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HarryHirsch

10,414 karma · joined August 11, 2012

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HarryHirsch··on Post World War II Food
Yes, gluconeogenesis is a metabolic pathway, but it wouldn't be satisfactory to rely on in, just as it wouldn't be fun to live without spices. (Also, how do you manage to have sex with someone on their ketopaleo diet? Send them into the shower just before and eat Viagra because of the weird odour?)
HarryHirsch··on Post World War II Food
Why would anyone do such a thing? The poor canned pork shoulder! Fats provide energy and keep the stomach full for a long time, nevermind the flavour in the fat. People should eat more carbohydrates and fat and less protein, to give their liver and kidneys a break.
HarryHirsch··on Do AI detectors work? Students face false cheating accusations
You can't divorce the law that's on the books from the organs that enforce it. Any legal theorist will tell you that. Any lawyer will tell you that, and if you were ever involved in serious litigation you know.
HarryHirsch··on Do AI detectors work? Students face false cheating accusations
The law is unevenly enforced. My wife is currently dealing with a disruptive student from a wealthy family background. It's a chemistry class, you can't endanger your fellow students. Ordinarily, one would throw the kid out of the course, but there would be pushback from the family, and so she is cautious, let's deduct a handful of points, maybe she gets it, and thus it continues.
HarryHirsch··on Do AI detectors work? Students face false cheating accusations
In real life it looks like this: https://www.foxnews.com/us/massachusetts-parents-sue-school-...

A kid living in a wealthy Boston suburb used AI for his essay (that much is not in doubt) and the family is now suing the district because the school objected and his chances of getting into a good finishing school have dropped.

On the other hand you have students attending abusive online universities who are flagged by their plagiarism detector and they wouldn't ever think of availing themselves of the law. US law is for the rich, the purpose of a system is what it does.

HarryHirsch··on Do AI detectors work? Students face false cheating accusations
You mean model collapse, because schoolchildren will soon base their writing on the awful AI slop they have read online? That's fearsome, actually.

We are seeing this with Grammarly already, where instead of a nuance Grammarly picks the beige alternative. The forerunner was the Plain English Campaign, which succeeded in official documents publicised in imprecise language at primary school reading level, it's awful.

HarryHirsch··on Weaponised Autism
The article is surprisingly balanced and sympathetic, the headline doesn't do it justice.

It puts forth an interesting thesis: autistic people are let down by the authorities and as a consequence feel justifiably threatened by them.

Surprised to see this appear in the Financial Times of all places and not in the liberal press, if the FT admits that the government is suffering a legitimacy crisis it's serious.

HarryHirsch··on [dead]
Yes, because there's a good chance that the Senate will become Republican this round, and the marihuana legislation will get stuck there. The Democrats will say "but we tried", the Republicans will score points with their clientele, and everything will go on just as before because Biden-Harris run on a platform of keeping the status quo.
HarryHirsch··on One of Florida's most lethal python hunters
The thing with cats is that people think they have a cat problem when in fact they have a rodent problem that the cats keep in check.

Then they go, eradicate the cats, and wonder where the rats and mice come from. It's called the "mesopredator problem" in ecology, and it's a massive issue when you want to restore ocean islands for birds.

HarryHirsch··on America's new millionaire class: Plumbers and HVAC entrepreneurs
You can always sell used equipment. There is a thriving market for that.
HarryHirsch··on “Lucky” Fish Could Save Lives (2015)
The incidence for hemosiderosis is somewhere around 1:500 or somesuch. What's underappreciated is anemia due to frequent blood donations. If you give blood regularly and feel off, it's worth getting a lab test for ferritin/TIBC. The outcome might surprise you.
HarryHirsch··on U.S. inflation falls to 2.4%, YoY and MoM annualised
Capital equipment is also a durable asset, but it is productive. Sick of stumbling over hundred homeless whenever I go shopping, and then there's the knock-on effects of people not being able to take jobs because of the excessive costs of housing.
HarryHirsch··on U.S. inflation falls to 2.4%, YoY and MoM annualised
Homeowner's and car insurance came up for renewal this July with said increases. No, we did not have any claims or adverse factors that might have caused the increase. We live in a low-crime city, and are not at risk for wildfire, flood or wind.

The St Louis Fed has the goods on tomatoes, you would expect that: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU02440127

The PPI for tomato sauce, which had been very much constant between 1980 and 2020 (annual increase ~ 1 %) went up by 50 % between mid-2021 and January this year. There is no reason for it to go up, except the grocery monopoly and sticky prices. Of course I want it to come down, the increase isn't due to factors at the producer side.

Here's the price for eggs: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111

At least there the recent increase is explainable by bird flu, but no one expects prices to come down once the epizootic is over.

And there are areas where you want deflation, just to discourage investment. Housing is not supposed to be an investment vehicle.

HarryHirsch··on U.S. inflation falls to 2.4%, YoY and MoM annualised
What if inflation was really way above 10 %? Car insurance went up 20 %, homeowners insurance 10 %, canned tomato nearly doubled in price, and don't ask about cat food. The government figure of 2.4 % is just not credible.
HarryHirsch··on The Nazi of Oak Park
It's slightly more sinister than that. If you had to be a member of a Nazi organization to get ahead or get the government off your back because you might be viewed as politically unreliable the SS was a common choice. Members would do some paramilitary exercises now and then and be otherwise left alone. For things like Einsatzgruppe or Totenkopf you had to volunteer. The guy knew that well enough.
HarryHirsch··on American WWII bomb explodes at Japanese airport, causing large crater in taxiway
It was the great success of the Allied firebombing campaign that inflicted suburbia on the United States. US construction is just as flammable but fire is less likely to spread when the houses are farther apart.

