AlexCoventry

Only if you have ready access to the hardware to run the AI models.

Which "elaborate guerrilla advertising campaigns to drive up capital funding interest" were you referring to, in regard to Chinese models not needing to set up message boards for inter-model communication?

You think OpenAI framed themselves for legal vulnerability to Huggingface?

I'd be interested to read more about that.

As far as I can tell, IBM has mostly been putting out junk for twenty years.

Yes.

I think the most likely way for Zitron to find vindication is through the world war we seem to be shambling into. That could easily put a stop to AI improvements, because the supply chain is so fragile. But that would have nothing to do with his ostensible reasoning.

> The issue is that the process of "testing" was careless.

Yeah, who thought that giving agents with this much capability any internet access was a good idea? I'm not a Yudkowskyite, but surely entirely in-house, offline infrastructure is table stakes for AI containment.

Dispassionate search for and representation of truth?

> Additionally, they've redefined that a pandemic is (removing severity from the definition)

Over a million Americans died, but OK, that's not a severe problem...

The Economist had a similar article [1] about Han chauvinism leading to rejection of the Qing dynasty, and causing quite a headache for the CCP.

> In China’s official narrative, the country suffered a “century of humiliation” of foreign invasions, starting with the first opium war in 1840 and ending only with Mao’s rise to power in 1949. But the 1644 view—cheekily expressed by some online as “three centuries of humiliation”—argues that subjugation began with the Qing. According to this school, the Qing were anti-Han interlopers and, making matters worse, feckless in repelling foreign forces.

> Dredging up all this history is uncomfortable for the party. The territorial boundaries claimed by modern China—including Tibet, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and Taiwan—were brought into the Chinese empire by the Qing, not the Ming. Grievances about the Manchus also cut against the ideal of ethnic harmony advanced by the party. Although much of what forms modern Chinese identity is derived from Han traditions, it is unseemly to talk openly about the dominance of this one ethnic group, which accounts for 90% of the Chinese population. The party looks askance at “Han chauvinism”, believing, with reason, that it may lead to more resentment from non-Han groups.

[1]: https://www.economist.com/china/2026/07/20/why-criticism-of-...

I think it's good that someone is making this point, anyway. For sandboxing a super-capable offensive-security AI, you would think that cloning PyPI and running it as an offline service ought to be table stakes, but apparently that's not how OpenAI saw it, for instance.

Time frame is '21-'24 (Biden term) and from U Chicago. Pretty sure this is right-wing propaganda.

I suspect Hegseth's atavistic attempt to turn the US military back toward a culture of machismo is resulting in misery for anyone who doesn't fit the part, whether they're skilled at their duties or not.

I would be delighted to see a glut of compute. I'm not optimistic, though.

SpaceX mainly showed how corrupt securities regulation has become in the US. It was already quite corrupt, but there's no way that IPO would have flown under the Biden administration.

I think there's not much to model. Either AI actually becomes a hot commodity, or the people invested in these deals are going to take a bath.

Power is more decentralized in the US, even now with Trump.

Do you doubt that Xi Jinping is a Marxist? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DprKDXRlubw

What Xi Jinping Wants: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DprKDXRlubw

At least they can resist it, as we saw with Anthropic.

Open Source won out because the cost of compute fell through the floor. I'm not sure whether we're going to see a similar dynamic play out this time, although I would greatly prefer it to.

How are you going to confidently tell the difference between it being slightly dumber, vs just having bad luck with your recent attempts?

How does that work? Doesn't that mean Microsoft/Amazon/Google have full de facto access to OAI's and Anthropic's model weights and operational processes?

This is one reason it surprised me that Anthropic decided to run stuff on Musk's hardware. It seems overwhelmingly likely that the new Grok release is informed by what Musk has been able to learn from that relationship.

There's likely a major world war brewing. Should I not be thinking and forming opinions about that? It's probably going to profoundly affect me.

How do you reliably prevent a clever psychopath who's set their mind to it from gaining power?

> Change is not going to happen until it's forced.

Yes, Pearl Harbor was a known vulnerability, prior to the Japanese attack. The US just wasn't ready to take airpower seriously, at that point.

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/k5okm8/why_d...

According to Zelensky, there will be drones capable of traversing tens of thousands of kilometers within a couple of years. The US mainland is definitely at risk of drone attack in the near-medium term, IMO.

> One, two, three years — drones will strike ten, twenty thousand kilometers. With reactive engines, they will be very cheap -- Zelensky

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/2042105223989035429

According to The Economist, the Iranian theocracy is no longer in power, the IRGC is. Still, not the regime change Trump was hoping for, that's for sure.

> Khamenei’s killing has accelerated Iran’s transition from a theocracy to an ambitious nationalistic state dominated by military men. The irgc appears to wield power with few constraints. Clerics who challenged its influence—including former Presidents Mohammad Khatami and Hassan Rouhani—were conspicuously absent from the [funeral] processions.

https://www.economist.com/interactive/middle-east-and-africa...

The goals for intervention in the Serbia/Bosnia conflict were clear and noble, IMO.