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ManBlanket

284 karma · joined June 26, 2020

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ManBlanket··on Immunity Generated from Covid-19 Vaccines Differs from an Infection
I don't deny any of this information, on the contrary I'm well aware of it. Average age 79, 99% of had a significant confounding illness. The vast majority of people who have died were already sick and living in a nursing home, literally waiting to die. Meanwhile in my state until March of last year deaths from child abuse, which has sky-rocketed at unprecedented rates world wide since the start of the pandemic, outstripped deaths from Covid. I don't understand why you and so many other are living in denial of that information. It's like you don't even care about the costs of your actions, just a the vague justification of the number of people who have died from covid. The fact is people are going to die no matter what you do about it, so not acknowledging these policies themselves have caused suffering, let alone seriously consider whether or not they were effective, is a more egregious sleight than not doing anything at all. 5 years from now people are going to look back at humanity's reaction to Covid and say, "wow, that was astonishingly stupid."
ManBlanket··on 65k fake students applied for financial aid in wide community college scam
Funny how almost every top-down system intended to offset problems similar to tuition costing too much are deeply flawed. They're either rife for exploitation or encourage the wrong incentives. Personally I focused on growing weed until I was 26 and could receive financial aid on my own income, which was $0 of course.
ManBlanket··on Launch HN: Hotswap (YC S21) – Easily migrate customers away from competitors
This guy can speak for himself but I've read the comment a few times and I would surmise there's some ESL word-soup happening here. I am going to hazard what he's getting at is using CV to import data from one UI possibly into another. I think to get around the lack of a lack of API support. Similar to the effect a company might use OCR software to migrate data from paper forms a CRM, or something? I'm still wondering why I honed in on this one comment, but hey you felt intrigued enough to leave a comment too, so there must be something to it.
ManBlanket··on Immunity Generated from Covid-19 Vaccines Differs from an Infection
I get the impression anything we could learn which doesn't support a foregone hyperbolic conclusion gets vastly ignored by the media and misconstrued as fringe in the court of popular opinion. All of this started with panic-buying toilet paper and baker's yeast from the grocery stores. I'm not surprised despite a considerable majority of US citizens being vaccinated, all reporting is underscored by pandemic levels of fear and sensation. The general public will still hatefully rebuke any claim that among a significantly vaccinated population Covid-19 statistics are largely comparable to many other endemic diseases. We were told this whole time that it wasn't just another flu, but to a vaccinated person it is just another illness. You don't want to get the flu, you don't want to spread it around, but you don't let fear of it consume your everyday life. But here we are, front page circa 2021, a bunch of vaccinated adults obsessing over reinfection.
ManBlanket··on An Illustrated Guide to Post-Orwellian Censorship
So equating banning a user to the rights of a private organization might be a _little_ disingenuous? Some might say a straw man for the fact Twitter did so out of fear of liability pursuant of a government which deemed that user's opinions offensive? Would Twitter have removed the authors of the US constitution for fear of legal liability from the Crown? Isn't that, like, the reason the first amendment even exists? So does the government have constitutional ground to stand on for deciding what is misinformation or illegal speech, private platforms or not? Evidently so. Because... private company?
ManBlanket··on Big oil coined ‘carbon footprints’ to blame us for their greed
"Personal virtue is an eternally seductive goal in progressive movements"

You don't say... Almost sounds like planting a sign in your yard enumerating the various reasons you're a good person is the brand of activism advocated by regressive causes. Doesn't matter if you do anything to advocate those causes, so long as you pretend to care. Broadcasting it to your other privileged friends and neighbors. That way you can continue business as usual while thriving on the status-quo, but rest assured you're on a pedestal above everyone who didn't plant a sign next to their stoop proclaiming activism. Printed free of regulation in SE Asia, wrapped in plastic, shipped across the ocean, and delivered to your front door. Now if only there were a way to wear it on your face...

