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FD3SA

2,099 karma · joined January 11, 2011

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FD3SA··on Apple tells U.S. judge 'impossible' to unlock new iPhones
They don't need to admit they did it. Parallel construction works more effectively.
FD3SA··on YC Research
If you're into any field of applied AI such as Machine Learning, you'll have no trouble transitioning from industry to research and vice versa. It is a very flexible skill set and there is a lot of demand for it.

Just go the best university you can and take as many ML and AI courses possible, there really isn't much you can do wrong.

Good luck.

FD3SA··on Deaths Draw Attention to Wall Street’s Grueling Pace
Absolutely on point.

What always amazes me about these "super-lemmings" is that they are so unaware that they are being thoroughly exploited. They don't understand basic economics, that if you have zero leisure time, all of your earnings are for nothing.

I'm sure their goals are some variation of: "I'll work 120 hour weeks for 5 years straight to make a seven figure nest egg, then retire off the interest forever."

This single variable optimization is very childish for somebody supposedly schooled in economics. Very few human decisions are based on a single variable, as we are fragile creatures with a large number of physical, emotional and mental needs that need to be satisfied on a daily basis.

Let this be a warning to all the SV hopefuls: don't be a lemming. Don't sacrifice rationality for idealism. There are severe consequences.

FD3SA··on Work Hard, Live Well
All of the activities you've listed have very low cognitive demand.

Try refactoring the linux kernel for 90 hours a week. Good luck.

FD3SA··on New Trans-Pacific Partnership Leak Means ‘Significant Overhaul’ for Canadian Law
As alluded to throughout many comments, the point is to be able to put any individual in jail at any time for any arbitrary reason.
FD3SA··on U.S. Paychecks Grow at Record-Slow Pace
Democracy has been gamed since its invention. Unfortunately, the poor were extremely valuable as a servant class for the rich throughout our pre-industrial history.

Nowadays however, with automation, the rich are becoming quite independent of serfs as capital increasingly substitutes for labor at a rapid pace.

This does not bode well for the majority of the world's population of non-wealthy laborers.

FD3SA··on U.S. Paychecks Grow at Record-Slow Pace
I completely agree, but I see automation as a catalyst that has allowed wealth concentration to proceed at an unprecedented rate which would otherwise be impossible.

Policy is by far the greatest factor, but it doesn't help that businesses no longer need as many employees to get things done. Compare profits per employee at new companies like Airbnb to old companies like Hilton. They are off by orders of magnitude due to automation.

FD3SA··on U.S. Paychecks Grow at Record-Slow Pace
Why does it have to be either/or?
FD3SA··on Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation [pdf]
Because most industries are consolidated by oligopolies. If newly formed, smaller and far more efficient companies begin to seriously threaten these oligopolies, they simply throw their weight around via acquisition, regulation or other quasi-legal means to destroy them.

Doesn't make for an exciting and optimistic story, but it is what it is. Pure capitalism is just as impossible as pure socialism, due to the exact same moral hazards. Human beings tend to use power to leverage their advantages in any way imaginable, regardless of the prevailing laws and ideologies of the day.

FD3SA··on What's Really Warming the World?
You are absolutely correct.

It comes down to the evolutionary history of Earth throughout life's 4 billion year tenure on this planet. The climate has gone through EXTREME changes [1][2], including the Chicxulub impact, which radically impacted the atmosphere's composition and life on this planet. Yet, the biosphere has always adapted and life continued.

Assuming that mankind is destroying the biosphere at an unprecedented rate (we are), and burning hydrocarbons at an even faster rate (we are), are these two factors enough to turn the earth into a Mars-style wasteland, completely devoid of all life?

Based on the data I`ve linked below, it just doesn't seem plausible. We can use linear regression models of the atmosphere and show temperatures rising until life becomes impossible, but that is not how complex biospheres work.

In any case, climate science is definitely a worthy scientific discipline to study, but it is becoming akin to economics in the prediction department. As in, the principles are sound, but the predictions of the experts are laughably wrong on a regular basis, possibly due to the fierce politicization of this branch of science.

1. http://www.biocab.org/Geological_Timescale.jpg

2. http://earthguide.ucsd.edu/virtualmuseum/images/CO2History.h...

FD3SA··on NASA releases detailed global climate change projections
As an ardent defender of science, I tend to agree. There's always been a nagging intuition I've had about climate change that to this day I haven't resolved.

It comes down to the evolutionary history of Earth throughout life's 4 billion year tenure on this planet. The climate has gone through EXTREME changes [1][2], including the Chicxulub impact, which radically impacted the atmosphere's composition and life on this planet. Yet, the biosphere has always adapted and life continued.

Assuming that mankind is destroying the biosphere at an unprecedented rate (we are), and burning hydrocarbons at an even faster rate (we are), are these two factors enough to turn the earth into a Mars-style wasteland, completely devoid of all life?

It just doesn't seem plausible to me on an intuitive level. We can use linear regression models of the atmosphere and show temperatures rising until life becomes impossible, but that is not how complex biospheres work.

In any case, climate science is definitely a worthy scientific discipline to study, but it is becoming akin to economics in the prediction department. As in, the principles are sound, but the predictions of the experts are laughably wrong on a regular basis.

