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NiceWayToDoIT

1,321 karma · joined January 2, 2020

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NiceWayToDoIT··on World to hit temperature tipping point 10 years faster than forecast
Tipping point is considered 450ppmv CO2, a point at which no technology can reverse worst-case climate change scenario.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping_points_in_the_climate_...

NiceWayToDoIT··on Exxon Considers Pledging ‘Net Zero’ Carbon by 2050
Is there a point of pledging to feed a cow after cow is dead already?
NiceWayToDoIT··on 300 Megawatt Tesla battery catches fire
Although, some would like to use this case as something to ban battery storage all together, new much safer battery technologies[1], Current magapack has been deployed using old battery technology and built 4 years ago. Batteries will just get better check this one:

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wOxIoFNfEsk

or even this one from May 2021 Harvard university

-https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXo9TlEb41A

NiceWayToDoIT··on UK Offshore Wind
What is very exciting is that drop of price to £46 per MWH.

In comparison nuclear power plant Hinkley C electricity was fixed in a so-called "strike price" at £92 per megawatt hour, rising with inflation.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-57227918

NiceWayToDoIT··on U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
- About 690 million people globally are undernourished.

- The proportion of undernourished people in the world has declined from 15 percent in 2000-2004 to 8.9 percent in 2019.

- The rate of stunting (children too short for their age as a result of chronic malnutrition) fell from 33 percent of children under age five in 2000 to 21.3 percent in 2019.6

https://www.actionagainsthunger.org/world-hunger-facts-stati...

I mean yes theoretically everything is easy, but somehow in practice just does not work, maybe it will some day in future... they say hope dies last ...

NiceWayToDoIT··on U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
I do not know do you understand that Stalin had same pattern of thinking?

By that logic why not having 40bn people, I mean there is plenty of calories, we do not have to all eat each day, every other day will do...

The entire conversation only has sense in context of life and quality of life of those people, along with all other beings in ecosystem, as idea of the entire article is benefit for having more people for the sake of economy.

There is technical level so what is maximum. Maximum amount of caries with minimum amount of calories needed to survive = 40bn. There is other side if there is one involuntary death due to starvation, there is no point of growing bigger population, as it is shitty civilization anyway and it does not deserve to exist.

Even in pure technical level calculation does not work, as we need to include all issues and loses, we cannot auto-magically say things will solve themselves.

It is necessary to include waste, and continuation of the food waste, then global warming (droughts, floods, pollution), then loss of top soil, issue with nitrogen fixation, issue with energy production, collapsing of marine life, supply chain ...

NiceWayToDoIT··on U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
During almost 2 years of Covid 4.2 million people died (2m per year) and people are terrified across world, but I have a filling that mentioning 0.1% you are trying to say that 5.7 million death due starvation (roughly population of Ireland each year) is not much?

Yes, I know stats, about waste, and also how half of planet undernourished, and half of planet is obese. Yes, if this is perfect world we would not have global warming, inequality, wars, we would not have extinction of animal and plant species, destruction of ecosystem... wealth would be distributed more fairly and we would already live in multiple planets. So, we do not live in that world, we live in world where people turn head on the other side when see someone on the street ask them for just a bit of food ...

NiceWayToDoIT··on U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
> Earth's population will plateau at around 10-11bn people. We can easily feed that many people

It is interesting you said that especially as Oxfam recent study says that each minute 11 people dies of hunger while planet has 7.8bn people.

https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/oxfam-11-people-...

NiceWayToDoIT··on The SaaS Org Chart
I don't get this either, even with 50 you would have a someone with corporate law experience and 400 ?! What am I missing, is one of the top management people at the same time lawyer, or they are on case paid bases?
NiceWayToDoIT··on Autonomy founder Mike Lynch can be extradited to US
Maybe I don't as it must be some very sophisticated fraud when checking all in the following list they missed something like that.

" Corporate attorneys generally review all the company’s financial information from the last five years, including income statements, balance sheets, cash flow and audit reports. Other financial documents that may be reviewed include projections, budgets and forecasts for the financials of the next five years and assess whether they are reasonable. Finally, corporate attorneys generally review all credit agreements, debts and contingent liabilities. "

https://www.priorilegal.com/deals/mergers-acquisitions/manda...

NiceWayToDoIT··on Autonomy founder Mike Lynch can be extradited to US
That scenario looks fishy to me, even when you buying second hand car you do bit of exploration and for buying something with price tag of £11,000,000,000 well you dig a bit deeper, and due diligence is not just going to your financial statements and what is usually accessibly in UK publicly. During that process you dig trough everything, bank statements, expenses, salaries, earnings, revenue streams ... everything.

Personally, I think it is impossible HP has not seen something like that, or they have sent complete idiots to do due diligence.

