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a_conservative

64 karma · joined March 31, 2017

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a_conservative··on China urges its people to struggle. Some say no
Excellent point! I updated it to make the number of births per family a parameter. It's still an approximation of reality of course.

Here are the results when the number of max births per family is dropped to 2:

    boys = 74861            girls 75166
    boys = 74752            girls 75464
    boys = 75047            girls 74933
a_conservative··on Covid-19 lab leak: Did the media fall victim to a misinformation campaign?
From TFA:

   A leader in this campaign has been Peter Daszak, president of EcoHealth Alliance, a non-profit organisation given millions of dollars in grants by the US federal government to research viruses for pandemic preparedness.1 Over the years EcoHealth Alliance has subcontracted out its federally supported research to various scientists and groups, including around $600 000 (£434 000; €504 000) to the Wuhan Institute of Virology.

   Daszak’s behind-the-scenes role in orchestrating the statement in the Lancet came to light in November 2020 in emails obtained through freedom of information requests by the watchdog group US Right To Know.

   "Please note that this statement will not have EcoHealth Alliance logo on it and will not be identifiable as coming from any one organization or person,” wrote Daszak in a February email, while sending around a draft of the statement for signatories. In another email, Daszak considered removing his name from the statement “so it has some distance from us and therefore doesn’t work in a counterproductive way.”
It appears that there was some behind the scenes manipulation going on by Daszak
a_conservative··on China urges its people to struggle. Some say no
If anyone is unsure of the truth of the parent post (like I was), I built a simple simulator in Python to test it for myself [0]

    boys = 100000           girls 99350
    boys = 100000           girls 100333
    boys = 100000           girls 101195
[0] https://pastebin.com/Et5CU3n0
a_conservative··on Trump announces lawsuits aimed at social media companies alleging censorship
I'm interested in your high level of confidence. Not only will Trump lose, but it's embarrassing to lawyers as a whole? That's quite a statement.

Wouldn't it make more sense to wait until evidence and the case in general has been presented before making statements like this?

Personally, the "conspiracy theory" I've heard is that members of the US government were sending messages directly to Twitter's staff requesting censorship of specific posts. It seems reasonable for the courts to get involved if a private entity is censoring on behalf of government agents personally, but I'm not a lawyer.

a_conservative··on Instant water cleaning method ‘millions of times’ better: study
Chlorine in the water provides disinfection all throughout the pool, this is very desirable when you have a pool. Imagine you see someone's bandage floating next to you in the water! Do you want to wait for the water to be pulled through the filtration system to get cleaned up? It typically takes a pool pump many hours to bring the full volume of the pool through the filtration system.

By having the disinfection agent spread through the pool, any bacteria or other contaminant will be acted on immediately. Algae is another big problem in many pools. Oftentimes there is some corner of the pool (or ladder, etc) that will harbor a little bit of algae that is waiting to take over the rest of the pool. Having chlorine dispersed through the water is very effective at preventing algae. Also, shocking the pool water with high levels of chlorine is oftentimes needed to keep the algae under control.

The common approach for making a pool need less daily maintenance is to get a salt water chlorine generator. A small amount of chlorine is generated by running an electrical current through electrodes. The electrodes need to be replaced every so often. Liquid chlorine is generally considered to be cheaper, but requires a lot of diligence because the chlorine dissipates pretty quickly.

I've seen hot tubs that use ozone for disinfection but not pools. I'm not sure what makes it a reasonable choice for hot tubs but not pools. Ozone would disperse through the water like chlorine, but it dissipates even more quickly.

One more interesting tidbit I picked up alone the way: the chlorine smell in a pool is not from the free chlorine. Free chlorine is what's available for disinfection. After a free chlorine molecule bonds to it's target, it's called combined chlorine. Combined chlorine is what is responsible for the nasty smell in pools. The solution for combined chlorine is to add dd more free chlorine!

a_conservative··on YouTube reinstates Right Wing Watch
Thanks for the response, I'm not making that argument. Platforms are legally within their rights to censor posts they don't like. My point is that this comes with a cost.

If we sit a team down to discuss the architecture of a software application or how to solve a problem in a general, is it better to get all opinions or for some opinions to be forbidden?

I believe the answer is it depends. If someone is being destructive to general collaboration, then censoring them would likely help the group reach a better decision.

If the censorship goes further and prohibits certain ideas, what is the cost? If it's a bad idea, probably not too much. What if it's a good idea? What if it's an idea that would have halved the effort for this particular solution? The cost of censorship starts to increase!

How do you know the value of an opinion that you don't hear? Silencing dissent is a component of group think. I found this example which shouldn't be controversial:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groupthink#Sports

a_conservative··on YouTube reinstates Right Wing Watch
You keep making assumptions about me. You don't know me. I made no such statements about the first amendment.

However you justify censorship, it still has a cost. Legalistic arguments about the first amendment and who it restrains doesn't change the fact that the free exchange of ideas has value and that is being taken away from us. Note that I'm not specifying who is doing the censoring in any of my arguments. Censorship has a cost all on it's own.

a_conservative··on YouTube reinstates Right Wing Watch
The free exchange of ideas can be curtailed by other powerful entities other than government. This is still a problem for society.

For example, look at how the lab-leak hypothesis for covid was censored. There were many good questions being raised that were shot down as a "conspiracy theory", and were censored.

