Podgajski

I’m saying you don’t even understand what Cate is talking about because even Cate agrees with me:

https://sashachapin.substack.com/p/things-you-learn-dating-c...

“ Cate views her own life through a frame of responsibility: she takes responsibility for what happens to her. At the same time, she is genuinely not proud, and genuinely doesn’t think she’s better than anyone else. She credits luck for her good fortune and unusual attributes more than anything else, and is compassionate and curious toward everyone we meet. This is, I think, what sticks with me most.”

> You can’t control the outcome of the coin flip,

That’s my point. That’s my only point. The outcome is still always every time going to depend on luck. Because you can flip that coin 100 times and it could land on heads every time when you wanted tails. Is it unlikely? Yes, is it impossible? No.

Cate believe success is all about luck. She said it herself.

https://sashachapin.substack.com/p/things-you-learn-dating-c...

Luckily, I was born in the 21st-century.

Reading that it sounds like to me she’s unipolar manic. And this is coming from someone who knows about it because I have bipolar disorder.

This would also possibly describe her drug addiction If the drugs weren’t drugs that would fuel mania.

This tells me a lot about you as a person.

Let me tell you how I would see it. High achievers, knowing that they’re successful based on lock would be more helpful to people who didn’t have good luck. This would turn out to be a more stable and even society.

I guess you like the separation of wealth we’re experiencing right now?

> You can, just throw the coin again until it lands the way you want.

Oh, I didn’t realize life is that simple. I can just keep doing things until they turn out the way I want.

I don’t even know what’s going on here anymore.

You’re artificially predicting a positive outcome. You said “repeat until I get the job“. But you could be very unlucky person and keep sitting there flipping and flipping the coin and never guessing right. I’m not saying to not keep trying. I’m saying your certainty of positive outcome is false.

He went from calling something success to “making the most of it”.

You’re assuming I’m a nihilist and I’m not. I’m going to die, but I don’t kill myself.

In my opinion, if we looked at peoples success and failure as all based on luck, we would be much kinder to each other.

Are you sure you want to be quoting Louis Pasteur on this topic? For my recollection, he seem to have created a lot of his own luck out of thin air.

Yes, at any point in time, you can be lucky or unlucky.

By changing the odds of an outcome, you’re not changing your luck, you’re changing the odds. Even having 99.999% certainty you can still be unlucky and land in that percent. Probability is not deterministic. And what determines the outcome? Luck.

Why are you saying that luck is positively based question. And what’s your definition of success.? I mean I put my coffee cup down on a table, do I count that as success?

Kind of but not really. But truly thank you for hearing what I’m saying. What I’m not saying is that people have good or bad luck in general. That you have a predetermined amount of luck.

Maybe this can simplify it even more. You have no agency deciding whether a coin lands on heads or tails. We would say someone is lucky if they said a coin will land on heads more than tails and they were right.

If Someone can explain to me how you can change your agency without physically manipulating the coin then have it. And these random things happen every day in our lives.

And I’m not even saying don’t try for success, I’m just saying, don’t listen to these people who talk about success like it’s something that you can achieve without being on your side.

The truth is you don’t have 100% agency in your life and you never will. It’s impossible. So since you don’t have 100% agency, the rest is up to luck. Good or bad luck whatever it is I’m not being negative here.

Your interpretation of my comments is negative. I’m not saying you can’t change your opportunity in life, I’m saying that if luck has anything to do with your success or failure, then it’s all based on luck, and nothing to do with what opportunities you create.

It may will be that I do everything wrong in life and limit my opportunities, and still win the lottery because I tripped and fell on my face and lo and behold there was a winning lottery ticket that someone misplaced.

What I am saying over and over again is increasing your odds of success. Does not change your luck. Just like you cannot change the fact if a coin lands on heads or tails. You have zero agency in that outcome.

No, you’re wrong, luck isn’t helped by anything. It’s just luck. You can change all the opportunities you want but if you have bad luck you have bad luck if you have good luck you have good luck.

Other words, the odds don’t care about your luck.

No, I didn’t miss the point of the article, I’m expressing the fact that she totally negates luck in anyone’s life circumstances, that it is all about agency. After all, you have to have some amount of luck to have agency in the first place.

Who says I’m not taking charge of life? I just know the role that luck has to play in life as well. That way when I’m not lucky I don’t keep all that blame on myself or when other people are unlucky I don’t blame them for their failures. Because who the hell knows?

Playing the lottery versus not playing the lottery doesn’t change your luck, it changes your odds.

If two people play the lottery the same amount of times and one person wins way more than the other, You would say one person was luckier than the other.

so what? That doesn’t change what I’m saying.

The very definition of the word luck goes against what you’re saying.

“success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions.”

This is a saying that sounds good, but makes no sense. For example, how do you change your luck of getting a coin to flip 90% of the time on tails?

So you would say that one was lucky if they flipped a coin 10 times and nine times out of 10 It landed on tails when they needed it to land on tails. But you know what? If they needed it to land on heads those nine out of 10 times they would be unlucky.

What you all are talking about is not luck, it’s opportunity. You can increase your opportunity, but your luck never changes.

What’s with all the woo hoo here on HN? The very definition of the word luck goes against your “frame it on the wall” feely good saying.

“success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions.”

but I guess you’re also saying that people who get cancer are just letting it happen? Maybe they should’ve investigated the edges. You see there are two types of luck, good luck and bad luck. How do you know if by increasing your good luck in one area you’re not increasing your bad luck in another?

And genetics. Genetics matter. I don’t need drugs to create changes in perception or my visual hallucinations. I need drugs to stop them.

It’s not 2020 anymore. And by the way, check out bitcoin today. And the ETFs. They’re all selling on the news.

Uhm, Check the ticker today. I hate say I told you so, but I told you so.

Soup isn’t housing. But if I didn’t have any soup and someone imported a Ukrainian and they bought the last can of soup on the shelf, I would be upset.

This is also the country that the United States CIA initiated a coup against a sovereign government, by their own admission.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27état#:....

It’s also the country where we assassinated a general in 2020 without a declaration of war.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Qasem_Solei...

Is it actually that hard for you to believe that this could be a false flag stage by the United States?

Yeah, that’s worse. They took hosting AND a job away from someone.

Because it’s overbought and most of the coins are at island tops. If you don’t know what an island top is, look it up.

Plus, the house always wins, and you ain’t the house.

This is the ultimate idiotic abstraction of financial capitalism that I have seen yet. What value does investing or trading in bitcoin bring to the economy? Absolutely none! And you all wonder why there’s rampant inflation and the huge separation of wealth.

I don’t know what you’re talking about. Literally everyone was saying it was going to happen. And how bitcoin is going to crash because you’re all suckers.