Paradigma11

My experience is that if unchecked very quickly no useful work is being done and every agent is just checking boxes and telling each other what wonderful bureaucrats they are. I am trying to have comprehensive telemetry and checks that limit the overhead to max 10%. Jokes on me since the telemetry turned out the be the most complex item which will finish last. Well, there is always the next project.

Most polls in the EU show around 60% support for military assistance to Ukraine. People are fed up with many things and opposition parties are more likely to be pro Russian to get that vote. If anything the last years have shown Russia's true face and I don't think there is much appetite for renewing those business deals which have been shown to be such a dangerous dependency.

Well, if the policy is to sell its vote membership rights to international adversaries that is to be expected, no?

They lost because they left, they didn't leave because they lost. There is not that much discrepancy between US and Vietnamese scholars about that.

I guess everybody is waiting for the midterms and Trump becoming a lame duck.

MS is actually moving in that direction. They have https://github.com/microsoft/agent-framework and https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/agent-framework/integratio... which all aim to commoditize llms.

Thanks, will do.

No, but I would be willing to bet against concrete milestones on polymarket/kalshi.

So, like an encyclopedia?

Luckily all those companies have done tons of research to exactly qualify and quantify exactly this. Those companies don't seem to have problems identifying those addictive mechanisms, why should the government?

So you are saying that the Germans trained the Ukrainians against an attack that then happened. Oh the horror.....

What are the the concrete Minsk obligations the Germans violated: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsk_agreements

Not even the Russians say that Ukraine started the Donbass war. They are pretty openly celebrating Igor Girkin for starting it with the siege of Sloviansk: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_of_Sloviansk

You will have to bring some examples of Germans war preparations. They were completely unprepared for Gazproms hostile actions leading up to the war.

Well, if Yanukovych thought that the EU deal was bad, then he should not have campaigned for it. People voted for him to get them closer to the EU and then he betrayed them.

The Nuland/Pyatt call does not seem particularly damning to me. At that time everybody sought solutions to the political dilemma and the famous "fuck the EU" was only to express the intention to work with the UN instead of the EU, because the EU was slow and divided.

In the Ashton Paet call, Paet only said what he had heard the day before. And it was absolutely true that he had heard that the day before. That does not make the content true and nobody claimed that.

The Micalessin interviews seem pretty obvious fake. Documents with many grammatical errors...

The fascinating thing is that Russians are far more comfortable with their imperialistic role than their western supporter and if you read Russian newspaper/watch television/politician speeches it becomes pretty clear that all this discussion is only for western consumption.

Many borders are arbitrary. The moral significance results when nations go full 1900 with land grabbing invasion and all that psuedohistorical ethnic bullshit. I urge you to read the soviet propaganda for the winter war or that of the nazis and the Sudetendeutschen. It is not distinguishable from the drivel that Putin spouts.

How was Germany in deception mode? It was Russia that invaded and everybody knew that weeks beforehand. I would hope that politicians had been preparing for that. But how would Germany in 2021 been preparing Russia to invade? Does Putin not have any agency?

It was Russia that prepared for the invasion when they stopped supplying the gas spot market in summer 2021 and later rented gas storage but let it empty. In preparation to blackmail Germany. That didn't work out when Xi did not allow the invasion to start before his winter Olympics ended, though.

As for the Maidan revolution. Yanukovych ran on a pro EU platform with the EU association agreement as a main goal. A few days before signing it he sold out to Putin, declared the agreement dead and called for a custom union with Belarus and Russia. No shit did people go the streets and protested.

How exactly did the US get Yanukovych to renege on his campaign promises and start the protests?

How is that intention going to stop the war with Iran and open the strait of Hormuz?

Do the taxes rise because an increase in rate or the underlying value. If it is the value then cry me a river.

And in 10 years we are going to do double blind studies and realize that nobody can tell the difference. A fact that will be ignored for the next half a century.

I would guess most are working on improving their workflow/tools and keeping up with the rapid changes.

No, Russia being behind NS was never extremely well documented. There was lots of speculation and the German police did investigate and came to the conclusion that it had been the Ukrainians. Now the German police did investigate and came to the conclusion that it was the Russians. That's it.

This has been extremely well documented. They are just paying some losers a few hundred euros to throw a molotow cocktail somewhere, that's it. As for the Germans, you know that they investigated the NS incident and are prosecuting the Ukrainian perpetrators. Now when the perpetrators are Russian, everything is fake of course.

Just send more aid to Ukraine and it will be raining oil again in Moscow.

You are treating this situation like a game where there has to be a possible good outcome and since the current situation is not good the other move would have been the correct one. That is not a very realistic take.

Ukraine's main chance is to bleed Russia dry and make a future invasion not feasible. That needs a Russian economic breakdown and a 10 year time window to let the Europeans arm Ukraine to the teeth. Russia knows this which is why Russian "diplomatic" proposals have the clear goal to make that future invasion easier. It is Ukraine's war of independence against their former colonial master and we will see how it ends.

Here are the natural gas prices for Europe: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/eu-natural-gas If you look at the price from summer 2021 on you will see a sharp rise in prices. The reason was that Russia stopped supplying the spot market. https://www.martenscentre.eu/blog/how-gazprom-manipulated-th... Russia also bought European gas storage capacity to let it sit empty and worsen the situation. All of these actions did not make much economic sense. They did however make a lot of sense when Russia invaded Ukraine and tried to use the gas supply for black mail. Their bad luck was that their hegemon China did not give Russia permission to invade till the end of the Chinese winter Olympics. Olympics ended on the 20th and invasion started on the 24th of february which made the gas threat far less potent.

I know Lenin said: "The capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them" but to suggest continuing the business relationship with Russia is beyond silly. It would show that Germany has no rudimentary survival mechanisms and put its viability as a political entity in serious doubt.

But why did it pass the reviews of the independent subagents whose sole job it is to check all those things?

They are very good at that.

Are you sure about that?

when I checked a few weeks ago I did not really find anything competing per value with a 20x Codex subscription.

Rubio said that the US attacked because Israel would have attacked anyway. Take it up with him.

Not really. It is very hard and expensive to get these oil well pumping again. That is why we had negative oil prices during covid. Plus, when we are talking about the Gulf states, they have extremely low production cost. The discount would be against world prices, not production cost.

Nobody is taking away your calculator.

But I don't see how. AI is going to be a commodity in short order and best case the US will be a temporary leader in the supply of tokens. Meanwhile AI is going to destroy much of the Service and Software industry that make up most of the US economy. And the US is betting every last cent to bring about this future. It does make sense for Trump since this might be a sugar high that lasts till the end of his term.

LLMs give most people on this planet the possibility of an affordable genius level assistant. Compared to that, those Dollar numbers on some networks that might be wiped out with the next financial crisis are meaningless.

So clankers did well and humans being humans.