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BenjaminTodd

824 karma · joined September 29, 2013

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BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
I agree the titles sound obvious, but within each section we have lots of actionable advice (e.g. books to read about specific decision-making advice, the best tips we've found on how to save money, ideas for specific cities to move to), so I disagree these are not actionable for most people.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
Unfortunately, it seems like industry hubs are more dominant than ever, despite the rise of remote work and the internet. So if you're trying to get the top of an industry, the arguments for moving still exist. But it certainly doesn't make sense for everyone.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
We think both personal fit and meaningfulness matter a lot for job satisfaction, so it would just come down to exactly how bad you are at the work, or how little you care about it :)

https://80000hours.org/career-guide/job-satisfaction/

If I had to choose though I'd go for being good at the job you don't believe in. At least that way you have a better chance to build career capital and go into something better later.

https://80000hours.org/career-guide/personal-fit/

BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
I added a paragraph to the introduction to clarify.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
Hi hannob, we agree lots of the evidence is weak, and try to point that out during the post.

We're trying to give an all-considered view of what makes sense to try, taking into account (i) strength of evidence (ii) upside (iii) cost of trying (iv) whether it makes sense to us, and so on.

Note that most of the self-help books we recommend are written by academic experts in that area. We think it's usually more reasonable to go with their overall judgment calls rather than delving into individual studies ourselves, which are usually flawed (replication crisis etc.)

BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
Yeah that title doesn't really convey what we mean. I'll change it.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
Thanks. We intended it as a reminder of that at the end. The rest of our guide covers some of these questions in earlier articles.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
We use optinmonster, which we wanted to turn off, but their service just went down. Really need to migrate off these guys...
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence-based advice we've found on how to be successful in a job
Hey, I'm the author of the post. Happy to take questions, and keen to hear ideas about what else we might add.
BenjaminTodd··on No-one knew the world's worst problem, so we spent 8 years trying to find it
Hi, I'm the author of the post. Happy to take questions.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence on how to find the right career
There's a section in the article about to try explore while minimising the costs.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence on how to find the right career
Yeah, we learned from startup strategy when thinking about career strategy. For more on that: http://www.thestartupofyou.com/
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence on how to find the right career
Hi everyone, I'm the lead author of the post and happy to answer questions.
BenjaminTodd··on Evidence on how to find the right career
Hey there - just adding to Rob's comment:

I actually think automation makes it more important to gain strong skills rather than less, because it's increasing inequality. It's just you need to gain transferable skills that are resistant to automation. We go into much more detail here: https://80000hours.org/career-guide/career-capital/

I also think it's possible for everyone to take an empirical approach to their career to some degree, but it's certainly true that it's more important if you have more options.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
Broadly, we agree that catastrophic risks are among the most important problems, but we don't think colonizing mars is the most effective thing you could do about them right now. https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/
BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
We don't recommend that - the article covers 4 paths to doing good including "direct work" as well as earning to give.

Choose between those two options based on which you'd be best at and the needs of the problems you want to focus on.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
The $40k figure is from here (obviously there's no sharp cut off, but we chose a figure that's roughly right for convenience): https://80000hours.org/career-guide/job-satisfaction/#money-...

And then even more detail here: https://80000hours.org/articles/money-and-happiness/

It's $40k of consumption. So if you'd want to save $6k as well, then you'd need to earn $46k.

Our advice is addressed at college graduates. The average grad makes $68k p.a. over their lifetime. (Source in the first article I linked to).

If you're reading HN, then it's likely you can earn more. The median software engineer makes $100k, and similar with other tech jobs (that's from the BLS).

I agree it's much harder to give money if you earn below the median income in the US, though it's hardly impossible. The average low income American already gives 3% on average (source in the OP), so my 1% is actually less than the average.

Moreover, almost everyone in America is far wealthier than the world median. Even if you only earn $10k, you're 7x wealthier than the world median. Source: https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/ (That's PPP adjusted)

So while I agree if you're poor in US it probably wouldn't make sense to give to other poor in the US, it could still be worth giving to the global poor.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
We think the primary way we have impact is shifting people from options with lower social impact to higher social impact. Tracking "number of plan changes" is a reasonable proxy for that. We also evaluate what the plan changes were in more depth - doing a quick review every week and an in-depth review once a year where we interview a sample.
BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
We agree many charities aren't effective, so you can't just earn to give to random organisations. You need to spend time working out where the donations can be most effective.

