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MisterMower

118 karma · joined August 29, 2021

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MisterMower··on So you think you could be an electrician?
Like what? A deep freeze? Genuinely curious. If this were commercial it would make more sense.
MisterMower··on So you think you could be an electrician?
Yes, but a person who has visited hundreds of art museums will have a better understanding of art than a guy who only paints landscapes or carves wooden figurines. You can learn a lot by observing what is good work and why, even if you didn’t produce it yourself.
MisterMower··on 10-year Treasury yield climbs above 5.3% to a level not seen in 24 years
It is absolutely a spending problem. The Department of Agriculture has 100k employees and a $500B dollar budget. That’s just one department of many. Throw a dart at the MTS [1] report and you’ll find dozens of other agencies with similar levels of spending.

There are plenty of places to cut spending before we start raising taxes on the W2 wage earners that are contributing the most to federal tax receipts.

How would nationalizing health insurance even make a dent in spending? Ultimately the same amount of healthcare will be consumed. You are truly clueless about the federal fisc if you think these are even remotely serious ideas for fixing the federal budget deficit.

1. https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/static-data/published-report...

MisterMower··on 10-year Treasury yield climbs above 5.3% to a level not seen in 24 years
It’s not Social Security, it’s Health and Human Services. It’s been the top line item in the federal budget for several years, and it’s growing at the fastest rate and has the largest unfunded liabilities.

Social security is easy to fix. Just raise the retirement age. Or do nothing and benefits drop by 25% or whatever it takes to become balanced based on current tax revenue.

Good luck rationing hip replacements and breast cancer treatments whose provision is statutorily required by law and whose cost will continue to rise with inflation.

None of this even begins to consider interest on the debt. As interest rates continue to rise and the debt continues to grow this line item will eventually dwarf everything.

Social Security is chump change compared to these two. But at least it’s nominally fixable by faking the CPI numbers used to set the cost of living increases. You can’t charge less for hip replacements or cancer treatments, they cost what they cost.

MisterMower··on NASA asked several former SR-71A staffers to help secret restart
“I’d compare it to a really old codebase.”

Yes, you are not a mechanical engineer.

MisterMower··on Does Georgism work? Five years later
People buy a house with an implicit expectation that zoning regulations and building code will be relatively stable. Even if those laws are unnecessarily restrictive or nonsensical, I don’t think the NIMBYs are crazy for being upset about changes to those laws that will lower their property values. They may even want to change them but the fact of the matter is they have a financial incentive to protect the value of their property.
MisterMower··on What California is learning from solar panels built over irrigation canals
Ah man, I guess we can’t do anything then.
MisterMower··on Whistleblower warns Postal Service mail ballot system has catastrophic problems
Thank you for the link, it very much proves my point. Let me walk you through the claims with you one by one:

"Nearly 21 million voting-age U.S. citizens do not have a current (non-expired) driver’s license."

A driver's license is not the only form of ID permissible to vote. You can vote using other forms of ID. Additionally, most states allow people over a certain age to use an expired ID to vote.

"Another 12% (28.6 million) have a non-expired license, but it does not have both their current address and current name."

People move and people get married. The average American will move 12 times in their lives and get married at least once. These people will get their license updated. They have one in the first place that isn't expired, after all.

Again, you can vote using other forms of ID beyond a driver's license, and furthermore, a driver's license with an old address is still valid to prove your identity.

"Millions of Americans across political parties do not have a license."

Again, the fixation on driver's licenses is a canard. Millions of American's aren't eligible to drive, so you would expect them not to have driver's licenses.

"People with less education and lower annual incomes are more likely to lack a current driver’s license."

Yes, people who can't afford to own a car are less likely to have a driver's license.

"People with a disability are far more likely to lack a current driver’s license."

Wow, what an insightful finding. People that are not able to drive don't have driver's licenses.

Here's a fun quote from your own link that refutes exactly what you are claiming:

Only "nineteen percent of individuals without a driver’s license cite bureaucratic or economic factors as the reasons for which they do not have a license." The rest weren't interested, or weren't eligible due to legal difficulties.

That means that only 4 million of the 21 million people who don't have a license can't get a license for the reason you're claiming. That's 1% of the entire country.

