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JanSt

1,615 karma · joined February 26, 2014

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JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
Maybe I am, but I'm getting pretty rich doing it, so there is that. :)
JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
The point is not that every lab will be profitable. There only needs to be one model in the end to increase our productivity massively, which is the point I'm making.

Huge margins lead to a lot of competition trying to catch up, which is what makes market economies so successful.

JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
Copilot is pretty bad compared to cursor with sonnet. I have used Copilot for quite a long time so I can tell.
JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
Yes, but 1) you only need to train the model once and the inference is way cheaper. Train one great model (i.e. Claude 3.5) and you can get much more than $80/month worth out of it. 2) the hardware is getting much better and prices will fall drastically once there is a bit of a saturation of the market or another company starts putting out hardware that can compete with NVIDIA
JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
I'm confident you have not used Cursor Composer + Claude 3.5 Sonnet. I'd say the level of bugs is no higher than that of a typical engineer - maybe even lower.
JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
Yes, the value of a single engineer can easily double. Even a junior - and it's much easier for them to ask Claude for help than the senior engineer on the team (low barrier for unblock).
JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
1) The costs will go down over time, much of the cost is the margin of NVIDIA and training new models

2) Absolutely. Thats like one hour of an engineer salary for a whole month.

JanSt··on TSMC execs allegedly dismissed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as 'podcasting bro'
Using Claude 3.5 Sonnet in Cursor Composer already shows huge benefits for coding. I'm more productive than ever before. The models are still getting better and better. I'm not saying AGI is right around the corner or that we will reach it, but the benefits are undeniable. o1 added test-time compute. No need to be snarky.
JanSt··on Show HN: I coded my own JSON translation tool to easily localize my side project
have you thought about automatically generating json language files from pure html? Say I have an app that does not yet use a language file but just code like

<strong>Hello World</strong>

And on-the-fly translation? Say I have a backend that returns english language but I need it to translate it to another language on the fly? It could check whether the translation is available and otherwise generate it and store it. The original text key could be a hash of the text and you probably need in-memory key lookup for those hashes.

JanSt··on Mongo but on Postgres and with strong consistency benefits
Wouldn't that allow to switch from Mongo to Postgres without having to rewrite all of your app?
JanSt··on Germany's autobahn bridges falling apart
Government spending is still exploding [1] because of high social spending. You can spend every Euro only once. Government decided to prioritize like it did. Tax income is very high.

[1]https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/75248/umfrage...

JanSt··on Safe Superintelligence Inc.
Ridiculous. Just imagine the post going on skin color. I can‘t believe such postings are defended here and my post gets flagged. The new antisemitism is coming from the well educated and the left. Greetings from Germany, we know that stuff.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
That's not a perspective I share.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
The shut down was decided on in 2000 under Schröder's Red-Green government. All following decision where just on how fast the shutdown had to happen.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
Of course there are solutions. Look at Finland.

Also, how many nuclear waste death do we have per year? How much do we pay for it's current storage? How does it change the climate? How much nuclear waste is there even? There is no nuclear waste problem. It's FUD.

JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
To be fair, the Greens were the only party to oppose Nord Stream 2. However, they did support (and where in power togehter with the SPD) the construction of Nord Stream 1, which was already part of the Energiewende plan, as cheap gas was (and still is) required for it.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
Varying consumer demand can easily be matched by nuclear power. They can run gradients as high as gas turbines, but it's not good to go really low quickly because frequent and rapid adjustments in a nuclear reactor's output can lead to increased wear and tear. France is doing a really good job of matching demand and supply with their fleet.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
That argument is popular among the 100% renewables crowd in Germany. I mean, achieving 90-100% renewables creates a problem you wouldn't have if you were just running on nuclear power, and now they portray it as a problem of nuclear power. If you're arguing from a dogmatic point of view where renewables are the absolute main energy source and you occasionally need to supplement it, gas makes sense. It's stupid though.
JanSt··on Germany gets informal EU go-ahead to support gas-fired power, sources say
Decades of fear spread by the Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) and the media have made any argument in favor of nuclear power a waste of time in Germany. It's really sad that the party which stands for climate protection and the environment is the main culprit for shutting down nuclear power in Germany, thereby keeping coal power running for now.
JanSt··on GPT-5 might arrive this summer as a "materially better" update to ChatGPT
Altman said in an interview last week with Lex Friedmann it‘s about reasoning, they are working on it, but have not yet solved the problem
JanSt··on Ask HN: If you could spend $100k to get healthy and fit, how would you do it?
I would eat oats (for real, try it for a few weeks) every morning, hire a good coach and put $95000 to charity if it works.
JanSt··on Giant Volcano Discovered on Mars
SpaceX already is cheaper than NASA
JanSt··on Epic says Apple will reinstate developer account
He now confirmed contact

"I take note with satisfaction that following our contacts Apple decided to backtrack its decision on Epic exclusion."

From Day 2, #DMA is already showing very concrete results!

https://twitter.com/ThierryBreton/status/1766167580497117464

JanSt··on Epic says Apple will reinstate developer account
Breton posted on X that his team would look into this case with high priority yesterday. Apple noticed they are about to get a beating and decided to handle this case proactively before they get fined and regulated even stronger
JanSt··on Epic says Apple will reinstate developer account
Breton asked his team to look into the Epic / Apple case with _high priority_ yesterday.
JanSt··on EU Probes Apple's Decision to Shut Down Epic's Developer Account
Refusing is moot. They make $3bn profit every month in the EU. Shareholders would certainly send Cook off if Apple loses access to the EU market. Apple will play this game until the EU takes the gloves off, and they will.
JanSt··on EU Probes Apple's Decision to Shut Down Epic's Developer Account
Yeah it could even lead the EU to mandate that no business relation to Apple is required to operate your store and Apple has no saying whatsoever over you and may not charge you for installs, updates etc. Also, no penalties or changes may be applied to Apps choosing to use other stores. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

This might lead to a complete opening-up of the iPhone as a result for the EU market.

JanSt··on EU Probes Apple's Decision to Shut Down Epic's Developer Account
Really interesting to see how hard Apple is fighting with everything they have to keep their profits and not open up. This is a fight Apple can't win because the EU will strike back again and again. It's Apple trying to win time and thus bank profits. But I believe the strategy will fail hard: high fines and even tighter regulations that will break up Apple's monopoly completely, much broader than intented before. The more actions like this one Apple takes to squash competition, the stronger the rules will be that will be forced upon them.
JanSt··on EU Probes Apple's Decision to Shut Down Epic's Developer Account
You can't just use your ToS to circumvent the law of the market you operate in. If they have to allow Epic to operate in the EU under the DMA they can't kick them out unless it's in compliance with EU law. The EU law overpowers Apple's ToS.
JanSt··on Ask HN: Do you also think the release of GPT-5/Q* is imminent?
I'd be good if they were to make GPT-4 the way it was on March 14th 2023.
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