_2d30

> As with the insane "encryption is a weapon and cant be exported" policy of the 80s, this will surely force innovation to migrate outside the US.

Not advocating for this policy but if a critical argument against it is that policymakers can expect an analogous amount of computer innovation migrating out of the US as it saw in the 80s, then I think policymakers won't care remotely. Quite literally I think the lower bound for the proportion of global computer innovation happening in the US is 70%.

> Consumer spending as a share of US GDP moved from roughly 61% in 1980 to about 68% today. That’s a modest rise over four decades — and it has essentially plateaued since 2010.

> This matters because it tells us something important: technology is not meaningfully expanding the total amount humans consume. It’s redistributing how we consume, and who profits from it.

This is mathematically illiterate and appears to be central to the point.

Actually, you're doing something right. Everyone else is doing something wrong.

In Italy, the only entities consistently paying taxes are large corporations. Literally everyone else is constantly evading them.

Feel free to look through my post history and decide for yourself if I’m likely to be an OAI/Sam fan.

Try decoupling how you feel about people and what you think objectively about them.

Because optically it makes him look terrible.

One of the things that Altman does great is that when he writes he writes as though it will be read by the public every time. It’s why he is able to constantly post his own internal memos/posts on twitter. It’s great too because it makes him look “transparent”.

A lot of people downvoted me for saying the messaging of the internal post was bad. Good to see Dario is smart enough to see that it was a bad look.

Naturally OpenAI also releases their new model on the same day.

Makes sense, obviously, but yeesh.

Enough people cares to flip the ranking of the App Store downloads.

They don't have the talent.

At least as it's presented in the article, there's no more reason to believe Amodei than there is Altman and Altman is presenting it in a less impassioned way which makes him more believable to anyone who doesn't have in-depth knowledge of the situation.

Going "what he's saying is straight up lies" is no more evidence backed than Altman claiming he asked the DoD to have Anthropic given the same deal as OAI and have the SCR designation avoided.

That he's talking shit about Altman who is, at least in public, only talking up Anthropic. This will only play well with people who hate Altman, which is not the majority or even much of the public. It plays right into Altman's hand who can do what he always does which is play his "smol bean billionaire" role and act like a victim of big bad Amodei.

Just because you hate Altman doesn't mean everyone else does! Most people just know him as the guy who makes ChatGPT which most people like.

EDIT: Also, it doesn't help to brag about how this is good actually because now they are getting app downloads! People sympathize with victims of unfair situations. They don't like seeing people take advantage of those unfair situations though. No one has ever found the welfare recipient bragging about their welfare to be sympathetic.

That he's talking shit about Altman who is, at least in public, only talking up Anthropic. This will only play well with people who hate Altman, which is not the majority or even much of the public. It plays right into Altman's hand who can do what he always does which is play his "smol bean billionaire" role and act like a victim of big bad Amodei.

Just because you hate Altman doesn't mean everyone else does! Most people just know him as the guy who makes ChatGPT which most people like.

He has to know that this would leak and it makes him look really bad. This is going to be a meaningful, unforced error.

Single chips do.

> Here's one that is: https://www.appliedmaterials.com/us/en/semiconductor/epic-pl...

This might be a refutation but it's not super clear. It's definitely not a commercial semiconductor fab but it might do all of or some subset of what a commercial fab does at R&D scale. Hard to know for sure how this jives with the claim in the main website.

> If you can do all that without getting new permits then that makes California sound like a pretty lenient place to do business.

Being able to retool under original zoning/permitting is specifically lenient? That's extremely basic. If you're a co-Californian with me, though, it does help to understand that many people think that anyone doing anything without a permit is "lenient".

> I'm assuming they did have to get new permits though.

Well, that makes it really easy to be "right". I should try this more.

The website is extremely clear about this being about _new_ automotive paint shops, so nothing you said here refutes the website.

I can tell you that your two articles that intended to refute the semiconductor fabrication stuff fail to do so. Both sites were existing facilities and would therefore fall under the granfathered in point in the site.

How was this Google’s fault? Seems clearly like Radix’s fault.

Damn. Guess I'll stop QAing my own work from now.

F12, Console, type document.designMode = 'off'

Yeah I just logged in to see if it was really this bad an all I got were:

(1) extremely, impressively relevant ads. (2) posts from people I know that were mostly nice except for my uncle who seemed to be posting nonsense.

I’m honestly incredibly surprised they would get rid of the desktop app just as desktop messaging apps have become their most important.

The future Meta AI would have seemingly fit rightly in there.

I would bet a lot of money on your poison is already identified and filtered out of training data.

No one wonders that if they have any actual knowledge. Chinese government spending as a % of GDP is much less than say France. :-)

https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/exp@FPP/USA/FRA/JPN/...

Bureaucratisation in the realm of business is much smaller in most relevant ways for most enterprises in China as well.

That is what the author would be implying, yes. Though, you may quibble over "considerable".

The title implies it directly.

He’s European and uses a “.” instead of a “,”

So we are all expected to build our own payment processors in order to not be ridiculous?

Surely we aren't meant to believe that having some critical part of our lives or businesses dependent on a third party is "a little bit ridiculous"?

I don't imagine I should be expected to launch my own bank or semiconductor fab.