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ProjectArcturis

4,612 karma · joined May 24, 2020

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ProjectArcturis··on How many EV charging stations does the US need to replace gas stations?
How hard could it be to add chargers to most gas stations? Just add them to the front of the building where the row of parking spots is. Bet they'd sell a lot more snacks, too.
ProjectArcturis··on Roman Emperors' Outrageously Lavish Dinner Parties
It would have been nice if the article had acknowledged that most ancient sources were not particularly reliable and often had axes to grind (praising the current emperor or disparaging his predecessors/enemies).
ProjectArcturis··on Spotify Car Thing will be discontinued
I guess Spotify has made the strategic decision not to pursue the consumer car market and instead to cede that space to Sirius. Because this absolutely poisons the well against anyone buying hardware from Spotify again.
ProjectArcturis··on Carmakers Will Give Your Location to Police Without a Warrant, Senators Say
Will be? No, it already is.
ProjectArcturis··on Statement from Scarlett Johansson on the OpenAI "Sky" voice
Case law says no.

There have been several legal cases where bands have sued advertisers for copying their distinct sound. Here are a few examples:

The Beatles vs. Nike (1987): The Beatles' company, Apple Corps, sued Nike and Capitol Records for using the song "Revolution" in a commercial without their permission. The case was settled out of court.

Tom Waits vs. Frito-Lay (1988): Tom Waits sued Frito-Lay for using a sound-alike in a commercial for their Doritos chips. Waits won the case, emphasizing the protection of his distinct voice and style.

Bette Midler vs. Ford Motor Company (1988): Although not a band, Bette Midler successfully sued Ford for using a sound-alike to imitate her voice in a commercial. The court ruled in her favor, recognizing the uniqueness of her voice.

The Black Keys vs. Pizza Hut and Home Depot (2012): The Black Keys sued both companies for using music in their advertisements that sounded remarkably similar to their songs. The cases were settled out of court.

Beastie Boys vs. Monster Energy (2014): The Beastie Boys sued Monster Energy for using their music in a promotional video without permission. The court awarded the band $1.7 million in damages.

ProjectArcturis··on Statement from Scarlett Johansson on the OpenAI "Sky" voice
I'm beginning to think this Sam Altman guy isn't so trustworthy.
ProjectArcturis··on Why prediction markets aren't popular
Ultimately, markets are driven by the need for exchange of risk. On one side are parties who wish to hedge their risk (oil producers, farmers, companies with Forex exposure, etc). On the other are speculators who will take on that risk in exchange for getting the positive-expected-value side of most trades.

Sports betting is a bit the opposite, in that there are gamblers who want volatility, and sharps/books who will provide that to them, again, in exchange for the +EV side of most trades.

Prediction markets offer neither - there is minimal gambling demand and essentially zero hedging demand.

ProjectArcturis··on CPI for all items rises 3.4%; shelter and gasoline up
Because it makes debts grow in real terms. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt_deflation
ProjectArcturis··on CPI for all items rises 3.4%; shelter and gasoline up
Yes, obviously.
ProjectArcturis··on CPI for all items rises 3.4%; shelter and gasoline up
The site shadowstats.com, which is one of the granddaddies of the "inflation stats are rigged" claims, says that it "unrigs" government inflation statistics. It does this by simply adding 10%.

Ironically, the cost of membership at shadowstats has stayed unchanged since 2008.

ProjectArcturis··on Stack Overflow users deleting answers after OpenAI partnership
Ah. I've found various LLMs are much easier to query and generally nicer than SO posters, so it's been quite a while since I've needed to visit SO. I assumed most people had made a similar journey.
ProjectArcturis··on Stack Overflow users deleting answers after OpenAI partnership
Is there anyone who makes stackoverflow their first stop for programming questions anymore?
ProjectArcturis··on Can turning office towers into apartments save downtowns?
>If you can buy the building cheap enough, conventional wisdom can be thrown out the window.

In St Louis, the largest building in the state, which is 1.4M square feet and 44 stories, recently sold for $3.5M. It sat empty for several years despite being offered basically for free. The new owners have not announced plans for it.

It's a pretty pure test of your claim. I guess we'll see what happens.