ManBlanket··on Burning out and quitting
Oh, you could take months off to recover or even quit outright. You could forego the leet code BS entirely. Take a much lower paying job. I think what you mean is you aren't willing to deal with whatever consequences you think taking time for yourself might have. I'll tell you what if I know anything it's that you do need a different job if taking vacation, "puts you farther behind". At the very least a different state of mind. Mark Twain said, “Some of the worst things in my life never even happened.” Soak on that for a second. You aren't special or different than anyone else in most regards. Those feelings - anxiety, being trapped, burned out, disconnected... That's your brain telling you what you're doing isn't working. It feels awful. So what if you do take a lower paying job but you actually enjoy it? What if you end up taking a higher paying job and you enjoy it? What if you quit and spend your life pursuing your passions, and make it to retirement with 0 in the bank but your family loves and respects you so much they're happy to help out? Neither of us actually knows what would happen if you decided to do something for yourself, but if you truly aren't happy that's the only course of action that makes sense. Your life can only realistically get better if you try to make it better.

You get one chance to live your life, then it's suddenly over. One chance. Do you really want to squander an opportunity like this because you think something worse might happen when you retire decades from now? I don't think someone with the worldview you just described will ever have enough to retire.

I truly hope you do something that makes you happy tonight, even if it's something small.

ManBlanket··on OnlyFans drops planned porn ban
I guess that's on you for attempting to conceptually limit the the wellspring of internet angst 4chan, incel, reddit, and twitter have become.
ManBlanket··on Launch HN: Buoyant (YC S21) – Blimp drones for air freight
I just attended a 7 year old girl's birthday party who was gifted a bb gun by her domestic-swilling uncle. We confirmed the temptation to shoot balloons is real. That said it seems like the other points you mentioned are working in your favor. The chances of hitting a small moving aircraft at a relatively high altitude is much lower than a 747 loaded onto a passing train. Plus I would like to imagine the temptation to shoot at something would diminish significantly as our hill billy wouldn't necessarily know it is unmanned. Not to mention anyone who has listened to a firearm safety talk is well-versed in how gravity affects projectiles. I wouldn't anticipate this being a significant problem, but it was a fun thought to entertain nonetheless.

And hey I'm just spit-balling here but isn't wind a much less of an issue at dusk, night, and dawn? Would this not be a significant factor in when you would operate? I would imagine most people shooting 747s on passing trains aren't getting out of bed to do that, after all.

ManBlanket··on New exotic matter particle, a tetraquark, discovered at CERN
I think it's a matter of theory supporting observed data. They point the, "camera" at a bunch of experiments, which generates a ton of data, then it's up to theoretical physicists to explain the results. Once the results of a theory have been explained and then reproduced it stands on solid ground. I'm just speculating, of course. But that is sort of how astronomy works, at the polar opposite end of a similar field.
ManBlanket··on Why does NBC make it so difficult to watch the Olympics?
By far the easiest option is to use your VPN to watch the Olympics on the CBC.
ManBlanket··on My Steam Game Revenue Stats
He could yet get another bump in sales from a 1.0 release, but you're right the stars are just not aligned to make Yerba Mate Tycoon an indie smash. This was not necessarily a story of loss though. Taking a project all the way to release is a feat, and his attitude toward finishing the game, not to mention supporting it after release is commendable. All this seems like it helps position the developer to solicit publishers for future projects, convince others to work with him, and even help sway potential buyers of future projects. Not to mention it's a critical learning experience, feedback like yours is very helpful. All things considered pretty successful for a first game. This dude definitely has the potential to turn a profit in the future.
ManBlanket··on Intrinsic, a new Alphabet company
I had a similar impression. It was jarring to say the least and made me ask so many questions that had nothing to do with the story. Does this person lead every tech related conversation with, "When I was the CEO of Moonbeans, the world's first SAAS blockchain beanbag chair crowd sourcing platform" just to buy some credibility? Why do they feel the need to tell us that? Do they have inadequacy issues or is it the opposite? I can barely remember what that article was about. Robotics? Oh, right, shame it's an Alphabet subsidiary. It's bound to end up in the Google graveyard when it fails to be one of the top 10 most profitable companies in the world. Even if they do great things and make a great product, it's the fate which will inevitably follow most of Alphabet's projects until the SEC breaks them up, this being one of many good reasons.
ManBlanket··on Launch HN: hotglue (YC S21) – Easy user-facing SaaS integrations
I used to work for a company which provided a service to state governments which was funded by a federal program. Long story short there are a lot of crazy top-down requirements ranging from integrating with a preferred vendor, which was barely a start-up amid a market of well established (better) alternatives, to the coupe-de-grace which read, "unhindered access to all production data". This service seems particularly useful to companies struggling to cope with government requirements of that nature, particularly GDPR.
ManBlanket··on PG&E will bury 10k miles of power lines so they don't spark wildfires
Are we just going to ignore the fact wildfires are a natural occurrence and the entire reason we're experiencing catastrophic wildfires now is from decades of obsessively preventing every fire? Not saying we should go around creating fire hazards but compared to efforts to mitigate fuel overload by thinning and controlled burns, burying some power lines is a drop in a bucket barely worth mentioning. Utility corporations don't do things out of the kindness of their hearts. Guarantee PG&E are doing this for some kind of maintenance, tax, social, or litigious incentive. It certainly has more to do with the bottom line and their PR department is trying to spin it as some altruistic BS. Why are we jerking them off over this when if California's forests were properly managed a small risk of fire wouldn't be a concern, and in many cases may be a boon to the ecosystem?