(Let's rephrase the success part. The campaign was destructive and deadly for the civilian population but did nothing to end the war earlier. Bomber Harris and the Lord Lindemann got a career boost, though.)

HarryHirsch··on American WWII bomb explodes at Japanese airport, causing large crater in taxiway
in every case they have their bomb squad disarm and remove it

They would do that, the pencil detonators the Allies used to disrupt rescue and firefighting efforts after a carpet-bombing run become ever more touchy as time wears on. A bomb that is found is disarmed or exploded, else there will be a repeat of this incident down the line.

HarryHirsch··on University of Wisconsin-La Crosse Chancellor Loses Tenured Post over OnlyFans
Meanwhile at New Mexico Highlands University a janitor loses his life over a chemical spill: https://www.lasvegasoptic.com/news/community/chemical-concer...

There had been longstanding concerns about fumes in the building that made one faculty member sick enough to seek medical attention and workers comp, then they clean up a little and send in a janitor to go and mop, and the following day he is found dead. The photos from the newspaper article are something, cleanup crew in full-body suits with respirator.

It's doubtful that anyone will lose anything over this incident, the hypocrisy and double standard is not acceptable.

HarryHirsch··on Ukraine Discovers Starlink on Downed Russian Shahed Drone: Report
That does not make the slightest amount of sense - Starlink is a US goverment asset, it's Brilliant Pebbles, the dishes are geolocated, a dish knows if it's moving or standing still because it needs to receive from the right satellite, there needs to be an uplink station nearby, they would make very sure not to be working for the enemy.

Thunderfoot would say "BUSTED!"

HarryHirsch··on Up to a Quarter of Rental Inflation Is Due to Price-Fixing
That's the theory, and the practice is that there's a serious undersupply of entry-level housing. There's simply not enough housing of type 3 BR, up to 1500 sqft being built, and the existing stock is deteriorating.

People will say, yabbut, airplane hangar houses out on the bajada, but you cannot subdivide those monstrosities into apartments.

HarryHirsch··on Up to a Quarter of Rental Inflation Is Due to Price-Fixing
There is, however, in any market a small number of big players, all politically connected, who will conspire against newcomers building new units. A couple years ago stories about that "historic laundromat" in SF were making the rounds, that is very typical.
HarryHirsch··on Up to a Quarter of Rental Inflation Is Due to Price-Fixing
That, and people who were born this century have no idea about the immensity of housing inflation.

In 2007, a 1-BR apartment in Hanover, NH was USD 750. With official inflation at 3 % that would be now something like USD 1325. Good luck finding anything below USD 2250 these days. That's 7 %, more than double headline inflation.

It's a complete policy failure, also because housing is about the most unproductive kind of investment there is.

HarryHirsch··on Women's Rights Enabled My Journey as a Mother and Founder
Let's talk about how the lack of universal healthcare in US makes founding a company a risky endeavour, even with Obamacare. Can't give labour a break, employees need to be shackled to their job through employer-provided healthcare.
HarryHirsch··on Hezbollah pager explosions kill several people in Lebanon
The greater concern is lithium batteries catching fire while they are being charged. NYC seems to have a problem with dubious e-bikes already. If a few hundred or thousand battery controllers become compromised and the battery pack is charged with too much current it's like the bat bomb on testosterone.
HarryHirsch··on Hezbollah pager explosions kill several people in Lebanon
This hack is the best argument against network-connected electric vehicles that there is. Imagine the same, but with tens of thousands of Teslas.
HarryHirsch··on Human drivers keep rear-ending Waymos
Experienced drivers have a mental model of other drivers - when you see someone driving slowly and erratically you know to keep at a distance, that fellow is going to hit the brakes suddenly or make an unexpected turn.

Waymos on the other hand, they are so new that other traffic participants don't know what to make of them. Maybe it improves in the future because people get more experienced, maybe it doesn't because the alien intelligence is not compatible with human intelligence and those things are inherently unpredictable. We'll see.

HarryHirsch··on Boar's Head plant posed an 'imminent threat' years before listeria outbreak
You can't. It's meaningless. If the government tells you you have rights, but there's no practical way to claim those rights, then you have no rights and the government is lying in your face.
HarryHirsch··on Boar's Head plant posed an 'imminent threat' years before listeria outbreak
There's a German proverb that goes like "a butcher will only eat sausage he has made himself". Now you know the background.
HarryHirsch··on My job is to watch dreams die (2011)
Meanwhile in Alabama the only recourse you have against a landowner who rents you something not habitable is to move out. American law generally is very bad at compelling a party to uphold a contract.
HarryHirsch··on Steve Ballmer's incorrect binary search interview question
The problem with "I don't know" is that it's really not culturally appropiate to say! Americans are supposed to be rugged, resourceful individualists and asking for help is frowned on because it shows weakness. Can't do that in an interview!
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