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TylerJay

87 karma · joined December 5, 2013

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submissionscomments
TylerJay··on What Doesn’t Kill Me Makes Me Stronger
Hey, sorry for the delay on this. That's not quite how natural selection works, but it's a very common line of thinking. When making an evolutionary argument, you can't make "top down" arguments. You have to look at it from a "bottom up" perspective.

Lets analyze the scenario where individuals don't die by aging. So we have some members of the species from generation 1 who grow up, then reproduce. In generation 2, there are some that have mutations that make them more suitable for the environment and some that make them less suitable. The less suitable ones are outcompeted and don't survive, the normal ones mostly group up to survive, and the ones with beneficial mutations outcompete all the others, leading to the deaths of some of the ones with the "original" genes, and procreate. This then happens again and again with beneficial mutations and they eventually becoming ubiquitous in the population.

There's just no way that an individual member of the species with a mutation that gives it a definite lifespan has a fitness advantage over the others, all else being equal. What's more likely is that immortality is not necessary to pass on genes, so it simply never developed because it would involve many complex systems, the individual components of which would not have conferred enough of a fitness advantage on their own to become universal in a population. And since the natural environment is harsh and predatorial, most animals don't die of old age anyway, which again limits the usefulness of an unlimited potential lifespan.

TylerJay··on The Cult of the Bulletproof Coffee Diet
I don't know why this made me laugh so hard. Just the idea of all these bulletproofers chugging their coffee with bag-clips on their noses. Thanks for that.
TylerJay··on CIA agents who tortured are vulnerable to prosecution in any country
What about when it is combined with duress? Like if you refused once and were told they would kill your family if you ever refused again or quit? I'm just curious. I agree with the spirit of the idea that following orders is not valid justification, but being under duress is a well-known and generally accepted justification for committing a crime. Can you shed any extra light on this?
TylerJay··on Why Are Psychedelics Illegal?
While I expect the death rate of psychedelics/hallucinogens to be much, much lower than that of alcohol, it should be noted that the analysis you presented here doesn't really provide solid evidence that it is so.

Given that an average LSD dose is 50-150mcg and because of the "Cascade effect" nature of the drug, LSD is often not measurable in the blood even when someone is heavily under the influence. And even in the cases where it would be detectable if they tested for it, LSD is not included in coroners' postmortem tox-screens unless it is specifically suspected. Movies and TV get this wrong frequently.

Basically, I'm saying that since it isn't routinely tested for (and is often undetectable anyway) the published statistics have no reason to be accurate.

But really, how much more common (even after adjusting for frequency of overall usage) are "Hey, watch this. Hold my beer" deaths than any deaths from LSD? My estimate is "a lot."

TylerJay··on Have We Been Interpreting Quantum Mechanics Wrong This Whole Time?
One of the main objections to the pilot-wave theory of QM is that it brings us back to the idea of a "luminiferous aether" that was famously disproved by the null result of the Michaelson-Morley experiment. What would the substrate be? The article gives a very brief hand-wavy mention to it being "space-time" and I've heard this before, but I have yet to hear even a good suggestion for how this might work.

A related problem is that both De Broglie's and Bohm's pilot-wave models leave open the possibility of "empty waves" that carry no momentum or energy and are not related to any particles. Even if we assume that it is space-time through which they propagate, this gives us another piece of math that we need to just throw away, similar to the non-observed probabilities after state collapse, which runs counter to the goal of creating a formalism where the math corresponds to something real in the universe(s).

TylerJay··on The Cult of the Bulletproof Coffee Diet
Yup. It's the same idea as Seth Roberts' "Shangri-la Diet" where you drink a tbsp of olive oil or something first thing in the morning which supposedly reduces hunger the rest of the day.
TylerJay··on Persistent Associations Between Prenatal Exposure to Phthalates and Child IQ
Personally, I use glass, as much for the taste as for peace of mind about potential chemical leaching. Stainless steel is probably second best in terms of safety as long as you make sure that the inside is not lined with plastic or some other coating (it happens) and that it is from a reputable manufacturer and certified free heavy metals or other metals that are not good to ingest.

Here are the bottles I've been using for about a year and a half:

http://amazon.com/Aquasana-AQ-6005-18-Ounce-Bottles-6-Pack/d...

All glass with a BPA-free plastic top. They're great, but I have broken two of them, which is of course the major downside of glass bottles.

TylerJay··on What Doesn’t Kill Me Makes Me Stronger
I'm not buying the Demographic Theory of Senescence.

> Aging is nature’s way of leveling out the death rate, assuring that we don’t all die at the same time. Aging puts our deaths on an individual schedule so we can die at different times; other causes of death tend to kill everyone or no one.

It's a magical "group selection" hand-wavy argument—it sounds nice and is kind of heart-warming, but when making an evolutionary argument, that's usually a bad sign. In this case, it doesn't provide an explanation of how purposeful aging could possibly increase an individual's probability of passing on their genes.

If not aging was an option, you would expect to see something more similar to the results of Michael J. Wade's 1976 experimental attempt to show group selection behavior in individuals of a species. He artificially induced resource constraints on a selected subpopulation of flour beetles to see if the beetles would restrain their reproduction for the benefit of the group. What happened? The adults started eating the young of the other adult beetles.

http://www.pnas.org/content/73/12/4604.full.pdf

I don't have an explanation for aging, but I seriously doubt that it's a way for Nature to regulate population size to avoid resource depletion for the group.

TylerJay··on Regex Crossword
Nice work overall. That was fun.

