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Gunax

1,420 karma · joined October 5, 2019

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Gunax··on U.S. gov't announces intent to slash citizenship renunciation fee by four-fifths
Or--they could juat stop taxing people who dont live there.

More countries should oearn from this. Any country can decide to tax citizens. And who is a citizen? Well, it's determined by that nation's laws.

Why should citizenship only be granted to children citizens? Why not grand children? Or great grant children?

Could ireland or italy pass laws giving 3rd generation Immigrants citizenship, and then send them all a tax bill?

Gunax··on ChatGPT is a ‘code red’ for Google’s search business
I was astounded at GPT 3. Chat GPT is on another plane. It's so incredible, that I can hardly parse words for it.

It's as if an alien civilization landed and gave us teleportation technology.

I think it's fair to say that HAL finally exists.

Maybe i am just caught up in the hype. I don't know what will happen in 10 years, but I struggle to imagine AIs of this caliber will not be part of it.

It's definitely not perfect. Maybe i will have to eat my words at some point. There are a few times in life where you realize that things have changed. This has led to a paradigm shift in my assessment of the next few decades.

We will remember 2010-2050 as the age of AI, just like we think of 1910-1950 as the age of flight.

Gunax··on ChatGPT is a ‘code red’ for Google’s search business
I'm all for this, but just to give you an example:

I know someone who read a web forum. People wanted an ad free paid version for years, so he eventually added it at a cost of $15 per year. Most users balked at the price. 'Why did you add this if it was so expensive'?

Well it turns out he actually earned more revenue from advertising to frequent users. He was actually losing money on each person who paid, and it was still too expensive!

My point being: I think we might underestimate how much our attention is worth. Most people are not willing to pay as much to avoid an ad as an advertise would pay for you to view it.

Gunax··on Stop Talking to Each Other and Start Buying Things
So the author complains that the services aren't letting users speak, while also complaining about the types of speech that the services brought?

The lack of self awareness is astounding.

Gunax··on 'Stress, burnout, churn, and a cut-throat atmosphere': An internal Amazon study
This has not been my experience.

But since this report, our entire industry has been flipped. It used to be that Amazon was like a gateway job. People referred to their time at Amazon like prison sentences.

But now many people are just hiding out. We are waiting for the market to rebound.

Gunax··on Show HN: Jim Cramer Stock Pick Performance
Is the 'return since' the return of holding the stock? Or it the return, given you went in the direction Cramer recommended?

And if so, is there a difference between 'hold' and 'bullish'?

Gunax··on The code that ChatGPT can't write
Only 12? I go back and forth woth my product manager many more times than that.
Gunax··on The Undoing of Joss Whedon
Oh boo hoo. He had affairs and yelled and was a shitty boss. These Hollywood types have no idea what it's like in the real world where bosses are mean. Where you need to work a shit job to make sure your family is fed.

Turns out slut shaming is perfectly in vogue--so long as women are the ones doing the shaming.

Gunax··on Applying to College, and Trying to Appear ‘Less Asian’
AFAIK admissions departments don't have pictures of their applicants.
Gunax··on We Need to Change the System That Keeps Pilots from Seeking Mental Health Care
Mental health is filled with poor incentives. Pilots are an extreme, but not unusual case.

I think there is a confluence of factors: professionals are incentived to be over cautious, even to the extent that it's unhelpful. Most of the language around mental health is focused on extreme cases, and rational-but-suicidal people are lumped in. And society expects too much. We really cannot do much, especially for people who are capable of saying the right things.

Every mass shooting is blamed on a lack of mental health care. But it seems there is seldom even a mental illness (eg. Steven Paddock) and even so--how would you prove it?

Mental health isn't minority-report-style mind reading.

When I read about this issue with pilots, it makes me think we have chosen a sub optional system based on outrage and not balance

Gunax··on Potato Paradox
I tend to agree, we need another word for 'tricky or misleading problem'.
Gunax··on Mach's Principle
Okay, so 2 things:

- apparently the 'absolute rotational inertia' is still an unsolved problem in physics. This is quite surprising for something so elementary. I personally never understood it, but thought that was just my own lack of deep understanding of physics.

- this particular solution doesnt make much sense to me. So what we do is take all of the matter in the universe and average its interia to get a frame, which is then the 'non-rotating' frame.

But then what if all of the matter is moving in different directions? Or what if we gather up all of the matter and try to spin it? Does this mean it's impossible to spin the entire universe, and its reference frame would follow its rotation? Wouldnt that violate conservation of angular momentum?

Gunax··on Hiring tech lead to help solve major historical puzzle
It's not the best paying job, but I would take this in a millisecond if I was qualified.
Gunax··on Hiring tech lead to help solve major historical puzzle
This sounds like a dream job.

Why not advertise the puzzle too? Isn't the point to get it solved?

Gunax··on Just a bunch of idiots having fun: a photo history of the LAN party
I think they missed a main factor: lag compensation inproved greatly.

The old Quake style games often had very naive networking. Whereas now, I seldom notice the network even exists.

It's not that lag has changed much--contrary to the article, broadband is less important in games. It's latency that matters, not bandwidth. Team fortress 1 can run on 16kbps.

And latency is still the same as I had 20 uears ago, 50-150ms.

But the benefit of LAN was that it was the only way to experience latency free gameplay. And it really did make a big difference. In comparison, internet play always felt weird after experiencing LAN.