Unfortunately, this is all due to Al Gore and his "moment of genius" which instantly politicized the scientific process, thereby destroying any potential for real scientific progress through the feedback loop of empirical testing and model formation. If you disagreed with Al Gore's version of climate change, Al Gore's version of climate models, and Al Gore's version of climate science, you suddenly became a heretic "climate change denier".

Alas, we humans really are terrible at science.

1. http://www.biocab.org/Geological_Timescale.jpg

2. http://earthguide.ucsd.edu/virtualmuseum/images/CO2History.h...

FD3SA··on Eight years today (2012)
That's all well and good, but if everything's a dream, then what's the point in talking about it? Why are you on Hacker News telling figments of your imagination about the depth of your dream? Shouldn't you be trying to wake up, or lucid dream, or something productive? Or do you just have to "ride it out"?

For clarification, I'm being absolutely sincere. Because your initial assertion eliminates any further dialogue if you sincerely believe it. So why post here? Shouldn't you be looking for Neo, and awakening him so you can be free of the hell that is the dream?

Do not dally Morpheus. Or conversely, do not spout non-sequiturs and expect to get upvotes.

FD3SA··on WikiLeaks offers $100k for details of Obama’s trade deal
That is a little idealistic, don't you think? The Occupy movement got crushed by the police. It is in the state's best interest to prevent social movements from reaching critical mass. As such, they use their massive enforcement arms to nip the troublemakers in the bud.
FD3SA··on Snap: Programming for Everyone
This insane obsession with making programming the "everyman" skill boggles the mind.

"Programming", better described as applied mathematics, is not and has never been an accessible profession.

Just because you have no trouble taking medication, doesn't mean you are qualified to be a doctor. Just because you use a smartphone, doesn't mean you are qualified to commit to the Linux kernel. I am constantly fascinated by attempts to frame computer science as a trade similar to bricklaying or plumbing. It really could not be further from such work.

Computer science is the application of mathematical logic, which by definition, is out of the reach of the majority of students. One look at mathematical aptitude test scores for the general public will disabuse you of the notion that everyone can program. At best, you need to be at least one standard deviation above the mean in mathematical ability to be a competent computer scientist. At worst, factoring in global competition in an unregulated profession, you need to be two to three standard deviations above the mean. Assuming a normal distribution, that's about 2.5% of the population.

So, why are we lying to kids with promises of Google jobs? If they're that good at math, they'll know it. They'll be autodidacts, and will use the plethora of resources already available to reach their potential.

I'm all for easy to use graphical programming languages, as they truly help to visualize algorithms in a tangible way. But selling it along with an "everyone can program and make money doing it!" promise is absurd.

FD3SA··on Carnegie Mellon Reels After Uber Lures Away Researchers
So basically, the principles of economics upset him, but he understands them.

Maybe, just maybe, instead of using grad students and post-docs as slave labor so he can slap his name on their hard work, he could instead advocate for better pay and working conditions for them using his privileged position of PI?

FD3SA··on The male suicides: how social perfectionism kills
Fascinating. What constitutes a thread being labelled as a "train wreck"?
FD3SA··on Neural network chip built using memristors
The top comment mentions DARPA research, but for those who are actually interested in the theory behind the memristor and its potential applications, here [1] is an excellent resource by the man who discovered the first physical memristor.

Furthermore, there is a huge amount of open access journal articles and wikipedia material on memristors. DARPA is nowhere close to the cutting edge, SK Hynix is already tooling ReRAM fabs for mass production.

1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKGhvKyjgLY

FD3SA··on Airbus, Boeing Set Sights On Synthetic Vision
Slightly OT:

What is stopping the development of unmanned cargo aircraft?

If SpaceX can deliver cargo autonomously to the space station, I somehow fail to believe that flying an unmanned 747 from one airstrip to another is exceedingly complex.

To be clear, I mean that the aircraft is autonomous, not that it is flown by a remote pilot.

Once these systems are shown to be safer than human flown cargo planes, they technology will be widespread. After a decade of implementation, it can then spread to passenger transport as the ultimate auto-pilot. The pilot then just becomes the flight director, and takes over in case there are any failures.

Sadly, I'm sure the Burj high stack of regulatory documents prevent even experimentation in this field, let alone commercial implementation.

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
OWNR

START OWNING. Ownr is why you'll never own the same way again.

"I've been owning for 15 years and I've never seen anything like Ownr. They're really something else."

http://tiffzhang.com/startup/?s=101022

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
SMARTSCARE

MODERN. PROGRESSIVE. UPBEAT. You like to scare. Smartscare does too.

"Definitely recommended. Great experience, which gave us a better perspective and helped to solve several business problems."

"As a professional in the scaring industry, I tell all my new clients to start out with an account on Smartscare. It puts them miles ahead of the competition and makes my job that much easier!"

http://tiffzhang.com/startup/?s=107589

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
TERRIFY

DO YOU TERRIFY? Terrify is a different kind of terrifying app.

"Terrifying apps are not for me. Being recommended by a friend on Terrify is exactly what I need."