Piss take, I know, but nature is pressing her reset button and it's our fault. Let's not act like PG&E has anything to do with it.

ManBlanket··on Ask HN: for senior positions is it advisable to list side projects on your CV?
"I don't discriminate. I select the applicant most qualified to repay the loan."

- Algorithm which refuses loans to black people.

ManBlanket··on Enough is enough
Do no evil... Except when it's profitable.
ManBlanket··on Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XVI: What Is the “Dark Forest” Hypothesis?
There's the other end of a technology curve, when a civilization ceases use of an outdated piece of technology. In our case humanity is looking for radar because we're currently broadcasting it. Why would anyone continue using radar to communicate within a few years of quantum entangled data processing, capable instantly transmitting data instantaneously across vast distances? There might be a few living that rock star lifestyle of HAM radio operation and messenger pidgeons, but at that moment our civ would go narly completely dark to our sister civ's SETI program. All humanity's existence so far has been nothing but spark swallowed up by the darkness of time. Our use of radio a fart in the wind.

This theory is incredibly type-zero-civ-pocentric. A species capable of interstellar travel will have mastered technologies we can't even comprehend. By the time humanity is able to meaningfully reach across the stars, we'll have spread life across our entire solar system and everything we'd ever need. Unlimited energy from our sun, a lush and verdant Venus and Mars, mining colonies across the solar system producing vast quantities of any desirable element, not to mention an Earth whose biosphere is a shining jewel - perpetually locked-in at peak biodiversity.

Begs the question of what we would ever need from another civ, and furthermore what a similar civilization would ever want from a bunch of squatting troglodytes such as ourselves.

ManBlanket··on Classified Challenger tank specs leaked online for videogame
Seems like this is only news for two reasons: 1. tanks are interesting. 2. people get excited about cancelling strangers on the internet over whatever loose pretext they can.

How else can you explain this profoundly mundane story ending up on the front page of a tech news site? What's next, we going to start chiming in on soldiers who don't renew their military IDs in time? Y'all are acting like he leaked plans for the Army's top-secret death ray, or a bunch of videos of helicopters killing civilians, not a boring piece of paper work nobody in the military cared about enough to declassify after decades of service.

