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JamisonM

1,670 karma · joined August 23, 2010

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JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
You should read and listen to the statements of the leadership of the protest, they have in many instances called for a coup, they largely haven't threatened to do it themselves but they have called for it believing that the military will "side with them".

And again, I am being as generous as I can be, here is a supercut of Pat King again and again saying there needs to be violence to reach his political ends.

https://twitter.com/Peterlad21/status/1489600404681756672?t=...

It is what it is.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Can you offer an example of a protest you would consider comparable?

Obviously shutting down streets for hours or a day is not "violence" but preventing people from enjoying public roadways for 17+ days in their own neighbourhood is a violation of their liberities. Just the same a single day horn-honking protest would not be the same as weeks unending.

But language-lawyering about the word "violence" isn't really the point anyway, this is more about the right to protest being in tension with the rights of nearby residents and workers to live peacefully.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
That seems to be the comparison you want to make, not me. Remember, I started with dissolution!
JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
It is wild to me that people don't understand that with infinite funds spent the day the first wave hit the first fully qualified nurses that would be hitting the hospitals would just be arriving now at the earliest. And those wouldn't have spent a day on a ward or in an ICU yet... and you would be years away from more doctors. Not to mention physical infrastructure.. all the while the virus scales exponentially!
JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I think the commenter is exactly saying that they would accept a common ground that accommodates free speech and allowing residents to live in peace free of noise pollution, they are complaining that this common ground does not currently exist.
JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
If you think that increasing hospital capacity scales infinitely with the money spent then I think your model of the healthcare system is incorrect and as such the premise of your question is incorrect.

Likewise if you think that the healthcare system capacity was the only limiting factor with respect to COVID-19 public health measures that reduced transmission your model of the epidemiology of SARS-Cov-2 is incorrect.

"I said $40k per person was enough to build an ICU bed for everyone in Canada."

You didn't say that in the comment I replied to, maybe you said it elsewhere?

$40k per person in Canada is 37 million X 40,000 - that's 1.5 trillion CAD, right? Is my math correct on that? That's 2 years of the entire federal budget where did you get that number from?

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Ask NDP voters what they think! Bloc too! It is a minority parliament, if the position of the government was not well supported the government would have fallen..

This is not some pre-covid majority exploiting an old mandate like the Ford or Kenney provincial governments, yours is a very weak argument.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
The funny thing about the occupation of Ottawa is that it is very small! There have been many protests on parliment hill itself with ten times the headcount without incident.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/photos-climate-strike-...

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I think that Trudeau and everyone except the bumbling mayor of Ottawa have correctly concluded that the protest leadership is unreliable and not to be negotiated with. The mayor of Ottawa did negotiate with them and was immediately betrayed.

The Act has never been invoked before, the predessessor was scrapped because it was considered excessive. Even under these powers the Feds cannot directly order police to do anything.. it is pretty weak in terms of action on the ground unless the military shows up.

The federal government has been begging the OPS and the province to act, IMO they have run out of options precisely because the folks that should be dealing with this want the federal government to "own" it and now they got their wish. There didn't seem to be many resorts left!

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I agree that in any large group there can and will be agitators, but given the dug-in nature of the Ottawa protest it is reasonable to consider the relationship between the lack of enforcement, the relatively small number of participants, and the intimidation that has occurred (as testified to by the OPS).

I think it is lost on most people not following closely that the day-to-day protest headcount is quite low, easily under 1,000 people, probably well under 500. Any normal crowd control policing unit could disperse such a small group, the police do not do so despite many instances of having done so and clear legal authority to do so.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I was very generous in my language here, they are actually asking for some extra-constitutional remedy involving "citizen committees" governing the country.

It would be much more reasonable for them to be simply demanding the normal resignation of the government and new elections, but we just had an election, so I presume they are well aware of the fact that the result would not be favourable to their goals.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
The Act does not in fact allow him to suspend civil rights, that is not what this law does, its predecessor did but it is no longer law. You can read about it in many places, its invokation has inspired a lot of explainers!

I am familiar with the protests in India but I did not see any that occupied the downtown of a major city for weeks on end or choked off the most important transport link in the country for over a week. I welcome more information on that front. My view is that if the parade on 26 January 2021 had remained in the city for weeks then it might be somewhat similar, but as it stands that is not my impression.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I am sorry for your loss and I hope that you and your family received justice and resolution in the end.

I did not call this a coup and I respectfully do not regard the requests outlined as "drawing on reserve powers" in the regular Canadian constitutional order. The appointment of citizens committees to govern would clearly be an illegal act.

I am trying to engage in good faith to the best of my ability on this topic, that's all I can do.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
It doesn't seem to address my concern at all. Trudeau did not indicate in any way that his support for the right to protest was contingent on the policy being protested. as quoted in the article:

“I would be remiss if I didn’t start by recognising the news coming from India about the protest by farmers. The situation is concerning. We are all very worried about family and friends. We know that’s a reality for many of you. Let me remind you, Canada will always be there to defend the rights of peaceful protesters. We believe in the process of dialogue. We’ve reached out through multiple means to the Indian authorities to highlight our concerns. This is a moment for all of us to pull together.”

He offers absolutely no opinion on the policy in questions. You will find the other quotes of Canadian government officials do likewise. Do you understand what I mean?

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
The main organizers published an MOU before arriving in the capital and that organizing group still represents the occupation in Ottawa as their defacto leadership and by all accounts appears to be in control of the allocation of resources.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/what-the-truckers-want-and-...

