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AustinDev

1,804 karma · joined July 23, 2014

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AustinDev··on AI has access to a vastly larger working memory than the human brain
Humanoid robots are obviously more than marketing. The entirety of human civilization is human shaped. Making robots that are human shaped is easier and more efficient than redesigning and rebuilding everything that exists.
AustinDev··on How Claude marks AI-generated content
It would appear that their altruism isn't very effective.
AustinDev··on What Happened to HackerOne?
Just pay them in stable coins. That's a solved problem.
AustinDev··on Qwen3.8 Max now ranked as the best overall model by agentic index
seams, boundaries, envelopes, etc
AustinDev··on Trump again tries to limit US birthright citizenship with new executive orders
It was a joke about typos.
AustinDev··on Trump again tries to limit US birthright citizenship with new executive orders
to true
AustinDev··on Dario Amodei's stance on open weights is self-serving and short-sighted
Fair enough. Thanks for clarifying.
AustinDev··on Qwen3.8 Max now ranked as the best overall model by agentic index
They always all gather around the same spot then that spot moves every 6-9 months. I think the clustering is more likely evidence of distillation. I don't personally think distillation is a bad thing. If the LLM providers can distill all of human output into their models for 'free'. I don't think distilling a model from the output of those models is morally wrong.
AustinDev··on Dario Amodei's stance on open weights is self-serving and short-sighted
I'm surprised he just kept at it, honestly.
AustinDev··on Dario Amodei's stance on open weights is self-serving and short-sighted
Claiming he's not an Effective Altruist is a stretch. He's been tightly coupled with that movement for nearly a decade.
AustinDev··on Dario Amodei's stance on open weights is self-serving and short-sighted
Criticizing EA is not a personal attack it's an observation of the outcomes associated with the ideology.

I'm sorry if it was flamebait.

AustinDev··on Dario Amodei's stance on open weights is self-serving and short-sighted
Dario Amodei's stance on ________ is self-serving and short-sighted. It's the EA way.
AustinDev··on Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
>'Gwynne Shotwell is weirdly undervalued for what she's accomplished and what she's put up with, and I think that will show up some time in the future.'

Gwynne is fiercely loyal to Elon. I don't expect to see significant strife between them.

AustinDev··on Apple raises prices of MacBooks, iPads
With memory manufacturers running gross margins in excess of 80% how long until we see upstarts come online to eat away at that or is that unlikely to happen in the near future?

I can't imagine a margin that large is allowed to exist unchallenged for more than a few years.

AustinDev··on NSA lost access to Mythos amid Anthropic dispute
If they wanted to officially take the weights the DPA would work and Dario could do nothing. If they wanted to do it in clandestine manner no one could stop them and no one would know. It's very likely they already have all the weights from all the frontier models. I mean all the frontier models are capable of being served from AWS Bedrock so the weights aren't exactly locked in some air-gapped vault.

It would be easy to make a national security justification to take the weights in a clandestine manner especially because Anthropic supposedly got caught giving China access to the model through a cutout.

AustinDev··on NSA lost access to Mythos amid Anthropic dispute
They could easily take the weights if they wanted. I don't believe they meaningfully lost access.
AustinDev··on Reid Hoffman says SpaceX 'not an AI company', xAI 'complete train wreck'
>“50th rocket company, previous ones failed on financials not tech”

Its Falcon 9 has flown 667 times to orbit with a 99.55% success rate. SpaceX isn't like the other rocket companies and it's pretty obvious to anyone who looks at the metrics objectively. Not in technology or in finances.

>"minus $5B/year but AI/Space makes it +$200B”

$18.7B revenue in 2025. Starlink alone was $11.4B

The comparison to Iridium isn't even worth refuting because it's like comparing the Wright Flyer to the 747.

