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HappMacDonald

568 karma · joined February 22, 2013

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HappMacDonald··on Microsoft starts canceling Claude Code licenses
NVidia will probably sue you for doing that, though.

Remember that the entire mantra of "productivity is a measure of how many shovels you break and replace" is only ever echoed by the one selling the shovels.

HappMacDonald··on On The <dl> (2021)
There exist toddlers who were raised on Teletubbies that are now members of Congress
HappMacDonald··on On The <dl> (2021)
Concordantly, vis a vis, ergo..
HappMacDonald··on All the bugs they found
This sounds pretty much like what the AI profiteers want everyone to at least believe: that if it isn't working, all you have to do is burn 10x/100x tokens (that they charge for and jack up the fees for steeply over time) for that extra few percent of improvement.

If the snake oil isn't working, it's just because you haven't drank enough of it yet

HappMacDonald··on Shunning AI is the human choice
Aside from everything everyone else has mentioned, AI != LLMs
HappMacDonald··on GitHub confirms breach of 3,800 repos via malicious VSCode extension
Nothing about that guarantees that it is suitable to the purpose
HappMacDonald··on US employers spend more than $1.5B a year to fight labor unions, report finds
ACAB largely exists due to the police union, and I always hear people astutely bring this up. Firefighters unions I know less about, but I've also only ever heard about volunteer firefighters and scarcely enough about them either..
HappMacDonald··on US employers spend more than $1.5B a year to fight labor unions, report finds
My name is Jesse James and I would like to know more about the history of the Pinkertons 8I
HappMacDonald··on Map of Metal
Let's go back to a websiiiiite!

https://homestarrunner.com/toons/backtoawebsite

HappMacDonald··on Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic
Well, at the very least one thing I would caution against in "prompt sharing as a way to lead people to information" is that a chat bot is far less deterministic than even a traditional web search (let alone a link to a static source): any other user putting in the prompt won't get the same explanation you got, and thanks to hallucination they may get a wildly different answer or a case where this time around the bot wound up misunderstanding what was asked.
HappMacDonald··on Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic
GP said: > there was a dramatic increase in regulations for banks (of all kinds)

and if I can deposit funds, make "investments" (gambling or not.. to me most stock investments are gambling anyway since they pay out in dividends based on quarterly profits) and withdraw money, that is at it's core a bank.

However, in these and many other cases they are now effectively unregulated ones. Partly because the executive branch responsible for said regulations have their hands in the pie.

HappMacDonald··on There Will Be a Scientific Theory of Deep Learning
Mice do a hell of a lot more socialization than lizards, and mammalian socialization is more complex per individual (more competition, feinting, theory-of-mind-like strategies) than the eusocial insect strategies of "my body is the swarm, I just happen to be the limb I have direct control over".
HappMacDonald··on Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic
The bet is that they perfect a new kind of neural network which is roughly as good at "training" as the human mind is as far as "amount learned/experience gained per bit of information input".

Current LLMs are absolutely stupidly inefficient on this front, requiring virtually all human knowledge to train on as a prerequisite to early-college-level understanding of any one subject (granted, almost all subjects at that point, but what it has in breadth it lacks in depth).

That way instead of training millions of TPUs on petabytes of data just to get a model that maintains an encyclopedia of knowledge with a twelve-year-old's capacity for judgment, that same training set and compute could (they hope) instead far exceed the depth of judgement, planning, and vision of any human who has ever lived (ideally while keeping the same depth, speed of inference, etc).

It's one of those situations where we have reason to believe that "exactly matching" human intelligence is basically impossible: the target range is too exponentially large. You either fall short (and it's honestly odd that LLMs were able to exceed animal intelligence/judgment while still falling short of average adult humans.. even that should have been too small of a target) or you blow past it completely into something that both humans and teams of humans could never compete directly against.

Chess and Go are fine examples here: algorithms spent very short periods of time "at a level where they could compete reasonably well against" human grand masters. It was decades falling short, followed by quite suddenly leaving humans completely in the dust with no delusions of ever catching up.

That is what the large players hope to get with AGI as well (and/or failing that, using AI as a smoke screen to bilk investors and the public, cover up their misdeeds, play cup and ball games with accountability, etc)

HappMacDonald··on Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic
.. yet today we have Kalshi, Polymarket, et al.
HappMacDonald··on Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic
Are we replacing "Let me google that for you" with "Here is a prompt to feed ChatGPT" now?

Edit: I am not asking whether ChatGPT is better than Google Search, I am asking after the standard dodge of citing one's sources.

HappMacDonald··on New 10 GbE USB adapters are cooler, smaller, cheaper
However — unlike copper twisted pair — the bandwidth current fiber media can carry is nearly limited by nothing but the optics at each end.
HappMacDonald··on I’m spending months coding the old way
No, JavaScript caught on because at the time it was the only game in town for writing web front-ends, and then people wanted it to run on the server side so that they could share code and training between front end and back end.
HappMacDonald··on Rare concert recordings are landing on the Internet Archive
"Are you not entertained!?"