Just a heads-up though: There are some typos and grammar mistakes in your explanations, so if you plan to share professionally, you might want to have someone proofread it. Also, your Facebook OAuth window that pops up upon page load is being caught by Chrome's built-in popup blocker. Either way though, I'm always disappointed when Facebook OAuth is the only login method. I get that it's easy to implement, but I can't imagine this is a very security-sensitive app in terms of user-accounts. I would like to save my progress, but it's not worth the risk or analysis required to hook up my Facebook.

TylerJay··on Scientists predict green energy revolution after new graphene discoveries
I'm confused too. Is this just bad reporting or am I missing something?
TylerJay··on Delegative Democracy – a scalable voting model
That was my first thought too, but as long as your actual votes are somehow kept private, there's no more risk of vote-buying than in a representative democracy, is there?
TylerJay··on The Scientific 7-Minute Workout
I agree with most of what you said, except for the part about doing the bare minimum not being motivating. I'm also a pretty experienced lifter (Been lifting for 9 years, can DL 3x my bodyweight, Squat 2.5x bodyweight, BP 1.6x) but I'm always looking for the bare minimum to improve. If that happened to be a 7 minute workout, that's what I would do. I think it's incredibly motivating to use your time really effectively. I spend probably about 1/4 to 1/2 the time in the gym as anyone else there with comparable fitness levels because I've done a lot of research on training methods and have tried tons of different programs and permutations to find the ones that are most effective for me.

I think you're right that the biggest problem with this is that there are "no discernible goals" associated with this "scientific" workout. For noticeable strength and physique improvements, the lowest I've found to be effective are 40 minute workouts 3 times per cycle with a cycle length of 7-10 days depending on the types of workouts done.

TylerJay··on The Scientific 7-Minute Workout
SS and StrongLifts serve similar purposes are are both effective. StrongLifts can be better for people starting from very low fitness levels, while SS remains effective up to a higher strength level.

This (unofficial, but true-to-source) site is a better resource for the actual Starting Strength programs if you don't want to buy the book: http://startingstrength.wikia.com/wiki/FAQ:The_Program

TylerJay··on Always bet on text
It always worked pretty well for me. It just got annoying to have on all the time.
TylerJay··on Fully Functional 1KB Hard Drive in Vanilla Minecraft
I remember hearing that the nand2tetris people were going to do an edX course on it in the fall. Does anyone know anything about that?
TylerJay··on How a mathematician constructed a decision tree to solve a medical problem
Getting the right answer in 20 questions actually relies on a rough implementation of binary search over a huge possible "thing space". A problem I can see with applying this to medicine is that medical conditions don't always present in the same way and measurable factors are not binary, so you often can't rule out a hypothesis with a certain result, even if it reduces the probability of that hypothesis.

The decision algorithm in the article is amazing in its accuracy and simplicity. There is probably some other low-hanging fruit in reproducing this method in other areas of medicine by working with someone who already has a high degree of accuracy in their diagnoses, but doesn't fully understand their own process. But outside of areas where anyone has the current ability to make such accurate diagnoses, it would be a lot more complicated.

You'd need to determine which factors are important, which of those are covariant, and how that relationship works. Then from there, work over tons of data to establish a bayesian model with weightings to apply to each factor so that you can observe the evidence, plug it into the model, and get out your probability distribution over possible diagnoses. It's no easy task, but I believe that this kind of approach is the future of medicine.

TylerJay··on Fasting triggers stem cell regeneration of damaged, old immune system
I think it's important to note that "Ketogenic" might not be the right word for the necessary diet intervention to make it easier to fast for long periods.

Ketosis is a state where you eat so little carbohydrate, that your body is forced to create "ketone bodies" to fuel the brain. This typically happens at <50g/day carbohydrate.

Most anecdotal evidence (and my own experiences) show that you can get your body into a primarily fat-burning state that makes it easier to fast for long periods without hunger pangs by eating up to somewhere around 100 or 150g/day carbohydrate (assuming you eat a 2000-2500 Kcal/day diet) while providing enough glucose to the brain that your body is not forced to create excess Ketone bodies.

TylerJay··on Dumb.domains
I think pirate.watch is the best of them. Could either be a streaming site or a site monitoring piracy.
TylerJay··on Are you paid to look busy?
As a counterpoint, I remember being taught in a Game Theory course that both the shooters and the goalies acted in accordance with the Nash Equilibrium which (IIRC) happens to be equal amounts to each option. You would think that if such a vulnerability actually existed, coaches and analysts would have figured it out and it would be exploited.
TylerJay··on Taboo Your Words (2008)
> Of course, the reason Wittgenstein ultimately rejected this picture, as in rejected describing the meaning of words by formal definition, is that it doesn't accurately describe the way language is used in practice, and leads us to misunderstand situations.

I don't think the author is really trying to give a "formal definition" of the meaning of words. The point he is trying to make is that while people may claim to disagree about a high level sentence like "when a tree falls and nobody is around to hear it, does it still makes a sound?", they actually don't expect there to be any real difference in the physical state of the world after the tree falls.

If you taboo the word "sound", then the question becomes either "when a tree falls and nobody is around to hear it, are there still vibrations in the air?" or "when a tree falls and nobody is around to hear it, is there still an auditory experience for anyone?" If two people were to disagree on either of THESE statements, then they actually have an important difference in their models of the world.

The idea is that words are just convenient ways of referring to a collection of objects that are similar in some ways. Words used in everyday conversation generally do not have strict definitions. They just refer to a cluster of things. This post helps explain that idea:

http://lesswrong.com/lw/nl/the_cluster_structure_of_thingspa...

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