NiceWayToDoIT··on Autonomy founder Mike Lynch can be extradited to US
But how people from HP they have not noticed fraud during due diligence process?
NiceWayToDoIT··on Autonomy founder Mike Lynch can be extradited to US
OK but how is that possible? Before you sell a company there is a long due diligence process, where all papers and everything else is given to inspection, and I can imagine team of 10 people lawyers accountants and experts going to every, note, paper and even paperclip.

Also isn't rule of market capitalism, if I am the seller I can put any price in the product/service I own, if you do not like my price you do not have to buy?!

NiceWayToDoIT··on Autonomy founder Mike Lynch can be extradited to US
> Artificially inflated

Can someone please explain why is this company any different than any US company? In my eyes they are all artificially inflated. I love Tesla for instance but please P/E ratio of 654.03 isn't that the same thing? (it is genuine question)

NiceWayToDoIT··on Pegasus spyware seller: Blame our customers not us for hacking
I guess once you have a phone it would not be too difficult to do reverse engineering, but I am still confused with level of vulnerability SMS / WhatUp / IMessage what does it mean a link other type "unknown" zero-day !?

It is very odd, on one side governments complaining about other govs are hacking and safty, and at the same time requesting back-doors from tech giants, all the while tech people are saying "crying at loud you cannot have both at the same time", and this is going on for past 20 years ...

NiceWayToDoIT··on Pegasus spyware seller: Blame our customers not us for hacking
In all this I am thinking about scale, and how many political leaders are using same tool to spy their political opponents? I am thinking about just a few countries in which governments have discretionary right not do disclose how and where they spending tax money to the public.

Does anyone know's technically how is this tool exactly deployed, in the sense what prevents Chinese intelligence using same tool to spy on US officials?

NiceWayToDoIT··on Everything you need to know about Covid-19 vaccines
Cost of staff is understandable, but here self-kits are selling for £89 which looks greatly as exploit of unfortunate circumstances.
NiceWayToDoIT··on Information Sovereignty
> high ethical ideals, a strong family, prioritising the spiritual over the material, humanism, kindness, justice, collectivism and patriotism’.

It is interesting how in Slavic countries where corruption is on high rise government peddling same propaganda (my origin is Slavic country so I know)

"All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others".

I am not saying that western countries are any better, just saying that they can be recognized by the narrative of those at the top, which is always very similar. While they hoard majority of wealth they will use propaganda of spiritual over the material, humanism, kindness, justice, and especially patriotism...

NiceWayToDoIT··on Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XVI: What Is the “Dark Forest” Hypothesis?
Thank you for reply, I meant to say that abstraction of all currently existing political systems is aristocracy, democracies/communism/socialism what ever else label we are using is just aristocracy in disguise. Representative democracy is not democracy, as you pointed and I do agree, problem is centralization. You have gave me few valuable insights so I will try to explore more about the topic.
NiceWayToDoIT··on Everything you need to know about Covid-19 vaccines
Interesting enough testes are ranging from £50-250 and usually u need few, even self-test kits have similar range. I wonder is there a way to have a really cheap tests (£3-5) ?

I guess it would be interesting to find out PCR test cost break down.

NiceWayToDoIT··on Everything you need to know about Covid-19 vaccines
Thanks, I was curious to check :

Pfizer-BioNTech $19.50 per dose

Moderna $25-$37 per dose

AstraZeneca $3-4 (U.S.) in the UK and U.S

Johnson & Johnson $10 per dose

Sputnik V Vaccine $10 per dose

Sinovac Biotech $60 per dose in China ($29.75 per dose)

https://www.biospace.com/article/comparing-covid-19-vaccines...

NiceWayToDoIT··on Everything you need to know about Covid-19 vaccines
Uk population is around 67 million (3 doses would be 210m) does anyone know why is the order 517 million vaccine in total?

Are those orders by UK or orders to company producing vaccines?

NiceWayToDoIT··on Airbnb raises violent crime rates in cities as residents are pushed out
As AirBnB has impact on well establish Hotel business what is likelihood that this study and later laws are sponsored by loosing party? It is not uncommon for them to lobby to pass additional laws so they can prevent further loses/increase revenue.
NiceWayToDoIT··on Airbnb raises violent crime rates in cities as residents are pushed out
Have you ever used AirBnb?

It is not possible to be anonymous in AirBnB, to rent a flat they will ask you for multiple ID documents so they could confirm who you are, furthermore there is scoring system so anything fishy about guest or host will stay in the permanent record. I have used AirBnb a lot across the world, and overall I have not had any significantly bad experience.

