D_Alex

>Cable television and netflix have made it quite clear that payment does not mean “no ads”, it just means “no ads, yet”.

'It's better to be a millionaire hero than a billionaire asshole' (Ben Elton, Gridlock)

Of course at $10/month even a 1% share of the search engine market would make the company worth billions.

>NATO is not a threat to the survival of Russia

NATO has become a threat to survival of NATO. And Russia. And everyone.

Think very carefully and tell me how is expanding NATO to the Russian borders in the interests of original NATO members?

I am a project manager and a SAP user. First I hated it. And the more I used it, the more I hated it. It's like a really, really uncomfortable chair, strong, but designed with zero attention to ergonomics.

I suspect a noticeable part of the drop was a decrease in ocean freight rates. Down about 30% from peak, but still about 3 times higher than 2 years ago. I'd expect them to drop by another 30-50% over the next year, that should help a bit.

My solution is to enclose the cheap polyester bag filter in a large plywood box and duct the air to a vent stack on the roof. Best air quality and no expensive cartridge filters to maintain.

Not sure how practicable this is in very cold weather, but in Australia it works great.

Curious, the unemployment charts linked by von_lohengramm in this subthread show unemployment rising for all the periods mentioned above.

Stagflation is associated with high unemployment.

>more people working or working multiple jobs

This should cause the opposite of a recession, no? More people working --> more GDP, right?

OK this is a plausible explanation.

According to those graphs, the employment to population ratio has been rising strongly for the last two quarters... which makes it even stranger IMO.

BTW that first graph is a lovely illustration of how unemployment went up every time there was a recession - until now.

This would be the first recession ever featuring near-record-low unemployment.

if anyone has any insights on how we are having an economic contraction AND such low unemployment, I'd love to hear them.

TLDR: please don't.

>the epitome of unintended escalation

And right about now we are witnessing another. Against an opponent with nukes.

>I can't remember anyone saying that viruses don't mutate.

In 2020-21 there were plenty of articles claiming stuff like:

"The coronavirus is not mutating significantly as it circulates through the human population, according to scientists who are closely studying the novel pathogen’s genetic code. "

You can google the phrase for the source.

That phrase quickly "mutated" into "Coronaviruses don't mutate" on social media. I have examples, but I don't know how to link them while maintaining privacy.

Deluge of fear based messaging, plus an equal and opposite deluge of hopium.

2020: "It's no more severe than a cold"

2021: "Coronaviruses do not mutate" and "You won't catch it more than once"

2022: "Viruses become less deadly over time... so if we just bear with it a bit longer..."

>"I don't think you can generalize [the study] to everybody... because veterans...

It would be weird if veterans were the opposite to everyone else though.

>here can be a correlation between overall health and ability to be reinfected

But the study is about the severity of reinfection rather than the frequency

>This is a single study

How many studies will convince you?

Maybe the disease will fade away, however world population now is four times that in 1890, and mobility is, I dunno, ten times higher? New variants are likely to arise and spread way faster - in the absence of control measures.

>A properly functioning society does not sacrifice the future of its young to protect the old.

That's not what happened. What actually happened is that we sacrificed everyone's future for some short term "freedoms".

Unless we find a proper vaccine, today's children will live their whole life with this disease. Spending an extra week sick each year, accumulating organ damage and maybe dying at the age of 50 after their twentieth bout of covid.

The bump key hits the lower pins, which move the upper pins. This is not possible with the Enclave design.

You really cannot move the pins by vibrating the entire lock. The pins are so light that you would need tens if not hundreds of g of acceleration to overcome the spring force.

Especially if the lock is mounted in a door.

No, that won't work, because the pins cannot be bumped once the lock is partly turned.

>I have no idea how one could approach picking this

Not sure how well the lock is made but it may be possible to detect when pins 1 and 6 are in correct position - because the slider is "stiff against springing apart" at those pins, if you get what I mean. The key might turn a degree or so more if those pins are correct, which may be detectable.. That would be only 36 positions to check.

Likewise, pins 2 and 5 should produce slightly more resistance than pins 3 and 4, but the difference would not be quite as pronounced. But if the difference is detectable, then it could be a possible attack strategy.

This is Australian, but probably relevant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTCqXlDjx18

Seriously - what does the US Navy have to do with Trump's "trade war" with China? With Russia-Ukraine conflict? With US balance of trade that is $7 trillion out of kilter? And with US sanctions, which not only restrict international trade directly, but also will lead the countries holding some of that $7 trillion to reassess the risks of selling to the US?

I only read the linked article, not the books. I think that the thesis (as professed by the article) that the "deglobalization" is largely due to the decline of the US Navy is pretty silly. "Decline in the standard of US foreign policy and diplomacy" - in itself an ill-judged reaction to the rise of China's economic power and influence - is much closer to the mark. Of course the Covid pandemic didn't help either.

>a risk free alternative to stocks

I'm pretty sure Russia disagrees, and it remains to be seen how China and other foreign holders of US treasuries will look at US (and other foreign) bonds in the future.

>the deepest hole ever drilled by anyone was 7Km

12.2 km - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kola_Superdeep_Borehole

The short term effect of Europe's move away from pipeline gas to LNG will be to increase CO2 emissions, if only because production and transportation of LNG consumes about 10% of the original gas.

Furthermore, emissions of methane from LNG production and transportation contribute to global warming - by some estimates at a rate comparable to the CO2 emissions.

> Free speech does not include using speech to lie and defraud.

The social media is full of misinformation published by the Ukrainians, eg:

https://observers.france24.com/en/europe/20220301-video-debu...

https://www.bbc.com/news/60554910

https://www.bbc.com/news/60554910

So, should we cut off Ukraine's internet access?

And we barely see any information from the Russian side. Is it not better to see the propaganda and expose it? Sunlight is the best disinfectant.

>Calling NATO membership "the root cause" is victim-blaming in the worst possible way.

He did not say that. He said "reckless foreign policy by the United States in particular" is the root cause.

>Either Ukrainians have a right to self-determination, or no one does.

It's complicated... Does the Donbass region of Ukraine have the right to self-determination?

What about North Cyprus?

And where are the champions of Palestine?