ManBlanket··on Hooking Candiru: Another mercenary spyware vendor comes into focus
I just want to point out Candiru is a fish that supposedly wriggles up someone's ding-dong when they pee in Amazonian rivers while swimming? I'm... gravely... skeptical that it ever actually happens, if I were to guess it's one of those, "I fell on it while getting dressed" situations that are occasionally explained to amused ER doctors. Maybe even one of those, "they put a chemical in the pool that makes the water turn purple when you pee." Whatever the deal with Candiru is, at some point someone suggested naming their spyware after the urethra fish. They might be making the world a worse place, but you can't say they don't have a sense of humor about it.
ManBlanket··on Twitter sees jump in govt demands to remove content of reporters, news outlets
Right. Plenty of people are free to use MySpace these days, what with its thriving community full of friends and family, everyone using the shared platform to communicate with each other.
ManBlanket··on Twitter sees jump in govt demands to remove content of reporters, news outlets
Funny how a surge in requests of this nature coincided with proliferation of tools for managing, "misinformation". Who gets to decide what or what constitutes misinformation, anyway. Is it the Abundant Nigeria Renewal Party or African Democratic Congress? I guess for the time being rich white Californian tech executives and product managers decide what information or news stories are or are not real.
ManBlanket··on Another 0-day looms for many Western Digital users
My workstation came equipped with a removable piece of masking tape I found in the supply closet.
ManBlanket··on A foreign seller has hijacked my Amazon Klein bottle listing
Funny you mention the 2-pack scammers. I was literally just looking for a center-post mounted bike seat for a child yesterday and noticed that exact scam. I thought to myself, "why would someone want a two pack of these bike seats?" Lo and behold the actual product cost less than half as much as the two pack. I didn't realize what was going on, just thought, "this doesn't seem legit" and bought a totally different item. Poor bike-seat manufacturer.
ManBlanket··on How inevitable is the concept of numbers?
‘If a lion could speak, we could not understand him’.

- Wittgenstein

So even things we understand as fundamental truths of the universe are so deeply rooted in human experience that it's possible another living entity could be so different than ourselves that the capacity to sympathize with one another about certain things may simply not exist. Would a lion understand a corsage? Would an alien know what 12 x 12 means? The universe is just one hella big ¯\_( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)_/¯

ManBlanket··on Labor shortage or terrible jobs?
The tone of this article also sounded like she was spitting it through clenched teeth, which I found to be incredibly distracting and defeating to the point the author was attempting to make. Was the point small business owners at establishments like Dales are facing troubles because they're fat-cat capitalist Trumpian Covid deniers whose problems aren't valid as such? That's what it sounded like. I look forward to when we can have conversations about topics like economics without hyperbolic intolerance for outsiders serving an ultimately unproductive narrative that has been driven into the ground.

I live in Missoula. I am a regular customer of Black Cat Bakery and I can see them struggling. In fact most restaurants and breweries I frequent face the same issue, a few employees desperately trying to keep an inundated ship afloat. I will tell you this article largely ignores what everyone who lives here understands is the biggest problem faced by laborers in Missoula at the moment. This city is amid a dire housing shortage, expedited by lack of new construction and a migration of buyers from more lucrative economies. The median home price increased by 57% in the last 10 years, 8.6% in the last year alone to $315k. In the meantime the median family income remains only $46k. https://missoulian.com/news/local/missoula-housing-prices-se...

It is truly a seller's dream market and as such the availability of rentals has evaporated. You'd be lucky to find a 1 bedroom right now.

My wife and I bought a home here a little over a year ago and were fortunate to find the nut who, "didn't need a realtor, what with craigslist." Before then we had been outbid 5 times previously, during which we offered up to 30k above the asking price. Frankly, we wouldn't live here if we didn't get lucky. Our experiences weren't unique at the time and it has only gotten worse. I regularly hear of houses selling for 50K over listing price to people buying sight-unseen.

Frankly I don't care what the owners of Dales or Black Cat Bakery think about Covid or whether they voted for Trump. I really, sincerely, don't care. I only hope for the best for their business and their employees. I know what it's like to struggle in Missoula, I did for years and I still would be if not for dumb luck and a bit of privilege. The problems people face today are starting to pale in comparison to my own, and a solution is becoming truly urgent. I can only hope people will come to understand if we care about solving these problems, then we have to put down the tribalism and intolerance for those with different views and focus on the matter at hand.

To quote Vince Staples, "Ain't no money in havin' hate in your heart."

ManBlanket··on Flu has disappeared worldwide during the Covid pandemic
The first, "alternative explanation" the statistician in me wants to mention is perhaps the way influenza data is gathered has changed.

