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SmallBets

315 karma · joined February 26, 2013

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SmallBets··on Micro-Loans Don't Solve Poverty
I like the thoughts here on micro vs macro finance in the developing world: https://www.ted.com/talks/sangu_delle_in_praise_of_macro_yes...

i.e. maybe less gofundme and more kickstarter/angelist can have an impact.

SmallBets··on Can’t Put Down Your Device? That’s by Design
Thanks for this one, liked it more than the NYT.

Was also interesting to learn where the game company "Machine Zone" (Game of War) got its name.

SmallBets··on Life in a Studio Apartment with My Wife and Two Sons
It's interesting that most reactions here are either a)"this is nothing compared to country x" or b)this is an example of extremely negative hardship.

I thought the direct lessons he laid out were excellent, about being ruthlessly honest on what you truly need to be happy, and the freedom that you get from the resulting wealth when combining that with a SF tech salary.

It is a reasoning from first principles on living conditions that not enough people do imo. I think we tend to subconsciously accept the default of more space/stuff=better without making a direct choice on what is the specific right amount for ourselves. Coming to a definition of what "enough" is for ourselves keeps the goalposts from moving as income rises.

Also the point about gaining empathy for the poor based on experiencing a lower margin for error and high cost when things went wrong in this lifestyle was another good observation.

SmallBets··on The Benefits of a Quiet Ego
Balancing this line defines the human experience in my opinion. Objectively it is true, we are minute. But humanity is in the subjective making of meaning. That opportunity to make your own meaning is an incredible one if you choose to accept it. If you don't, it's not, and depression/nihilism results.

And the funny thing is, those who hone that strongest sense of subjective meaning and well being in how they see the world, are the ones who make an outsized butterfly-effect impact on the world, coming closest to overcoming that objective meaninglessnes.

So basically, imo the answer to why do anything? Is because you believe something is worth doing subjectively/on faith/on instinct. Only then does it have a chance to build toward a more objective answer to why do it, in its impact on people & history.

SmallBets··on The Fall of Bloodletting and the Rise of Iron
Giving blood is one of those things where it's low risk, can help others, and has some science behind the benefits presumably by reducing iron. Have been meaning to get into it.

Some of the studies are linked here:http://www.science-of-aging.com/donating-blood-extend-lifesp...

SmallBets··on Open Source at IFTTT
I have been meaning to dive in. What are some recipes/use cases that worked out best for you?
SmallBets··on Gut Feelings: The “Second Brain” in Our Gastrointestinal Systems
As more in this field comes to light, it makes medicine's overuse (imo) of antibiotics very concerning.
SmallBets··on Premium Pricing Just Doesn't Last
You can add Beats to the list - a low barrier industry ripe to undercut a premium priced brand, but it has not done so.

There is an emotional factor, where customers associate their own identity and how they see themselves with the brands. That is what allows premium pricing to last.

SmallBets··on Replacing Middle Management with APIs
What doesn't get brought up enough in these discussions is the degree to which the advances in AI and resource distribution bring down costs and increase the accessibility of having your needs met.

For example, as Uber has advanced to UberX and now UberPool, the possibility of being car-free is much more feasible and potentially cheaper than ownership. So the labor hours required to own a car are cut out as a need for those workers. Similarly, craigslist, AirBNB etc. are impacting the renting vs. buying scenario and reducing costs in those areas.

Will this increase in accessibility happen at the same rate of labor loss? Probably not and there will be some turbulence, but I think the net result will be a realization of excess in western culture and an adjustment to more reasonable standards of living.

Sure, there will be 'above the api' haves, but there is reason to believe the accessibility of meeting basic needs will scale up as a long term net result after short/mid term turbulence.

SmallBets··on I own some very well-followed social accounts. How can I make this a business?
No prob - I'm also a huge fan. Should've mentioned it is an interview with Brendan Hampton who is the one playing in the space.
SmallBets··on I own some very well-followed social accounts. How can I make this a business?
I just listened to this James Altucher podcast on the subject, about monetizing high followed accounts via sponsored posts:

http://www.stansberryradio.com/Frank-Curzio/Latest-Episodes/...

I thought it was pretty eye opening and seems relevant to your situation. Talks about streamlining the content creation process, getting advertisers to pay for sponsored posts, and he is now developing his own products to sell that would otherwise be pitched by advertisers in his sponsored posts.

SmallBets··on Is the Supreme Court about to rule software ineligible for patent protection?
First software, next seeds.
SmallBets··on Show HN: My side project just reached #6 on App Store music charts
Loved the first song I heard on web version, +1 for Android.

Good example of non-technical value creation - can't fake good curation. That your project has done so well tells me that the streaming music players have not cracked the code yet.

SmallBets··on The 10 commandments for happiness and success
I've had similar problems and saw a talk by Heidi Halvorson that reframed it a bit: Instead of trying to stop the "compare to others" behavior, replace the behavior instead with "compare to my own past performance". I've found measuring and hacking your own improvement is a more useful feedback loop.
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