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FinnLobsien

2,505 karma · joined July 18, 2019

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FinnLobsien··on Spending on AI is becoming almost impossible for businesses to budget
You can set spending limits, but I don't feel like that helps much because everyone's accustomed to AI. Nobody would accept "We're out of usage so we have to wait until Monday" and do all of their work manually.

I believe that we're in a scenario where usage is unlikely to go down and neither are frontier AI costs.

I believe we'll see a shift to more organizations building their own harnesses with model routing logic to get central control over who can use what AI and for what.

A marketer doesn't need to default to Opus 5.5 to upload a blog article with MCP, which could be done by a model 10% of the price.

FinnLobsien··on What is going on with ceiling fans
Modern product selection is so fascinating to me. We can somehow cater to super niche tastes at reasonable prices. This has somehow also led to a decline in well-made, basic products.

I wonder if that's due to social media having made the visual aspect of things more important?

FinnLobsien··on Rejection Sensitivity in Gifted and Twice-Exceptional Children
This kind of AI-written article often does more harm than good. Rejection Sensitive Dysphoria is not a diagnosis (as the article admits).

That means confidently stating who this applies to, what it feels like, and what to do about it is not a great idea because it could teach someone the wrong things.

FinnLobsien··on ADHD, autism or complex trauma? [pdf]
I do have ADHD, and inability to control my attention is a big issue for me.

What you describe sounds like you have the condition managed extremely well and perhaps don't tend too far into the hyperactive dimension of it.

FinnLobsien··on The smart home graveyard is getting crowded
This is interesting framing, and I tend to agree with it. I think there's a difference when it comes to smart (home) devices:

1. Something desirable but inaccessible for most suddenly becomes accessible by technology (e.g. security cameras via Nest or health data via Apple Watch).

These types of products tend to work.

2. Something you already do, but faster/better. This is where we get smart ovens, smart toaster, smart light switches etc.

In this category, we see what you describe: little to no benefit over the "normal way". Some step function changes exist (Roomba), but most are ephemeral junk that either becomes worse as cloud services deprecate or are the same thing with a tablet instead of buttons.

FinnLobsien··on The smart home graveyard is getting crowded
I don't think so. I think the use case for these smart devices here may be much more in the fast food/automation world.
FinnLobsien··on ADHD, autism or complex trauma? [pdf]
> There are some models of addiction medicine that say that people with hope and connection have a much easier time giving up physical addictions than people who don’t. There isn’t enough stick in the consequences of addiction to get you out of the cycle. You need carrot to transition, and the bigger the carrots the easier the journey.

I totally agree with this. And I think this is the part that's easy to miss in the narrative around how trauma and ADHD connect. Wherever ADHD traits originate, someone's desire to change matters.

If you love your job, but inability to concentrate is hampering performance, you're much more likely to WANT to change than if your job is merely a nuisance required for economic sustenance.

FinnLobsien··on ADHD, autism or complex trauma? [pdf]
Exactly. Even if we assume the distribution of traits on the ADHD spectrum in human brains has been constant over the last 100 years, today's media and work enablements have massively increased the share of people (and part of the spectrum) for whom ADHD traits inhibit their way to live the way they'd like to.
FinnLobsien··on ADHD, autism or complex trauma? [pdf]
I think another cause is our media environment.

Assuming ADHD is to some extent a chemical thing (I.e. brain didn’t properly develop impulse control or attention span or whatever), we now live in a world that enables those exact things.

If you lived in a world where the principal media were written articles/books and long-form TV shows/movies, your brain was still trained to focus.

Most media is now basically an ADHD simulator, with constant context switching, intense stimuli etc. which only reinforces whatever ADHD traits one may have.

I would guess it’s somewhat similar to the interaction between smoking and asthma.

FinnLobsien··on The smart home graveyard is getting crowded
Imo, the problem with most smart kitchen devices has always been that the added benefit was never big enough to warrant the steep prices.

The June oven had computer vision to detect the food and probes to test for internal temperature and could tell the user when their food was ready.

Maybe nice for a restaurant juggling dozens of dishes in ovens, but at home, I don't need this at all because I can tell when the cheese on top is caramelized.

At $600-1500, that's a high premium for a countertop oven.

FinnLobsien··on I'm Tired of Being on the Network
Smartphones are marvelous and incredibly useful. Nobody wants to renounce instant messaging or digital documents.

The problem is that unlocking your phone is like entering a casino, where everything conspires against your best intentions.

