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KK7NIL

732 karma · joined June 16, 2024

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KK7NIL··on Britain is ejecting hereditary nobles from Parliament after 700 years
Perhaps you're joking, but Athenian democracy had a significant amount of randomness, with candidates being chosen randomly from the top vote winners. Terms were also only 1 year for most positions.

These, and other systems, helped prevent any one person from monopolizing power.

This is a good video on this: https://youtu.be/pIgMTsQXg3Q

KK7NIL··on US asked Ukraine for help fighting Iranian drones, Zelensky says
I agree, it would be hard to stop Iran from producing a significant number of long range drones (hard to stop it from getting the parts it needs when it route them through the Stans or the Caspian sea).
KK7NIL··on US asked Ukraine for help fighting Iranian drones, Zelensky says
It's important to separate the short range quadcopters that are easily built in small workshops from the long distance winged drones that can weigh several hundred pounds (like the Shahed drones).

The latter, as they're built by Russia currently, require a decent size facility to build en mass. It's not the kind of thing Hamas could build in their tunnel system, for example.

I agree with your second point that interceptors will become depleted though and this is a serious problem.

KK7NIL··on OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Defends Pentagon Work to Staff
OP wasn't talking about culture, he was talking about discriminating due to differences in political opinions, very different.
KK7NIL··on iPhone and iPad approved to handle classified NATO information
Presumably most NATO personnel will have a significant amount of data at higher restriction levels, arguably making these devices of little use to them. It's a pain using a device that you can load some data, but not other.
KK7NIL··on Open Source Endowment – new funding source for open source maintainers
> Well, speaking in the case of the US, this would constitute product development which is well outside the scope of what a 501(c)(3) organization should be doing, which could thereby jeopardize their tax status?

Doesn't this apply only to for-profit products? There's plenty of 501c3's with free "products".

KK7NIL··on Nano Banana 2: Google's latest AI image generation model
Kind of a pointless comment without a link to such a model.
KK7NIL··on Elsevier shuts down its finance journal citation cartel
> I interpreted "social fabric" to mean "panel of relevant professionals" which is what we currently have but perhaps you interpreted it differently?

That would be one way to implement his suggestion of getting rid of objective (if flawed) measures of a researcher's performance.

I agree that, inevitably, there will be a subjective human decision in there, but I argue that dropping all objective measures of performance and going just on vibes is kicking the door wide open for corruption, while it's merely cracked right now. And the exploit mentioned in this article is a very public and explicit one, which is why other researchers were so aware of it and it eventually caught up to him. If it all gets moved behind closed doors instead, it will be even harder to detect and prosecute this sort of behavior.

KK7NIL··on Tiny QR code achieved using electron microscope technology
I'll have to look up that idea of the "nano assembler" that you're referring, but I'll just mention that there is significant additive manufacturing in a modern semiconductor GAAFET node, with the entire transistor being grown.

This video is a good summary of the main steps involved: https://youtu.be/xaKyDrWfHes

It's certainly not as powerful or universal as 3D printing and it might not even be "additive manufacturing" proper, but it is a lot more than just etching/subtractive manufacturing.

KK7NIL··on Tiny QR code achieved using electron microscope technology
> we have very little to show in a way of progress. What happened?

Our semiconductors have had features below 100 nm for a while (actual features, not just process node names), so that's been wildly successful.

Why nanofabrication hasn't been as commercially successful outside of semiconductors is a much harder question to answer.

KK7NIL··on Stripe valued at $159B, 2025 annual letter
> The cost of that liquidity is missing out on realizing future growth though.

Why would it be? I don't believe an IPO has to be dilutive, it can be done with already issued shares. I grant you that's not usually how they're done though.

KK7NIL··on Stripe valued at $159B, 2025 annual letter
They can, but it's orders of magnitudes less liquid than the public stock market.

Liquidity!= ability to liquidate or not, BTW, it's more of a continuous spectrum.