In a nutshell, only 1% of Americans are too incompetent to figure out how to apply for a license or too lazy to stand in line and fill out the paperwork to get one. Everybody else either has one, has a good reason they don't want one, or should not have one.

And that doesn't even mean that these people can't vote, only that they don't have a driver's license. It's entirely possible those people have other forms of ID.

Open your eyes friend. People are disenfranchised everyday, but it isn't because the mean old DMV denied them a driver's license.

MisterMower··on Trump promises $5k payout to U.S. adults if Republicans win election
You’re right, the “both sides” claim really doesn’t work here.

Biden’s student loan forgiveness would have amounted to a gift of potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars to his most ardent supporters: young, college educated, poor people.

Trump’s proposal is a fraction of that, and all Americans would be eligible. If he’s trying to buy votes, he’s going to need to try a lot harder. This proposal is nothing like Biden’s vote buying scheme.

MisterMower··on Whistleblower warns Postal Service mail ballot system has catastrophic problems
I think GP is right: this place has become an echo chamber. Even if someone posted a thoughtful rebuttal, it would not be seriously considered, or worse, flagged. And why would anyone waste their time when they know their efforts will be immediately dismissed and memory holed?
MisterMower··on Whistleblower warns Postal Service mail ballot system has catastrophic problems
In my state government issued ID is used to verify who you are. You are then issued a ballot if your name is also in the poll book.

Your eligibility to vote and have your name entered into the poll book is determined by providing a Social Security number or birth certificate.

So yes, a driver’s license is sufficient ID to vote in many states.

MisterMower··on Whistleblower warns Postal Service mail ballot system has catastrophic problems
> It’s not that uncommon for an adult to not have an ID

It’s extremely uncommon.

You need an ID to buy beer, open a bank account, prove you are eligible for employment, pick up a prescription at the pharmacy, book a hotel room, the list is very long. You cannot function in society without some form of ID.

The idea that a large number of Americans are being disenfranchised because they don’t have ID is farcical.

MisterMower··on Benjamin Franklin’s alter egos gave him the most freedom
Anonymous speech separates ideas from the reputation of the person stating them. It forces the reader to consider the ideas themselves openly, without using the heuristic of “which party does this person belong to” or “do I like this person”. There are some ideas that are not popular but need to be heard, and anonymous speech allows those ideas to be heard without the speaker being tarred and feathered for their supposed wrongthink. Anyone who seeks to erode anonymous speech is no friend of liberty.
MisterMower··on U.S. State Department pauses immigrant visa applications
Most folks don’t want their minds opened to new and surprising views and opinions. They want a good job in the town they grew up in so they can take care of their family and raise their kids in the culture they were raised in.

Globalism has ruined that entirely, and there’s no amount of implying these people are closed minded or incurious that will make them change their mind on this issue.

MisterMower··on U.S. State Department pauses immigrant visa applications
“Who are you going to believe? Me or your lying eyes?”

But since you asked, here you go: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/microsoft-...

MisterMower··on U.S. State Department pauses immigrant visa applications
Dollars and people are not the same thing. I’m not sure how you can even make the claim that they could be or even should be.
MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
I don’t suppose they do, given their chronically low birth rates and willingness to outsource all of their energy production to Russia.
MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
They are two different things, and you are being disingenuous by assuming they are the same.
MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
> this needs to be compared against the norms around this kind of thing

Because other government programs waste money, it must be okay that this one did too?

Congress put $15M in the Inflation Reduction Act for the purpose of a study. If they wanted to spend $41M or $400M, don't you think they would have written that number into the law instead?

> But I do not understand why creating a system and letting people use it would be a problem

I don't know how to say this in any other way: it's because it was not authorized by law. That reason alone is sufficient.

This attitude of "well it was for a good cause, I suppose we can just ignore the law in this instance" is the root of many of our problems in this country. At its root it's really just "the ends justify the means" thinking.

Today it may be something you support. But tomorrow it's deportations or illegal recess appointments or unlawful searches and seizures. When you allow certain laws to be enforced and others to be ignored you set the stage for tyranny.