FinnLobsien··on Grammarly will send unhinged messages to all your users if you try to cancel
I think Grammarly is quite obviously in trouble since LLMs went so mainstream. And while I think AI-powered replacements are a great threat, I reckon an even bigger one is the decline of writing itself.

If Gmail suggests the whole email (and whatever model it's using has baked in whatever suggestions Grammarly would've had), nobody needs feedback on an email they didn't even write?

FinnLobsien··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
To me, the problem is not about what AI is good or bad at, but about institutional knowledge. If AI is doing the coding, writing, designing, or whatever else, you slowly lose the ability to a) learn from others in the org because nobody knows what you need to learn anymore and b) actually improve stuff because there's no more "what good looks like"
FinnLobsien··on AI chatbots give wrong answers to financial queries 'most of the time'
The problem with LLMs in finance is the same as it is in writing, design, and many other disciplines: it isn’t code.

Code objectively does what it‘s intended to do or it doesn’t (and passes certain tests or not) which gives coding agents an indication on whether their solution is adequate.

This is much harder in almost any other discipline.

Pass-fail tests in other disciplines are much less useful. You can tell an AI to not use certain words or not write sentences longer than X, but those rules are insufficient.

At no point can a piece of writing or a design be evaluated to “work” the way code does.

FinnLobsien··on Minimal Phone 2
> I think if you ask 5 people what dumb (enough) phone meant you'd get seven answers.

Yes, but I think anyone interested in this would know what they don't want: TikTok, Instagram, Reddit, YouTube, or any other app that wants you to spend maximum time in their app.

Unless we're talking about complete purists who basically want a 2003 level phone that only does call/text, there's lots of flexibility.

Someone who wants a less addicting phone but doesn't necessarily require maps is unlikely to not buy because of a maps app. It's not like they'd spend 3 hours a day getting directions.

FinnLobsien··on Replacing Pull Requests with Delta
I think the humble PR is definitely not made for this era of software.

It used to be a finished piece of work that meant „this is the way I solved this engineering challenge.“

The team member could generally answer questions about that PR and why they chose to do it this way, not some other way, explain discarded approaches, etc.

Now a lot of that reasoning happens in AI coding agents. So even if a choice on approach was made, the human presenting the PR rarely has the same depth of understanding of each tradeoff and line of code.

That (in combination with the ease of producing tons of code instantly) makes each PR less meaningful.

I’m not sure I want my coworker’s AI chat history (who has time to read all that?), but it’s good that innovation is happening.

FinnLobsien··on Clicks Communicator
> Interesting that there is no mention of running your Bots and Agents directly from this device.

I feel like

a) this is made to lower your tech usage, so the core audience for this probably wouldn't even want that

b) the AI agent space isn't settled yet, so it's hard to know what interfaces should even be supported

c) as Hacker News users, we drastically overestimate how much people outside of tech use and build AI agents

FinnLobsien··on Minimal Phone 2
Exactly. I would want:

-Phone/texting -Messengers like WhatsApp/Telegram/etc. -Maps -Music/podcasts

Ideally with e-ink.

I want something that doesn't compete with a full-fledged smartphone (which I'd still keep for travel and stuff). I want something to take to the office, hanging out with friends, etc, where bringing the smartphone becomes a decision.

FinnLobsien··on Minimal Phone 2
This is great. I really like the “dumb phone” movement.

Sadly for now they’re too expensive to buy just as an experiment.

FinnLobsien··on Let's make quality the norm again
I agree with this. It's curious that we always talk about "things used to last forever and weren't only made by corporations chasing infinite growth", when those things are often still available, but are almost invisible because we now discover everything through social media or SEO.

You can find great-quality, long-lasting products at great prices (great price doesn't equal cheap, but great for what you get).

I use capable LLMs on high reasoning to run a prompt like this:

"I want to buy a high-quality [category] that will/has/can [requirements here]. I do not want to pay for a brand name that doesn't improve.

Start by finding manufacturing clusters in [region of the world, e.g. Europe] where [category] is made, then find the businesses making [category] in that cluster that I can buy from.

Normal online stores are okay, but also try non-obvious avenues:

-local business registers -stores that may only be available in the local language -factories that sell samples directly" -cooperatives that sell products from multiple local manufacturers

(I modify this prompt, but it's the skeleton)

To verify a given product/brand/store, a great follow-up prompt has been:

"Now find me big brands offering a product of similar quality (ideally measured by objective characteristics) and show me how much it is vs. [store name here]"

This has showed me incredible finds. It's become how I buy most things that go beyond basic trinkets, and I often pay less for far higher quality.