KK7NIL··on Elsevier shuts down its finance journal citation cartel
> If the metric is publication and citation count and funding is awarded by panels of experts, how is that better than cutting out the flawed metric and continuing to award funding via panels of experts?

I agree it's not perfect but that's still several steps removed from "Billy is one of us, he should get that tenured position" and, as this article shows, it requires openly unethical behavior, which others can recognize and eventually prosecute (even if that isn't being done often enough).

It's almost like saying "well corruption happens anyways so why do we even criminalize it and have public hearings? Just skip those bits and openly auction votes instead".

KK7NIL··on Elsevier shuts down its finance journal citation cartel
> As for an alternative, how about using the social fabric of researchers and institutes instead? A few centuries of science ran on it before somebody had the great idea to introduce "objective" metrics which made things worse.

Oh boy, you seem to be missing the forest for the trees. When science was a hobby of the rich, there was no need to measure output. Only when "scientist" became a career and these scientists started demanding government funding (which only really crystallized in the 20th century), then we started needing a way to measure output.

You could try doing away with an objective measure of academic output and replace it with the "social fabric of researchers and institutes" (whatever the fuck that means) instead , but then all you'd have is a good ol' boys club funded by taxpayer money.

KK7NIL··on An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me – The Operator Came Forward
> If you annoy a human they might send you a sarky comment, but they're probably not going to waste their time writing thousand word blog posts about why you're an awful person or do hours of research into you to expose your personal secrets on a GitHub issue thread.

They absolutely might, I'm afraid.

KK7NIL··on We're no longer attracting top talent: the brain drain killing American science
> I’ve seen plenty of videos covering it from expats stating they still do in fact pay taxes back to the US.

"Expats" living in Europe? I ask because "expat" usually refers to someone who moved to a lower cost of living country that may also have significantly lower income tax compared to the EU.

> It looks like the Federal Tax Credit only covers up to $130,000 per year of income.

$130k/yr is absolute bank in Europe. From a quick Google search, that would put you well in the top 5% of earners in Berlin, just as an example. So, this shouldn't be much of an issue.

KK7NIL··on We're no longer attracting top talent: the brain drain killing American science
> Oh yeah, and just wait until you see you have to pay the US taxes on your income too.

No, you don't. You still have to file but you get "Federal Tax Credits" for income tax paid abroad and seeing how a EU country's income tax will almost certainly be higher than the US', you'll end up paying nothing. There's also tax treaties to avoid double taxation in other ways.

KK7NIL··on Sizing chaos
You seem to not even be addressing my point that what you said is objectively false.

You've instead changed the discussion to whether or not those incentives are "effective", which is a very different and subjective discussion. You also make the dubious assumption that we should halt all destruction of retail clothing when the truth is that a supply surplus is a good thing to prevent supply shocks for consumers and the unused surplus does not necessarily make sense to donate or reuse. So a complete prohibition on the destruction of retail clothing seems like a very blunt tool here.

But, to engage with your new point: I would argue that retail clothing waste is not unique and that a much fairer system would be to tax commercial/industrial waste in general. For that reason, this move by the EU seems more like a publicity stunt than a meaningful measure to me.

KK7NIL··on IRS lost 40% of IT staff, 80% of tech leaders in 'efficiency' shakeup
It literally does, this is one of defining differences of a federal system, that the states have a right to set and collect taxes.
KK7NIL··on Sizing chaos
> because retailers will just order arbitrary amounts of clothes and shred (!) whatever is unsold, which since they made their profit, doesn’t cost them anything

This is so obviously untrue. It's painfully obvious that the less they waste, the more profit they make, so there's plenty of incentive for them to order the right amount.

KK7NIL··on TSMC to make advanced AI semiconductors in Japan
The US protected Taiwanese sovereignty for decades before they even had a single semiconductor fab. This idea of "the silicon shield" just shows a complete ignorance of the history of Taiwan and its place in the geopolitical order.
KK7NIL··on Ashcan Comic
> From the beginning of monotheism we see strong attempts to monopolize the character of the right and the only God, dating back at least to Samaritans vs. Judeans.