Every protest movement encounters the problem of leadership and managing consensus but the core group is quite small that stays during the week, if they were not aligned with the self-appointed leadership it would be very clear to any outside observer.

There are public declarations of moderation but the Zello and Telegram channels operated by the leadership consistently offer assertions of positions consistent with the original MOU., culminating in efforts like this: https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/governor-generals-off...

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/what-the-truckers-want-and-...

From the article:

A Memorandum of Understanding posted to the group’s website sets out a framework to effectively dissolve the federal government in favour of a “Citizens of Canada Committee” composed of the Senate, the Governor General and whoever else Canada Unity selects.

This committee of entirely unelected figures would then “instruct all levels of the Federal, Provincial, Territorial, and Municipal governments to immediately cease and desist all unconstitutional human rights, discriminatory and segregated actions.”

If enacted, the MOU would represent an unprecedented dissolution of the federal system and put an abrupt end to 155 years of continuous parliamentary rule (a record that happens to rank us as one of the world’s oldest democracies).

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
I am not deliberately using unfamiliarity with the term to suggest the truckers are calling for overthrow of the governing institutions of the country - they are in fact calling for exactly that, they published an MOU that didn't call for the government to resign but rather called for the Governor General and the Senate to declare the parliament illegitimate.

I was being overly generous in my language by implying that they were just calling for the government to voluntarily resign when in fact they are asking for a non-constitutional coup. I was trying to err on the side of being too fair to their position.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
The poster's assertion that none of the pandemic money was spent on increasing ICU capacity is false, capacities were increased in every province, in mine by about 35-40%.

That said you can't healthcare-capacity your way out of a pandemic, the USA has managed to overwhelm its capacity in numerous jurisdictions despite having much higher baseline capacity than any Canadian jurisdiction. It is not an honest argument worth engaging with.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Locking bank accounts without a trial happens every single day in every democracy in the world. Any legal process where money is suspected of being dirty but is allowed to flow freely through the banking system until the conclusion of a trial would be completely useless - I believe this is fairly obvious if you think about it.

Due process should be quicker, I wish more people would vote based on making the courts more responsive, but unfortunately no one does.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Civil disobedience as I support it is a non-violent action. A lot of people cite these protestors as "non-violent" but there have been many incidences of protestors attacking or intimidating residents as well as intimidating the police to resist enforcement actions so I don't regard the current occupation in Ottawa as meeting that threshold.

I think that anyone following closely would have to concede that police conduct and the lack of enforcement is a product of the threat of violence, but I certainly concede that it might be the case that immediate enforcement /might/ result in nonviolent resolution - it just seems very unlikely.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
The current government of Canada was very recently elected in an election that was mostly about the pandemic response and mandates in particular, the notion that this represents some undermining of the democratic process is a bit of a stretch.
JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Their stated demands are the dissolution of the current democratically elected government, they've conducted educational seminars about the dangers of vaccination full of outlandishly false information.

Anyone can believe anything they like but none are required to be so credulous as to believe that the protests are simply about vaccine mandates given the large quantity of published evidence that the organizers and participants have a bevy of other agendas they would like to promote.

JamisonM··on Trudeau Invokes Emergencies Act
Support for the right to protest and support for a particular policy are orthogonal, is there any indication that the Canadian government supported their right to protest contingent on the policy in question?
JamisonM··on Ask HN: What are your contrarian views?
I am frankly still not understanding your point, sorry.
JamisonM··on Ask HN: What are your contrarian views?
> 7. In a few hundred years we will look at today's science the way we're looking at religions today

This take I find particularly hilarious because if you look back at the science from a few hundred years ago.. it is pretty recognizable as science! Newtonian physics.. pretty good! A future where we think of today's science as akin to religion is a world where Newtonian physics is obviously seen as the same.. that seems wildly implausible!

JamisonM··on Mark Cuban's pharmacy started with a cold email
> Inevitably someone will take control and raise prices to match the rest of the industry

I don't know that this level of fatalism is appropriate, and if it sets the new level for the rest of the industry at a lower rate that would be good!

A co-op can do what you are describing, seems like someone should send Mr. Cuban a cold email asking him to re-incorporate his venture as a co-op!

JamisonM··on Royal Society cautions against censorship of scientific misinformation online
Speaking for Ontario, one province over from me, models with error bars is pretty much what the public was presented with every time they imposed new restrictions.
JamisonM··on Royal Society cautions against censorship of scientific misinformation online
> if X% more people are vaccinated, we will have Y more hospital beds, and Z more elected procedures..

But the problem there is you are not asking for nuance, you are asking for.. lies? The answer is that more vaccination means more hospital beds and elective procedures but no one could credibly argue any specific numbers - it was just not possible to make that calculation without enormous error bars, you can only make the nuanced argument that vaccination produces reduced case counts and hospitalization, and that the public has to understand that this will allow for better services against an unvaccinated baseline. The good news is that a huge majority of people do understand that!

JamisonM··on Driverless cars won’t be good for the environment if they lead to more auto use
I think opposing car-centric urban planning is orthogonal to ICE vs EV issue but I understand the perspective.

You're not going to tear up every city in North and South America and make them better planned on a timeline that is helpful to automotive emissions so the answer is EVs plus better zoning laws, move both in the right direction at the same time.

JamisonM··on Driverless cars won’t be good for the environment if they lead to more auto use
I agree, if I understand you correctly. We are on the path to making driving n-times more energy efficient, fussing over if that results is 30 or 40% more driving is missing the forest for the trees.

Rebuilding car culture from the ground up in a way that is more ecologically sound is a longer term project!

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