Why Terrify?

Attentive

Turn Research into a Team Sport.

Righteous

Find out what people are saying using our righteous tools.

Connected

What makes Terrify connected? Our commitment to connectedly pursuing excellence at every turn.

"Terrify was very useful not only in case of our project but just good basis for every business we would start in the future."

http://tiffzhang.com/startup/?s=963310

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
DISASTERABLE

YOUR HIP NEW DISASTER.

Disasterable is the last word in hip disasters. We know you never settle for less than the best and neither do we. Control with professional grade tools and benefit your future.

"When I needed a new disaster my best friend told me about Disasterable. I gave it a try and was completely thrilled!"

http://tiffzhang.com/startup/?s=192936

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
Acquisition target:

YOUTOOTH

YOUR TRUSTWORTHY TOOTH. Youtooth was created to help you find teeth in your area. From local teeth to national brands, no one knows teeth like Youtooth. No one.

http://tiffzhang.com/startup/?s=5246736

FD3SA··on Show HN: A random startup generator
This is pure satirical genius. My faith in tech as a higher art form has been reinforced.
FD3SA··on Europe’s Plan to Compete with Silicon Valley
Precisely. I am still waiting for the dime to drop in politics regarding the true nature of technology. It is all about efficiency, and by definition, human workers are inefficient. Once this fact is internalized and understood, we can begin having a frank discussion on what our societies will look like in the future.

Spoiler: it won't be anything like the present system.

If the current systems are in place going forward, we will have a dystopian future where a tiny percentage of the world population owns everything, and everyone else is a useless meatbag. Farming, manufacturing, defence, sanitation and other critical infrastructure will be highly automated. Consumer products will no longer be lucrative because the majority of consumers will have zero disposable income. Luxury goods will be the new consumer market [1].

The unholy trinity of capitalism, globalisation and automation is proving far too effective. Off-shore labor minimizes costs in the short term, while automation eliminates them in the long term. As capital increasingly substitutes for labor (in the form of technology) as the sole factor of production, it becomes impossible to participate in the market without large capital reserves. Thus, the rich get richer, and the poor get poorer. Piketty has already documented this phenomenon occurring across the board.

We live in interesting times.

1. http://store.apple.com/ca/buy-watch/apple-watch-edition?prod...

FD3SA··on Software is eating the world (2011)
The post you've linked is incredibly prescient, almost prophetic, of the exact reality of the programming profession today. I cannot believe that this is not discussed more often on HN.
FD3SA··on SpaceX Dragon CRS-6 Launch Webcast
There is an opportunity here for some clever control system design. If the mobile platform is brought into the control system loop, it can move to adjust for excess lateral velocity.

Won't be easy, but if anyone can do it, it's SpaceX.

FD3SA··on Ask HN: How do you deal with professional jealousy and getting older?
Sounds like you`re trying to peg a square peg into a round hole.

We all want to be Tony Stark. A captain of industry, successful philanthropist and daring philanderer.

The truth is, this is about as realistic an outcome as winning the lottery. Doesn`t stop hordes of people from becoming addicted to the possibility and wasting their time and money on that impossible outcome.

Stop fantasizing about becoming Tony Stark, and start living your own life. Maybe programming doesn`t really make you happy, and its just a means to an end. That`s perfectly fine. Find a position with solid work life balance that allows you to enjoy your life outside of work.

The HN crowd tends to idolize a tiny sliver of programmers who enjoy writing code for the sake of it. I know very, very few people who can`t think of anything better to do with their free time than to write code. For most of us, its just a trade that pays well and is somewhat enjoyable. It`s a means to an end.

Sure, we can fantasize about building the next PayPal, but in all honesty there`s plenty to enjoy in life without having a net worth in the billions.

Stop measuring yourself using absurd metrics. You`re falling into the trap of an internet world. It would be like comparing yourself to the King of England a few hundred years ago. Unrealistic and absurd.

The world is not meritocratic, and it sure as hell isn`t equal opportunity. You`re alive, you`re healthy, and you`re relatively smart. Enjoy that while it lasts, and fuck the rest.

FD3SA··on I Quit: What really goes on at Apple
Another perfect data point to add to Michael O`Church`s excellent series on the politics and psychology of the modern corporation.

For you starry eyed youngsters, just remember that this is Apple, the world`s most profitable company. It only gets worse as you go down the list.

Work for yourself. Consulting, the trades and any type of work you can do independently is far superior to dealing with wannabe Machiavellians on whose benevolence your paycheck depends.

Get out of the corporate world, and do anything else. The sky is the limit.

FD3SA··on The Scientist as Rebel
This needs to be shouted from rooftops. Emotional ideologies run strong in mankind, and a big dose of empirical thinking would solve nearly all of our species' problems.

Technically, most of our problems are surmountable. However, our collective behaviors due to our evolutionary instincts are leading us to ruin.

I often find that if a young student's first teachings are in science, they will forever grow up to be empirically minded. Sadly, our education systems are more about indoctrination in national propaganda than any kind of quest for knowledge. Such is the sad state of mankind [1][2].

1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1cNaFG1VII

2. https://youtu.be/WnAQQ4StnEg

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