1) Samaritans and Judeans do not disagree on which God they worship (it's YHWH), they disagree on much more subtle points that are largely unique to the Israelite religion like the location of the temple mount, the correct version of the pentatuch, differences in how to practice some of the rituals, etc.

2) Zoroastrianism predates the Israelite religion and is usually considered monotheistic (although some scholars disagree). If you loosen your definition to allow henotheism then some eastern traditions were first by about a millennia.

3) WTF does monotheism have to do with trademark law? I'm sure you think it's a deep argument but it just came off as a total non sequitur to everyone else.

KK7NIL··on Silver plunges 30% in worst day since 1980, gold tumbles
Wow, you really don't realize that your friend group is extremely biased to people with maxed out 401k's and more money than they know what do, do you?

Meanwhile, between 60 and 77% of Americans report living paycheck to paycheck. Sure seems unlikely that your claim that most Trump voters trade commodities is even remotely close to true.

KK7NIL··on Silver plunges 30% in worst day since 1980, gold tumbles
> Most of Trump's voters are retail gold and silver investors

I think you meant "most retail gold and silver investors are Trump voters".

KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
Online high stakes heads up cash games is by far the most competitive field in all of poker, for several reasons (global competition, more hands per hour, very few fish, etc).

An online $100/$50 heads up match is probably equivalent to a $10k/$5k live game, in terms of the quality of pros you'll find grinding them.

What do you think represents the highest level of poker instead?

KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
> Optimality is contextual. You can engineer a context that motivates suboptimal decisions in fact, though it isn’t easy.

I agree with your post but I'd just like to nitpick that this first phrase is not true, the equilibrium point is independent of what your opponent does. I'm pretty sure you know this as you then go on to describe not a context where the equilibrium changes but where it becomes hard for humans to find the equilibrium.

So we agree, it's just a small nitpick of how you worded.

KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
> Where is the proof?

von Neuman proved it for 2 players in his classic "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior": https://archive.org/details/in.ernet.dli.2015.215284/page/n3...

Nash proved it for n-players: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1063129/pdf/pnas015...

> "GTO" is only possible against perfect play to begin with

This is a very common misconception, probably because GTO is usually explained as the equilibrium reached by 2 perfect players. The key insight of GTO is that you do not adjust your strategy to what your opponent is doing. If you play the equilibrium strategy and they don't, you're guaranteed to make money.

> And I also never claimed exploitative strategies guarantee everything, for the same reason "GTO" doesn't either. It's a game of incomplete information.

I didn't say you did, I was just making my own independent argument as to why intuitive play is dangerous and people often end up deceiving themselves into thinking they're winning players.

> And, there are pros that have been winning for long amounts of time knowing zero about GTO theory.

Which is why I said that, IMO, 90% of pro players fundamentally misunderstand poker (and that's not even counting the losing players who think they're "pro").

KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
Maybe if you have a lot of hands and so are confident they're deviating in some hand, otherwise you risk getting exploited yourself.

The players who study GTO instead of trying to win these meta mind games have proven to do very well in online heads up while the old-school mind games guys keep going boom and bust.

KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
Your knowledge of the application of math to poker is very outdated, look up "GTO poker" on YouTube.
KK7NIL··on My first year in sales as technical founder
> The thought you can sit there like an automaton with a set strategy and win is false.

This is provably false.

You're absolutely right that GTO does not guarantee you'll win the maximum against a fish, but neither does exploitative play. In fact, exploitative play can't guarantee you anything, which is probably why old-school pro players are perennially going broke throughout their careers (that and bad bankroll management).

IMO, currently, over 90% of pro poker players (especially live and in the US) fundamentally do not understand how poker should be played (which is why they get so easily destroyed by the new generation in online heads up).

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