ProjectArcturis··on Psilocybin Effective as Antidepressant
There is good evidence that psilocybin can reduce depressive symptoms in many people for about 3 months. There are no studies with longer follow-ups, and no studies where patients get more than one dose.
ProjectArcturis··on Takeaways from the Jane Street bond prospectus
Hedge fund comp is extremely skewed. When I worked at one, in good years my boss made more than 10x what I made, and I made about 10x what my reports made.
ProjectArcturis··on How did Ancient Greek music sound?
>My impression was that these epics came about via oral tradition, with centuries of recitation by bards.

This is the current scholarly consensus.

>Instead, Jaynes claims, these poems originated in the unconscious right hemisphere and were blindly recited by those who could not ignore the metered, schizophrenic prose forced upon them by their bicameral mind.

This is absolutely nuts. It could only be the result of someone reading Sperry and Gazzaniga's split brain experiments and deeply over-interpreting them.

ProjectArcturis··on Tesla conducting more layoffs, including entire Supercharger team
You're giving Musk a lot more credit for the share price than he deserves. If there hadn't been a pandemic, and stimulus checks, and people playing on Robinhood for fun, TSLA wouldn't have gone up nearly so much.

Put another way, sure, the stock price went above the targets he set for himself. How much did profits go up?

ProjectArcturis··on Tesla conducting more layoffs, including entire Supercharger team
Why would you want TSLA to be valued like a normal car company?
ProjectArcturis··on Tesla conducting more layoffs, including entire Supercharger team
If you're a top-tier AI researcher, why TF would you choose Tesla to work for? The shine has gone off Musk as a super-genius. All you'd be getting is an arbitrary, capricious boss and terrible work hours.
ProjectArcturis··on General Galactic emerges from stealth to make methane from carbon dioxide
The physics of this seem near impossible. Obviously you can make methane from CO2 and water, but making it more cheaply than pumping it out of the ground? Nat gas futures are $1.61 per cubic foot. Where are they going to get the enormous amount of energy to power this process?
ProjectArcturis··on Managing Up
Boy this is a long screed by someone who doesn't seem to understand that companies' main goal is to make money, not great products. Yes, we are in a period of enshittification, and yes this names a lot of the people and processes responsible. But if you don't understand that the owners and investors are extremely happy with how this has gone so far, you're just shouting at clouds.
ProjectArcturis··on As solar capacity grows, some of America's most productive farmland is at risk
You're ignoring the little problem of transmission.
ProjectArcturis··on As solar capacity grows, some of America's most productive farmland is at risk
You'd have support posts buried every 6 feet. Sure you could remove them, but at a cost of many thousands per acre. When the rent is hundreds per year. It just wouldn't be economically viable.
ProjectArcturis··on As solar capacity grows, some of America's most productive farmland is at risk
It's hard to argue with land use that will pay an owner 500-600% more than its existing use. But I would worry deeply about the sustainability of those rents. What happens when electricity prices dip and the solar companies go bankrupt? The land will basically never be able to be used as farmland again.
ProjectArcturis··on British Columbia to recriminalize use of drugs in public spaces
Problematic: it causes problems not just for you, who are choosing to take the drugs, but also for others. Perhaps that's because you've been on meth for 5 days and are now raving mad in the streets. Perhaps you've taken fentanyl in a public park and are leaning like a zombie on the playground. Perhaps you've fried your brain and are unable to work, only able to aggressively panhandle to feed your addiction.
ProjectArcturis··on Cost of developing new drugs may be lower than industry claims: trial
Wait, these companies are making PROFITS that they're returning to INVESTORS??? I don't know whether to call 60 Minutes, the FBI, or The Daily Worker.
ProjectArcturis··on Cost of developing new drugs may be lower than industry claims: trial
Seems like a lot, but in the context of $200B spent on R&D, 2% spent on warding off confiscation is probably money well spent.
ProjectArcturis··on Cost of developing new drugs may be lower than industry claims: trial
It's clear that it does NOT.
ProjectArcturis··on Cost of developing new drugs may be lower than industry claims: trial
Is your reasoning that people who create the most valuable, life-saving products should be rewarded by having the government break their parents?

And the research is not paid for by the taxpayer. The NIH budget is $20B per year. Pharma R&D is $200B per year.

ProjectArcturis··on Cost of developing new drugs may be lower than industry claims: trial
Microsoft Office retails for $250 but costs $0 to make. Perhaps it could be argued that installation CDs are "expensive", but not $250, and online downloads make this item moot.
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