In many ways we are reaping the harvest of this lax attitude toward how laws are executed in this country. I hope this program serves as an object lesson in why complying with the law may seem tedious but is actually the bedrock of our constitutional order.

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
> No one is forcing you to use it.

No one is forcing me to use such a system today, but I was also assured that if I liked my doctor I could keep my doctor, and that there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. You are naive if you think the government will act altruistically.

> I do not because it won't be a black box anymore than your tax preparer is a black box

How can you say that with any amount of certainty?

Congress asked the IRS to conduct a feasibility study and instead they went and created a full blown system to accept and process tax returns, in violation of what they were statutorily required to do, spending millions beyond what they were legally authorized to.

If they can't even do the study correctly and in good faith, what assurance does anyone have that they won't build a system that will be used to abuse taxpayers? If the government wants me to trust them, then they should act in a trustworthy manner.

> I'm going to make a guess that you've never lived outside of the US.

I'm going to make a guess that you've never studied history.

> If it means that the lowest incomes now get their $1000 dollar credit and get to keep it, I think that's a lot of money for a lot of them.

I too like it when poor people get money they're entitled to. But that doesn't mean we need to bend over backwards and give the IRS massive new powers to accomplish that goal.

There are tradeoffs involved that need to be seriously considered when giving an agency that has consistently abused its power for at least a century more power in the service of that goal. [1]

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_allegations_of_misuse_...

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
I'm not saying a direct file system would lead to more audits. I simply shared the story of my friend to illustrate how abusive and underhanded the government is capable of being, and to make the point that under a direct file system these same people would be completing your tax return for you.

All slopes are slippery. The question is to what degree, and my contention is that this slope is far more slippery than most people want to admit. You are welcome to make the argument that the slope is actually not that steep, but you're going to have to bring more to the table than the insult that my concerns are no more than "religious belief."

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
When was the last time Europe built anything approaching the Hoover Dam, Manhattan Project, or the Panama Canal? You’re not serious, are you?
MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
Until you’ve had an IRS audit you truly can’t even imagine. I hope you never have a similar experience that knocks those rose tinted glasses off your head.

A buddy of mine took the home office deduction for a few years in the late 1990’s. He read the law and was in compliance with it. The IRS audited him and claimed he was not eligible. He lawyered up and spent thousands of dollars fighting it. He was ultimately successful, but his subsequent distrust of government was entirely merited.

Tax preparers at least have incentives to compete with each other on price and quality of service. They also often guarantee return accuracy. Tax law can be complicated and there are legitimate questions about how to treat certain kinds of income or expenses. These are questions you really don’t want the government making unilaterally.

And if you really hate tax preparers, you can always file a paper return for free using forms available from the post office, as my father and I do to this day. And honestly, if a taxpayer doesn’t owe federal taxes, submitting a paper form 1040 is the simplest route. Slap your W2 income on there and fill the rest out and you’re done. No fees, just a stamp and envelope.

A direct file system will inevitably morph into a black box where the government tells you an arbitrary tax liability amount and 99% of taxpayers just accept it at face value and pay it. You really see no problems with such a system?

Arguments of the form “everybody else is doing it, can’t be that bad” are not compelling, in my opinion. Slavery was common everywhere for a long time. I suppose that made it a good thing?

The government entrenches its power by implementing programs that hand out benefits at the cost of your liberty. Those benefits are always popular, and the loss of liberty is only realized after it is far to late to ever get it back.

But hey, the government claims people saved an average of $240 a year and 6 hours of tax preparation time because of this system. What a smashing success!

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
Congress authorized a study, not a full blown system, or even a working prototype. No taxpayers should have ever been allowed to use it to file a tax return.

Despite Congress appropriating only $15M to do the study, the program managed to blow through at least $41M, likely more.[1] This included advertising costs in some states to encourage taxpayers to use the system.

This would be like your boss asking you to send him an email about the pros and cons of adding a feature, and you going and implementing the feature, pushing it to production, and then asking customers for feedback on it.

Whether or not the feature was a success is 100% irrelevant. That’s not how things should be done. We are a nation of laws, and even if the program was a smashing success, there needs to be accountability.

1. https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Report-Replacemen...

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
The biggest issue with Direct File is the conflict of interest created by having the government who benefits from your tax payment also prepare the return for you.

