JamesBarney

The Israelis are not just going to dissolve Israel and give it to the Palestinians just like the US won't dissolve itself and give itself back to the Native Americans.

Every nation in that area is an Islamic theocracy, monarchy, a failed state or a military dictatorship.

If we waived a magic wand and made Palestine and Israel one country we wouldn't have peace. We'd have a a bloody civil war that makes the current conflict look like childs play.

I don't really see what the UN can do. Even if you had a solution that no one likes how do you force it on both parties?

The UN doesn't have the firepower to force Israel to do anything it doesn't want to do, and doesn't have the desire to force Palestine to do anything it doesn't want to do.

You think a forced expulsion from their homes is what drove the 1948 war?

It is culture but it's not the pro-individualism enlightenment parts of Western culture that made us great. There's so much anti-natalistic culture to fix (and a little bit of economics)

- make housing cheaper

- fix education so people can start their careers and adulthood earlier

- pass safe harbor laws so that parents and feel safe leaving their kids at home, or letting them take the bus

- also economic incentives help, beef up people's social security if they have kids

This is a huge oversimplification of the conflict.

The Israel-Palestine conflict is not like US native American conflict where we landed somewhere we'd never lived before, killed as many people as possible, and broke treaty after treaty.

The Jews has been living there for 2000+ years. The Ottoman empire was the last empire in control of that area. It lost a war and gave up that land to the British. The British proposed a break up. That was rejected. The UN proposed a break up of the area into Jewish and Arab land. The Arabs did not agree with he division of land and went to war with Israel, Israel won. This happened a few times until we ended up with today's boarders.

Now neither the Israelis nor Palestinians believe in a two state solution. And you have two groups of people bent on the others destruction.

You mention ways to accelerate new housing, but we should maybe just take our foot off the break before we look into acceleration.

One of two things is happening.

Either induced demand is real which implies if you bought a corn field in Idaho and built enough high density housing you could make the housing more expensive than Manhattan and walk away richer than god.

Or high demand drives housing density and high prices.

Is there any evidence of that? The last thing any landlord I've ever talked to wanted was for a property to sit empty.

The article is more a takedown of the strawman "hot guys can't be creepy".

It seems obviously true that certain behaviors are hot if they're performed when there is mutual interest and creepy when there isn't any. And being hot has a huge impact on whether or not there is mutual interest.

In addition hot people are just given more latitude than ugly people in terms of social faux pas.

And an average-looking billionaire has even better chances.

Creeps are mostly people who aren't socially aware or don't care. And another side to this discussion is that if you hit on someone substantially more attractive than you, you're already signaling that you aren't very socially aware or don't care i.e. a creep.

Yeah my understanding is

1. the slope of self-perceived ability is lower than actual ability

2. The y intercept is dependent on difficulty of test

Therefore with an easier test the better testies are more accurate, and with a very difficult test the worse testies are more accurate because of where the lines intersect. Meaning DK is artifact of test difficulty.

This also means if the test was difficult enough you could create a bizarro-DK effect where the better testies were less accurate.

No one has been forcing any of the users to give them money. The users are giving them money because they get value out of purchasing their products.

I did a quick Google. Being a pimp was regarded as distasteful and had legal consequences so most rich people running a brothel used an intermediary freedman to manage his investment.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prostitution_in_ancient_Rome

Europe's demographics issue is worse than the US despite being less "enlightenment" or freedom influenced.

China/Japan/Korea are far less individualistic than the US but have much worse birth rates. Russia also has terrible demographics and doesn't fit into this narrative.

The determinants of birth rate are probably more mundane than that.

Birth control access Education Rapid industrialization Societal expectations around safety and parental involvement Women working Access to entertainment Cost of housing

This doesn't look like plummeted to me.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/184069/federal-funds-for....

Generally yes. But it sounds like the survey just asked them, and typically people overestimate what counts as an investable asset. Many times people will include their house even though technically this is not an investable asset.

I think he's purposefully leaving out examples because the way liberal arts majors are cringe are usually ways that can start flame wars.

100%, worked with a founder who thought the AI hype was overblown 5 years ago so focused on "workflows, UIs, UX, performance, and all that other old-fashioned stuff" while all his competitors focused on building AI models. Then ChatGPT came out and all his competitors work was instantly obsolete, and he could achieve AI feature parity in weeks.

He was right about what to build but for the wrong reasons and it's been a huge boon to his business.

Ethics is two parts. What is the expected ethical decision to make for a lawyer, and actually following through with the ethical behavior.

A test can easily test the former, and schooling doesn't do anything to test the latter.

I learned 10 as much my first year than in 4 years of school combined.

As someone who's used vs code occasionally but still primarily uses visual studio what are the big benefits you see of vs code of the traditional visual studio?

If you pubmed vitamin d and sleep you find that in general vitamin d makes sleep quality worse. (I'm sure there are exceptions)

I'm usually pretty pro capitalist. But is China less capitalist b than India?

Overall all the effects either make the ice caps colder or warmer. If it's colder that helps with melting ice caps. If it's warmer than that makes the north more pleasant.

- Accelerated ice melt - The Gulf Stream brings warm water near Greenland and Antarctica. Its weakening could disrupt this process, potentially speeding up ice sheet melt.

I don't understand this one. Why would the reduction in warm water brought to Greenland cause the ice sheets to melt more?

I think the base rate of people using GMail/Twitter to exchange child pornography is so low compared to the # of people sending pictures of their kids diaper rash to the grandmother to ask for advice that it's really hard for these automated systems to have a low false positive rate. Then you have to put a human in the loop who is now reading a bunch of your user's personal emails/messages which is a large invasion of privacy. Like two 16 years old sexting now being reviewed by some rep at Google.

Meanwhile I assume most predator rings are using some kind of end to end encrypted platforms like whatsapp.

I think probably the best way to break these rings up is by getting people to infiltrate them.

But how much of that revenue is profit, and how much of that profit derives from Australia.

Assuming 3bn in revenue, Australia represents 1% of Twitters users, and they have a profit margin of 5%. That means profit is maybe 1.5m. So that's fining them 25% of the year's profit for failing to fill out a form properly.

I think there is a large difference between number of employees who have worked at a company that had has layoffs, and number of times they were laid off.

Assuming your experience is representative of every company (I don't think it is) then every company lays off 10% of their workforce every 2 years.

Assume a random distribution (I don't think this is true) that means the average worker get laid off once every twenty years. So you're looking at 2 lay offs a career. Savings should be sufficient for this. Policies or agreements like this just make good hirs cheaper, and bad hires more expensive.