It's a shame that otherwise intelligent people have such difficulty objectively assessing anything Elon Musk; I assume it's mostly idealogical reasons. Do I think $135 is a bit high for the SpaceX IPO? probably. Do I agree with everything Elon Musk says? nah. Is Elon Musk the most capable entrepreneur and innovator to ever live? It's definitely possible.

AustinDev··on Google Chrome update will close the door on ad blockers
This is your sign to start using a DNS based ad/tracking blocker. Run it on your VPS with tailscale if you want it available everywhere without significant security overhead.
AustinDev··on Google to pay SpaceX $920M a month for compute capacity at xAI data centers
> the GPUs aren't actually owned by SpaceX but a daughter company, and it's been financed via loans that are backed by pension funds. So it's already the case that pension funds back bear the risks associated with SpaceX's operations.

I think a more accurate phrasing of the Valor GPU deal would be something like this:

"SpaceX’s AI compute buildout relies in part on off-balance-sheet or lease-style financing vehicles. Valor-owned vehicles purchased Nvidia GPU infrastructure and leased it to xAI/SpaceX subsidiaries, with Apollo providing debt financing and SpaceX or subsidiaries guaranteeing some obligations. That creates indirect exposure for institutional and retirement capital, though not necessarily direct pension-fund ownership of SpaceX operational risk."

AustinDev··on Google will pay SpaceX $920M per month for compute
The company has been around since 2002, I'm sure plenty of insiders will cash out in the next calendar year to satisfy the minimum free float rule by the time they're eligible.
AustinDev··on Microsoft builds MacBook Pro rival with NVIDIA-powered Surface Laptop Ultra
Yeah that was really the cherry on top. Just sublime to use.
AustinDev··on Microsoft builds MacBook Pro rival with NVIDIA-powered Surface Laptop Ultra
Counter-point the Surface Studio was one of the best PCs for drafting and design we've ever owned.
AustinDev··on Daily pill can double survival time for deadliest cancer, trial shows
So presumably something causes the spontaneous mutations?
AustinDev··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
Loss of human life in a static fire is criminal. Why would anyone be that close?

There was no loss of life in this static fire failure.

AustinDev··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
There is always Starship.
AustinDev··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
Don't worry we've solved this problem. It's called a LES.
AustinDev··on Use boring languages with LLMs
A sibling mentioned that LLMs benchmark better on elixir. Immutability and functional programming are likely the reason why it benches better.
AustinDev··on AI uses less water than the public thinks
Where does your gasoline come from? Most of that usage is for the massive Exxon/etc facilities we have in Houston/Galveston to refine most of the fuel the entire nation uses.
AustinDev··on AI uses less water than the public thinks
Why don’t data centers use gray water more often? Wouldn’t that be better for basically everyone?

My guess is it’s some combination of the infrastructure not existing, the distribution being bad, and the treatment costs not penciling out.

But that feels like the kind of thing municipal utilities could solve with pricing. Potable water should probably be priced differently for residential use than for big commercial/industrial users, in a way that pushes them toward non-potable sources wherever possible.

A fun Texas water fact I always bring up: the entire state’s monthly freshwater use is roughly a week of freshwater inflow into the Chesapeake Bay. Texas would be the 8th-largest GDP in the world if it were a country, and its whole monthly freshwater demand is basically a few months of water that the Chesapeake just dumps into the ocean. (Of course, estuaries make use of the water so it's not just wasted but it's illustrative imo)

Another fun comparison point is yearly Texas uses 0.08% the volume of the Great Lakes in freshwater but ~ 30-50% of the volume of all the lakes in Texas.

We've got a lot of water but it's not distributed evenly and we should probably build some sort of water pipeline eventually so water rich states can sell to water poor states.

Again, this is all just speculation by someone who knows not a damn thing about municipal water management.

AustinDev··on 'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarket bet
>There's no reason gamblers won't repeat this stunt, until us poor schmucks who just want an accurate temperature reading have to build a fortified compound in order to do so.

The issue here is you'd need a lot more land because any asphalt near a temp sensor is going to give you bad data.

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