Given the massive amount of IRS shenanigans over the years, it is easy to imagine certain groups unfavored by the government conveniently being led to file returns that cause them to miss out on subsidies they are actually eligible for, or to pay higher taxes based on filing their return in correct but unfavorable ways resulting in higher tax payments than necessary.

This risk is particularly high given that the program was intended for and marketed to low income filers who typically rely on their tax preparer as an advocate to ensure their tax payment is as low as legally possible.

As other comments have mentioned, the program also exceeded statutory authority. Congress authorized the IRS to study a direct file system, not implement one on a permanent basis. It is a good thing when our government is restrained after it oversteps legal boundaries.

This is especially true in the case of this program because it was being intentionally implemented on a massive scale in order to make it politically unpopular to shut down. A program that allows 10% of all tax payers in 25 states is obviously much more than a study.

MisterMower··on The Life and Death of Direct File [pdf]
Crazy environmental and labor regulations is what happened.

I wouldn’t class this IRS project as anywhere near the the magnitude of complexity or impact of the projects you mentioned though.

MisterMower··on Half of Europe's towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago
Best for whom?
MisterMower··on Half of Europe's towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago
Nonsense? I think you are mistaken: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_conflicts_in_Europe

Go read up on the Final Solution. The nazis tried to expel the Jews before killing them. The industrialized genocide they’re infamous for didn’t start in earnest until 1942, right when significant US combat involvement began. The pace of killing increased as they saw the writing on the wall and realized they would likely lose the war.

In 1940 there were plans to send the Jews to Madagascar but the allied blockade made such plans untenable. The general state of combat in Europe toward the end of the war also made leaving on foot impossible.

Additionally the US did next to nothing to stop the genocide throughout the course of the war, save accept some Jewish refugees. US involvement accelerated Hitler’s desire to kill the Jews quickly but did nothing to prevent Hitler’s death camps from operating. Railways to the camps were generally not considered strategic objectives and weren’t bombed, despite ample knowledge of what was happening.

None of this is to excuse any of the actions taken by the Nazis, but again, history is path dependent, and absent US involvement things turn out very differently. Jews might have been mostly deported en masse instead of killed on an industrial scale in concentration camps. Many of them are more able to escape on foot because Europe isn’t blown to bits and swarming with allied troops fighting the Nazis.

Many East Germans, Hungarians, and Ukrainians would vehemently disagree with your claim they were better off with the postwar “peace.” The concentration camps the Nazis invented were perfected by the Soviets, and given perfect hindsight, it’s not clear to me most would choose a to be “liberated” by the Soviets in a war to destroy the occupying Nazis knowing how everything would turn out.

Were the Nazis evil? 100%. Did the US have to fight them when and how they did? Or even at all? To reiterate my original point, the answer to that question is much less clear and a good argument can be made that US involvement was counterproductive.

MisterMower··on Half of Europe's towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago
You can hold the position that Hitler and the Nazis were evil while also believing US involvement in WWII was unnecessary and detrimental in the long term.

The history of Europe is one of unending conflict all the way back to Roman times. So what if Hitler controls all of Europe?

From an American perspective very little changes. Had Hitler not been beligerent toward the British and allowed trade with the US to continue there was basically no reason for the US to be involved.

Everyone would likely have been better off: 30 million civilian deaths could have been avoided, the iron curtain moves much farther east and millions more avoid the purges and starvation under the rule of the USSR after Europe us divided at the end of the war.

An alternate universe exists where Operation Barbarossa is successful because Hitler is not fighting a war on two fronts, and the USSR is either fragmented or controlled by Germany and the Cold War never even commences.

Additionally, Europe doesn’t become defacto occupied by the US for decades and atrophy to the point where half their cities are smaller than they were a few generations ago.

I personally don’t think such an outcome would have been better, but a strong argument can be made, and making it doesn’t mean you’re a nazi.

MisterMower··on What I learned selling 2,500 MIDI recorders: Hardware is not so hard
> 3. Partner with a Chinese assembly house and suppliers. Alibaba is your friend.

Oh, if that’s how you build hardware then sure, hardware isn’t hard to do at all.

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