I think GiveWell is a good starting point: http://www.givewell.org/giving101

Though there's a lot more to say: https://80000hours.org/2015/12/where-should-you-donate-to-ha...

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
I definitely agree people's values are influenced by the people they spend time with. We sketch some of the evidence for that here: https://80000hours.org/articles/career-capital-in-any-job/#w...

It's just I think there's things you can do to counteract this problem, so it's not a decisive point against earning to give.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
That's what we expected, but actually today hundreds of people are doing it and sticking with it.

I think the key things that have changed include:

1. The existence of a community who earn to give, which makes this effect work in the opposite way. (You can also seek out firms with a good culture.)

2. People making public commitments of their intentions to donate e.g. through Giving What We Can, or Founder's Pledge if an entrepreneur, or simply telling their friends.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
We also say at the end it's important to find something you enjoy and that you're good at, because that will result in a greater long-run impact (more success means more influence, less chance of burning out etc.).

Also we cover which jobs are enjoyable elsewhere in the guide. This article is just about impact.

https://80000hours.org/career-guide/job-satisfaction/

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
You could do hardcore analysis with a utility function and some risk-aversion weighting etc.

But some rough rules of thumb:

* Make a target level of personal consumption you want to meet over your life (we suggest income doesn't have much effect on happiness after $40k, or $60k if you live somewhere expensive, and plus $20k if you have a child)

* First, save enough that you could live for 12+ months with no income. This covers you in emergencies and career changes.

* Then save a decent fraction of your income to maintain this level of income in retirement (at least $6k per year to be able to have $40k per year at retirement).

* Always donate a small amount (say several percent) to keep in the habit of giving and learn more about charities.

* After you're meeting your saving and consumption targets, you can donate most of the remainder. Or if you're not sure where to give right away, then put it in a donor advised fund so it can be donated later.

Beyond this, it can vary from person to person, depending on how risk averse you are, how much you're prepared to sacrifice in order to do good, and how urgent you think it is to do good now rather than later. It gets complicated. e.g. if you don't think it's urgent to donate, then you might want to take care of retirement savings first, then donate later.

Some more discussion: https://80000hours.org/articles/should-you-wait/

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
Usage stats:

* In the last month the guide has 140,000 pageviews.

* From the cover sheet, the bounce rate is 50%. Of people who start reading the intro article, about 20% make it to the end.

* Of people who land on the cover sheet, about 5% join the newsletter to receive the whole guide by email.

* Ultimately the aim is to change career plans. About 1% of newsletter subs and tool users report plan changes. Our biggest challenge right now is increasing this conversion rate.

We’re keen for questions and feedback.

BenjaminTodd··on Show HN: Why the most popular ways to do good in careers aren’t best
This is a Show HN because the article we link to is just one part of a much larger career guide (we checked with the mod). http://80000hours.org/career-guide/

There’s 8 articles, each with a video, and a planning tool at the end. You can get it delivered over 9 weeks by email. It’s the main thing we’ve worked on building since Feb, and grew out of an in-person workshop that was changing lots of careers.

The guide aims to help people switch into careers that have a greater social impact. It covers what we’ve learned in five years of research at Oxford, including:

1. Why you can sometimes do more good by taking a higher earning career, like software engineering, and donating to effective charities.

3. How any reader of HN could save hundreds of lives in their career.

3. How to work out which global problem is most pressing.

4. What psychology says about how to find a satisfying job and make good career decisions.

See the full guide: http://80000hours.org/career-guide/

BenjaminTodd··on All the best advice we could find on how to get a job
no, thanks, I'll check it out.
BenjaminTodd··on All the best advice we could find on how to get a job
Positive effect, stress and feeling sad taper off, while life satisfaction is log. I don't think we say life satisfaction tapers off, but it's a bit unclear.
BenjaminTodd··on All the best advice we could find on how to get a job
cool, I'll take a read
BenjaminTodd··on All the best advice we could find on how to get a job
Yeah - to clarify, we don't literally mean work for free. Rather, do highly side projects, make concrete proposals, trial periods, internships etc.
BenjaminTodd··on All the best advice we could find on how to get a job
We'll also add a free ebook at some point.
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