NiceWayToDoIT··on Hungarian journalists and critics of Orbán were targeted with Pegasus
I perceive this as an example why allowing privacy violation for one group for the "sake of greater good" does not work. Usually the same tools will be used with oppressive regimes. In the beginning it will start with pretext that "we are using this tools to find terrorists, pedophiles and protect children" but more often it will end up prosecuting journalist, silencing whistleblowers and undermining political opponents creating perpetual state of oppression and corruption.
NiceWayToDoIT··on What’s it like hauling nuclear weapons across the country?
What is the procedure when someone accidentally hijacks one of those trucks? If I understood correctly sometimes those trucks will not have an escort.
NiceWayToDoIT··on Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XVI: What Is the “Dark Forest” Hypothesis?
That is not true methane, propylene, hydrogen can be easily produced and they have temperature >2800C while burning of coal can produce combustion gases as hot as 2,500 °C (4,500 °F). https://www.thoughtco.com/flame-temperatures-table-607307
NiceWayToDoIT··on Mars covered in toxic chemicals that can wipe out living organisms (2017)
I do not know how finding from 4 years ago is different than this one: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27863846
NiceWayToDoIT··on Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XVI: What Is the “Dark Forest” Hypothesis?
> I'm not a believer.

Yes, you are equally believer as I am, and everyone on the planet, scientific paper do not mean much (don't get me wrong continue reading), that was the thing I was trying to say, in papers, we have estimates and models, we do not know what will happen exactly in real events. (and that is the point if you are scared enough, you never attempt to attack your enemy) You asked me for an opinion, not the knowledge about the outcome - therefore, I believe that your estimate is low, and you believe my estimate is too high - but neither of us knows what will happen.

> There is no point: We agree on the facts

No, we have not. I just listed the initial blast losses and ask you bunch a of questions on what would follow, on which you have not gave any answers. Regarding the map, I know about it, and it is not a model. It is more of a joke. I can list all the things you need to include, and you build a model; again I do not know your field of work? What do you do?

Humanity can survive in multiple ways, and let say, if we build an artificial womb and save DNA samples, and then after waiting for 100000 years, AI restores humanity and the animal/bio world - is that a real survival? Also, if we lose 99% and 1% continues, is that acceptable? For me, "The death of one man is a tragedy. The death of millions is a statistic." does not really work and it is not acceptable in any case or capacity.

How long will those need to get back on track? What about the amount of suffering they will go through? And after 10000 thousand years, will they repeat the same mistake, but this time with more powerful weapons? According to Mahabharata Indian legend, we already had a similar war with similar weapons a very long time ago, ok it is a story, not a real history as we know, it is more of as Science Fiction of old age in which weapons described are just amazing (self-navigated weapons, explosives, flying ships...)... anyhow I went sideways, I am trying to say the cycle of repetition is boring and at the end can get us extinct due to multiple other causes/agents.

Also while thinking about nuclear exchange we have not even touch that govs will not stop with nukes, there will be plenty of chemical and biological weapons exchange to finish what is left enhanced Ebola, black death and everything else you can and you cannot imagine currently at the military of the world disposal.

If humanity would drop to 100 million (1%) (population approximately 2000 years ago), how spread the population would be? How many gangs? How many tribal wars? Again, what with 450 nuclear power plants around the world? Surrounding of the Chernobyl will not be habitable for 20000 years. https://www.nationalgeographic.co.uk/environment/2019/05/che...

Now, in the time we need to recover, let say in all best conditions where people will not get hugely religious, and instead they turn to science, start learning as much as possible, that there will be no wars for resources, and gangs and criminals, that they will be very cooperative and not repeat same mistakes of the human nature as greed and lust for money, how many years would we need to recover from ashes and radioactive waste? 1000 years, 500, 100, 10 years? Damage would not be comparable to WW2 recovery, as scale of damage would be much bigger. And how would you organize society and make them do any work? How would you secure leader, aristocracy and politicians that caused this issue in the first place? Would they become primary target?

So, let say those 100 million left would need 100 years to recover, fairly optimistic time as nuclear winter would play a good part in the recovery time. During that recovery period, just a bit larger space rock can end the story, the same way like with the dinosaurs. You could say that even now we do not have the technology, but current state + 50 years of new technology, we could have protection in the future. But set back of just 100 years + same space rock few miles wide we would not have any protection, and it would be a game over.

All these scenario are hypothetical and we do not know really, but I would rather choose those probable scenarios that will increase our chance. As I know one thing for certain, I do not know where you live and what are your survival skills, but here in London my survival chances in the case of event are equal to zero and I have to admit I love internet even when we do not agree on things we do not have any influence whatsoever. :)

NiceWayToDoIT··on Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XVI: What Is the “Dark Forest” Hypothesis?
> Just consider how easy it was to dismiss your "humankind is going extinct because of climate change" points-

You have to understand that you have not dismissed anything, you do not have knowledge you have beliefs, judging by the angry typing. There is no point discussing with believes.

Regarding full fledged nuclear exchange I would ask you to write a paper and make computer model, I do not know what is your field of work do you have a sufficient knowledge to do it?

Regarding Global Warming it is fairly uncharted territory, now we know that models from 10 years ago were overly optimistic and that things are happening at much faster rate than expected.

Anyhow, to cut the long unfruitful story short, lets remember this and check in 5 and 10 years what happens.

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