FinnLobsien··on Show HN: The same nine streaming subscriptions cost $702/year more than in 2021
I don’t think the point is that this is the assumption of people’s real subscription behavior, more to show that it’s getting more expensive overall.
FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
Yes. And I'd also add that so much of it is about context and intention.

If you intentionally sit down to enjoy some low-brow entertainment (Maybe a silly action movie or a mediocre rom-com) because you enjoy that, great.

But I recently realized that there are podcast episodes from 10 years ago that I still remember parts of, but few from recent years, even though I've listened to far more podcasts (and they haven't become less intellectual).

FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
Yes, this is a big issue. I really think these things are basically like cigarettes used to be when they were ubiquitous.

I'd have a hard time blaming someone in the 1930s for being addicted to cigarettes. Everyone constantly smoked everywhere and their harm was rumored, but not proven.

Try to quit smoking in that environment: the thing you're trying to get away from is inescapable and it's not even clear why you should quit. They might blame themselves for not being motivated enough.

We're in that exact environment for the things I describe above.

FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
Yeah I think this is also true. Maybe "thinking less" is the wrong framing. Whether it's an excess or a deficiency of thinking, there's definitely a lack of straining cognitive activity.

It might be reading books, pondering deep ideas, painting a landscape, doing software engineering, or solving crossword puzzles.

But all of those are happening much less due (in my opinion) to the factors I described.

FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
Yes, I think both things can be true. And also, we haven't had decades of mental activity being mostly optional, so we're not yet seeing the consequences nor science of long-term impact.

In the 1950s, many doctors were convinced that exercise was actively harmful and running was dangerous.

FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
I don't think that's true. Even if you think about what was considered junk entertainment decades ago, they still required much more cognitive effort.

Reading about a celebrity breakup in a gossip magazine requires more cognitive effort than hearing about the same breakup in a gossip TikTok:

-You consumed the thing for minutes at a time vs. seconds at a time and your brain had to actively decipher something, not just passively perceive.

-You had to read and couldn't do it while also doing something else, which meant you were more focused.

-You couldn't swipe in a split-second and have another equally stimulating thing that might be completely different, which meant you were more intentional about your mental context.

The medium in which we consume something absolutely matters, independent of what we decide to consume.

FinnLobsien··on De-Brainrot Vacations
I think the „my brain isn’t the same anymore“ sensation is pretty universal.

Between addictive online media in our personal lives and AI at work, I think we’ve made mental effort largely optional.

That must be a horrible thing.

One of my favorite theories is the physical activity transition.

In my grandparents‘ generation, physical movement became more optional as work shifted from manual labor to knowledge work or operating machines and transportation became motorized.

Exercise was an ambient byproduct of daily life. Then it disappeared (exercise as a hobby was viewed as extremely weird, runners used to be arrested!) and a few decades later heart disease, diabetes, and so on became deadly epidemics.

We now know exercise is not optional for health. And we’ve reintroduced it via gyms, clubs, etc.

But that took decades. And I believe we’re now in the Mental Activity Transition.

We’ve stripped away ambient mental effort so we practice it much less.

I don’t know what the decades-long consequences of that may be, but they can’t be good.

I hope it won’t take decades for societies to rediscover its value and figure out how to reintroduce it.

FinnLobsien··on The pencil case model of creativity
There are some occupations (artist, author, founder, scientist, etc.) that are popular forms of escapism because they look so self-actualized. From the outside, it looks like:

1. They only work on what they like.

2. Their work exists for its own sake, not to accomplish some other motive (e.g. the painter's paintings exist to be enjoyed as paintings. It's not graphic design, which exists to sell something else.)

In practice, that's usually not true. A founder deals with compliance forms, a novelist only writes a vampire book because that's what the market wants, and the scientist applied for 27 research grants this year.

When it comes to work, humans seem to need to believe that perfection exists, that there is a situation in which all of our problems would be solved.

I've been lucky enough to have had multiple situations where I reached the exact career goal I set a few years prior. The career that seemed like the situation where all problems would be solved. I was (and continue to be) happy with my career, but as soon as you live in yesteryear's idealized reality, you realize that even within that exist some annoying things and you idealize the next thing.

FinnLobsien··on Polishing Cloth Updated
I always wonder what the rationale is inside Apple to sell a separate cleaning cloth.

There’s no way this is even a drop in the bucket for their business, and neither is this some strategic judo move where they can undercut a competitor’s business.

FinnLobsien··on LLMs are making me lose my savviness
I think the difference is that you read the code and get curious about it rather than glancing at the output and immediately telling it what to correct.
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