No, but that sounds good. :D

HappMacDonald··on Someone bought 30 WordPress plugins and planted a backdoor in all of them
Sometimes I want VSCode and sometimes I want Notepad.

Well.. except that I never want either of those. So sometimes I want Kate editor and sometimes I want Akelpad.

HappMacDonald··on The exponential curve behind open source backlogs
If you value 80% correct, then how about 50% correct?

Because I have a nickel I can sell you, and you can flip it an impressive number of times.

HappMacDonald··on Nucleus Nouns
So.. Jargon? Are we talking about Jargon?

Jargon is basically just a DSL on top of English :)

HappMacDonald··on The future of everything is lies, I guess: Work
I don't think the kind of exponential you are looking for (and especially not "the singularity") can manifest until the product (AI) is at a point where it can meaningfully take over the task of improving itself directly.

I would say we have certainly seen a bottleneck in the ability of LLMs to handle any kind of broad abstractions or master the architecture of coding. That is the hinge of why "vibe coding" is as trashy of an approach as it is: the LLM can't cut the mustard on any actual software design.

So they have nothing close to the deep understanding required to improve their own substrate.

They can be exceptionally good at understanding what humans mean when they say things, far better than poking keywords into a google search for example, especially when said keywords are noisy and overloaded. And they can be a very good encyclopedic store of concepts (the more general the idea the less likely they hallucinate it, while the details and citations are far more frequently made up on the spot). But they suck at volition, and at state representation (thanks to those limited context windows) which cuts them off at the knees if they ever have to tenaciously search for anything including performing creative problem solving.

We do have AI models which can get somewhere on theorem proving or protein folding or high level competitive game playing, but those only sometimes even glancingly involve LLMs, and are primarily custom-built amalgams of different kinds of neural networks each trained on specific tasks in their fields.

None of that can directly move the needle on actual AI research yet.

HappMacDonald··on A new spam policy for “back button hijacking”
Why don't they just use # hash urls for their in-SPA page urls instead? That's what Elm and Elixir LiveView both do.
HappMacDonald··on A new spam policy for “back button hijacking”
AFAICT just holding left-click for half a second has the same effect. That's been my go to since the little triangle dropdown vanished from the back button (checks watch).. uh, some time in the nineties mebe?
HappMacDonald··on Rare concert recordings are landing on the Internet Archive
Etree is missing self-seed then. What if IA hosted torrents like Etree does but also self-seeded the content?

Thus they are encouraging amateur third parties to pick up some of the archival slack, that style of torrent could outlive IA in case anything happened to them, and it reduces some of their bandwidth costs

HappMacDonald··on 'Backrooms' and the Rise of the Institutional Gothic
I absolutely grew up in the correct time period, and I've been in a ton of abandoned or not-currently-occupied 1970s decor structures, both day and night in my life. Malls, factories, office buildings, schools, churches, workshops, houses, barns, alleyways, warehouses, storage areas, the list goes on.

I have never been creeped out by these kinds of areas or vibes, instead finding them endlessly comforting and wicked fun to explore :D

I think one possible difference about how I view such an area vs the youth of today, is I think they view walls as "the boundaries of a video game map, so sturdy that gunfire and C4 can't even dent them, thus ineffable". But I had seen enough damaged and unfinished drywall and poorly constructed buildings in my youth to instead view the wall as another piece of furniture. Beyond it is something else, possibly "outside". I don't have to bust it down, but I built faith that if you walk around it you will arrive there all the same.

And as far as an environment constructed for humans: chairs, tables, doorways, but no humans present to occupy said environment, I just wind up personifying the furniture or imagining ways to use a space for which it might not have been originally intended. After all I explored these spaces since I was a child, you damn well know my first instinct is "climb up and over all of the things" and "establish a fort" and things like that! :D

HappMacDonald··on Everything old is new again: memory optimization
Of course it's doing something for you. Room to defrag other areas of RAM, room to load something new without moving something else out of the way first.

Your perspective sounds like the concept that space in a room does nothing for you until/unless you cram it full of hoarded items.

HappMacDonald··on A Faster Alternative to Jq
Yeah, sed (and friends) browbeat everyone into learning regex (which PERL then refined).

I think it might be more cognitive load than it is worth to expect everyone en masse to learn another single-line-punctuation-driven-language to perform everyday tasks with.

HappMacDonald··on A Faster Alternative to Jq
That sounds like a mistake which would be easily to make at the end of the line, unless you are contrasting input stream redirect against cat regardless where it's written on the line?
HappMacDonald··on Hold on to Your Hardware
> Many users will not want to risk

How "Many users" though?

I would argue that the segment of the market whose purchases incentivize personal responsibility on their PCs is outweighed by the segment of the market blowing their disposable income on tablets and smartphones who just want things to work and want whatever they see other people using on social media.

We both know which segment of the market the large companies want to win that battle. They want to sell rented compute resources through nothing but impossible-to-locally-administrate devices where every sensor spies on you and it's impossible to store any data or documents locally, let alone privately.

Even One Drive is pushing hard to literally erase your hard drive and only host your documents on their servers.

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