questionable-legislation-side-stepping on it.
Also makes me wonder, if AI is going to eat the world, why YC doesn't have a vibehouse spitting out thousands of these startups a month.
They know they need to differentiate from other offerings that are catching up, but I don't know anyone who has just left their work up to any of these specialised products. Most try it say "it's interesting" and then move on.
Bad news for Anthropic and investors is that vastly cheaper models can do this much more quickly.
This is the right direction, but they aren't going to get there fast enough.
They will list, investors who don't know anything about tech will buy, the world will realise that China just put out a model that is good enough at a fraction of the price, they will crater.
Problem is, that you realise very quickly the asymmetry of responsibility and effort. There is far more to review from people who do not care enough to even look at what the agent pooped out.