"Only people who get tested for influenzalike illnesses—typically about 5 percent of individuals who fall ill—are tallied."

If there were a change in the way these tests were administered, for example a blaring medical bias toward another disease, that would present a significant sampling problem. That same statistician also wanted me to mention the simplest and most boring answers are usually closest to the truth.

ManBlanket··on Facebook gives money to America’s biggest news organizations
The question of whether money affects coverage is among those which are incredibly difficult to find evidence for without a smoking gun. There's no direct proof in whether a given story supports or hurts a financier. I'm stretching for an example but there is circumstantial evidence the interactions between various macro ecosystems push conditions of earth's biosphere toward homeostasis, but suggesting this is deterministic is not substantiated by any known directly testable phenomena. Until we decode latent genetic algorithms, it'll remain speculation. Likewise we're left only with speculation in the absence of an explicit, "run story or we pull funding" type memo.

That said a lot of economics tends to make sense when examined through a lens of incentives. There has been an observable shift toward radicalization of news content since this article indicates FB began funding its news feature. Opinion pieces seem to often displace primary stories based on whether they suit a dominant hyperbolic narrative. Whether by FB design or simply a natural response to the soaring appeal of hyperbolic click bait favored by social news aggregation is anybody's guess.

I will say I am appalled by a lack of accountability the Times has had over the last year. For example regularly publishing summary statistics without acknowledging significant sampling problems, figures any self-respecting statistician would never consider submitting for academic review are still regularly passed off as fact. Moreover discourse regarding what constitutes effective policy, consideration of cost and benefit, or even determination of what society's goals are let alone whether they are realistic has been contemptuously derided as conspiracy and dogma of the Trumpian cult. Without rational discourse there is little hope for progress, and in that regard I arrived at my own foregone conclusions, that the hyperbolic nature of news media is one of the most significant barriers to positive change we face as a society.

On that note, if you find yourself buying into a fear of outsiders you might want to reconsider the fact most people share the same fundamental values and our differences between one another is often negligible. Believe it or not beyond the lazy opinions about issues scantly related to every day life, the average liberal and conservative have exactly the same amount of love for their friends and family. We often simply disagree regarding the means to similar ends. As a single global society we all face the same problems, but our biggest problem right now is spanning the distance we've created between coming together socially as friends and colleagues.

ManBlanket··on Benzene detected in hand sanitizers
My hope is in the wake of resistant bacteria and diseases caused by a tsunami of endocrine disrupting chemical products, maybe society will come to the conclusion we ought to pragmatically consider data and peer reviewed science when we weigh the pros and cons of public policy. Nobody seems to be asking whether unprecedented amounts of waste, the sky-rocketing rates of suicide and deaths from child abuse, or state sanctioned extermination of species were worth it. Nobody seems to be asking how effective any of these measures were, or whether the goal was ever realistic. Let alone whether all this was worth preventing the inevitable spread of a disease that when all is said and done will kill around a couple million people, average age older than the average lifespan. Begs the question when we live in a world where 8 million people die of diseases associated with fossil fuel pollution, average age around 5 years old. Not going to hold my breath. If growing up post 9-11 taught me anything it's that humans just want to live their lives in fear of the unlikely and use it to be a jerk those they view as outsiders to the tribe.
ManBlanket··on Living Like It's 99: No Social Media, No Smartphone
I deleted my Facebook a decade ago and just recently got a message on LinkedIn from an old friend from high school. I guess he still runs into my mom sometimes but he was always afraid to ask her about me because he thought I might, "be in jail or something". Wow dude hopefully you don't always go 0-100 like that. Nah, I have a beautiful wife, 3 kids, and a fulfilling career building software. I don't need to stroke my ego any more than I already do. Nobody does. We had a meaningful exchange of emails and that was the end of it. To be honest I'd ditch the smart phone too if it wasn't for how useful google photos is, not to mention maps when you're on vacation. Frankly I miss i9. Writing text messages without looking at the phone. Imagine how great it would be these days with the guessing algorithms.
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