Gunax··on The “je ne sais quoi” of TikTok
I have almost no idea what is compelling about these. I feel like I am reading another language.

A man dancing poorly. A woman riding a train? What's so compelling?

I guess i am finally middle aged.

Gunax··on How the War Was Won
Likewise, most westerners know that the war was mostly between Germany and Soviet Union. The other theatres were conparitively small.

Americans may have given their steel, but Soviets gave their blood.

Gunax··on Google finds more work makes employees happier
It seems the link U MN research is about setting specific and measurable goals. Seems the thrust is about giving ownership and responsibility. 'More work' is a but simplistic.

Also, Google has been paying below average for a while, and that's even before we consider their down-leveling, which they seem to love.

Gunax··on “There Seem to be 10 managers for every one dev at Twitter” – Elon
I think Musk is a master of tapping into public sentiment.

Griping about the uselessness of management is precisely the kind of folk wisdom that gets passed around. It's fun to divide the world into do-ers and managers, both because it rights the uncomfortable social hierarchy and encourages action over in-action.

Gunax··on The Fallacy of Premature Optimization (2009)
The thrust is that Hoare's statement has been misapplied (I agree!) but even moreso: just because someone said it, and someone famous repeats it, does not mean it's true.

The statement is really a bit of a tautology: what is 'pre-mature' afterall? Well, it's any optimization that is not going to bear fruit for the user.

So the statement might as well be 'optimizations which do not improve the user experience do not improve the user experience'.

I see these sort of statements a lot. 'dont add too much salt', or 'dont drive too fast'. They dont really say much other than 'there is some max point which should not be exceeded'.

I guess my point is that it doesn't really guide us. Of course any 'pre-mature' optimization is not useful. The difficulty is knowing whether it's pre-mature, which can only gained through experience.

I think the reality is that optimizing code is not-fun. Adding features is fun. Writing tests is not-fun. If given the chance, we will find excuses to avoid the not-fun parts of software.

Gunax··on “There Seem to be 10 managers for every one dev at Twitter” – Elon
Clearly an exaggeration, but anyone have real numbers?

I know it's nice to gripe about management being dumb, but my managers at Facebook and Amazon were the opposite. I often ran into managers who, after a 10 minute discussion would make key insights that I had not noticed.

Gunax··on The Gervais Principle, or the Office According to “The Office” (2009)
It's very funny. I don't think it's true. Just a bit too cynical. Good people really do get promoted.
Gunax··on Princeton lab simulates nuclear war (2019)
I think we agree it's unlikely, but best to prepare for what they can do, and not what we expect then to do.
Gunax··on What did Mary know? A thought experiment about consciousness (2013)
Mary learns nothing and the physicalists are correct.

Since Mary knows everything about human physiology and physics, she is able to simulate a neural vision system within her own brain.

Gunax··on Netflix Gains 2.4M New Subscribers, Reversing Trend
Hmm, i guess I dont see it. I really dont find much difference between any of the top competitors.
Gunax··on Netflix Gains 2.4M New Subscribers, Reversing Trend
I am a big Netflix fan (subbed since 2003) but I am concerned about their future since 2017 or so. The reality is that streaming is becoming a commodity technology. What was cutting edge in 2007 and new in 2010 just isn't very differentiating any longer. I don't know what their alpha is.

Everyone seems to complain about Netflix content (though I think it has the best selection, but whatever) and I worry they are fighting a front they are unlikely to win. They are a tech company--not a film brand.

Gunax··on Wasm-service: Htmx, WebAssembly, Rust, ServiceWorker proof of concept
Not sure i really get it.

So we used to have react/vue/whatever. You click button, and the front end computes the new DOM. No server needed.

Then, we decide to use htmx, where the server actually computes the new DOM elements, and the client is just a dumb client that displays whatever the server gives.

And now, we give the users browser all of the information to act like a server, intercept the call, and compute what the server would have responded with (saving since network packets and lag).

Did I understand that correctly?

And yea, I also saw that talk about HTMX on HN yesterday... didn't really understand the advantage then either.

Gunax··on Watch ordinary Russians in the 1980s and you’ll understand the rise of Putin
There's a genre of explaining Russia that is popular this year. Lets call it Kotkinism. We want to understand it, but we don't. We either admit we don't understand their motivations, or we conjure justifications that make sense to us because they fit our framework of the world, even if they are not true.

Would I actually understand it after this 7 hour documentary? I think I might understand something of the Russian bitterness. The betrayal, the distrust, and the pride of endurance.

But I don't think 7 hours of cold hands rummaging through bare store shelves, shuffling babushkas, and men making ad-hoc repairs to cars will help me understand Russian aggressiveness. Maybe Russian suffering.

Gunax··on How California’s Bullet Train Went Off the Rails
Even it's opponents, underestimated the cost. We knew it would never be $10 billion. It's rare that a boondoggle is such a doggle that even the opponents underestimated how much of a budget overrun it would be.

https://dilanesper.substack.com/p/people-who-draw-lines-on-m...

Gunax··on How California’s Bullet Train Went Off the Rails
I am reading prop1A, and it seems to propose that 9.95 billion is enough for a 800-mile railway.

http://vigarchive.sos.ca.gov/2008/general/argu-rebut/argu-re...

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