This is a net negative for everyone.

a_conservative··on YouTube reinstates Right Wing Watch
"Without Freedom of Thought, there can be no such thing as Wisdom; and no such thing as public liberty, without Freedom of Speech." Benjamin Franklin

Bringing up the first amendment is a way to emphasize the importance of the free exchange of ideas. It only legally restrains the government, but now other powers have gained the ability to regulate speech. The principle is the same no matter who the censor is.

a_conservative··on YouTube permanently bans Right Wing Watch
wouldn't the target of the conspiracy theory have to be in power somehow? What differentiates between false beliefs and a conspiracy theory?
a_conservative··on YouTube permanently bans Right Wing Watch
> Conspiracy theories are the bane of any society. Can you provide some examples of this? I'm having a hard time understanding how or why conspiracy theories are so problematic.

Have they always been problematic? I would love to hear some historical conspiracy theories and their deleterious effects.

a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
Thanks for the response. There is a lot of truth to what you say. I've come to notice that different articles seem to be magnets for different groups of posters. So there seems to be a little bit of a echo-chamber-like-bubble around particular articles, which probably enhances these effects of everyone feeling aggrieved.
a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
> HN commenters post views from every side of these questions, and as long as they do so thoughtfully and substantively, we don't moderate them.

It's the absence of action that is the issue. There is all kinds of left wing (I'm from the US for reference) dreck on here that receives no push back nor moderation. It's very common to see very low value statements on HN that disparage Republicans. People on here have said all kinds of nasty things about Republicans and conservatives. I rarely see any push back from you against these. It's pretty common to see people assume that Republicans don't care about people and state so, like it is an obvious truth without any supporting argument. How is that thoughtful or substantive?

I think your personal biases are blinding you to just how low value much of the accepted discussion here at HN is, when it is left-leaning

a_conservative··on Half of UK university students think degree is poor value for money
EE drop out here:

An EE degree will absolutely help you pick out components for a circuit.

Computers and digital logic lend themselves towards a sense of everything being deterministic and understandable.

Analog electronics, radio waves, radio wave propagation- I've heard all of those described by EE's (with degrees) as essentially black magic. It isn't black magic obviously, but I think much of those issues end up driving people to experiment with physically building things instead of relying solely on paper. This is just my impression. I think antenna simulation has gotten better recently for example.

Another weird thing about EE, that seems to break what many (including me) expect it to be.. it feels like assumptions and approximations layered on top of one another. Take a simple diode. It has a certain current/voltage curve, but what I was taught about designing with them, is that generally you would use an approximation of the curve. Not the actual curve. Oftentimes, in lab, we would treat the voltage drop across a diode as being independent of current, which is absolutely false! But that is the way that EEs think of diodes, because it works! It's a game of learning what assumptions can be made to simplify analysis.

You might want to try this for learning about electronics: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Art_of_Electronics

another good example of how EE's reduce more complicated circuits down to simpler approximations: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Th%C3%A9venin%27s_theorem

a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
Thank you for taking the time to write that out dang.
a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
it seems like you need to study ideological boilerplate and then constrain your opinions to what is acceptable here at hn.

I wonder if dang could point us to a reference of ideological boilerplate to be avoided, or if its just supposed to be something "we should know."

a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
You are getting close to criticizing posters for "wrongthink"

dressing it up under the term "boilerplate ideological rhetoric" doesn't change anything.

a_conservative··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Why are you responding to random commenters on HN as if they are the ones getting ready to go out and start writing the official policy of a country?

Discussion is good. It's ok for people to be wrong and disagree. I'm not even saying they are wrong, but if they were- do you really need to go around telling everyone that some opinion that crossed their mind over a cup of morning coffee would be a disaster if implemented as national policy?

a_conservative··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
> The problem is not my mindset, but your understanding of the subject material.

IMO, that is inflammatory and arrogant.

More broadly speaking, much of the arguments in this post seem almost political. They are dressed up in fancy language, but essentially boil down to "We can't give these peons information that they aren't smart enough to deal with"

That is an extremely arrogant position to take, even though I do believe there is some truth that knowledge can be counter-productive.

Who gets to be the gate-keeper?

a_conservative··on A backlash against gender ideology is starting in universities
Its interesting that you didn't actually tell the poster what they did wrong.
a_conservative··on There is no “us” in team
Thank you for delineating between cooperation and collaboration so clearly. Your comment and this article helped me to understand the differences between teams I've worked on.

I've moved from collaborative teams to more cooperative teams without really being able to put my finger on what the missing magic was. Collaboration is a beautiful thing and results in much more robust results, however it can seem nearly impossible to collaborate at times. This is a very rich and nuanced subject, imo.

a_conservative··on Why People Fall for Conspiracy Theories
> We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of.

> we are dominated by the relatively small number of persons...who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. It is they who pull the wires which control the public mind.”

Those quotes are from Edward Bernays, considered to be the father of public relations. He ran many big public relation campaigns in the 20th century. He is responsible for millions of people who say, think and believe that breakfast is the most important meal of the day. He helped to popularize smoking, and promoted the idea that smoking was healthy. He often would form institutions of experts to help promote his campaigns with authority.

Why are we so sure that we know what is a conspiracy theory and what is true?

Why is it so important for everyone to believe the "right thing" as told by authority figures?

Why is it so important to demonize people who believe alternative hypotheses (aka conspiracy theories)?

a_conservative··on The Raspberry Pi can boot off NVMe SSDs now
I made some flash-based appliances many years ago. There are some things you can do to reduce the number of writes. Have you tried mounting your root fs with `noatime`? Otherwise reads will generate a write to your device (to update the access time).
a_conservative··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
> I have seen 50 startups that have pitched building a shittier version of git for academics because they can't be bothered to spend time reading the internals of git and have no idea how well done it is.

I suspect git would make a fine back end for a more polished product for scientists. A github for scientists sounds very interesting.

a_conservative··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
Isn't git an implementation detail here? Git repos don't have to be publicly available. They also don't have to contain history or multiple versions at all.

I'm guessing what you really want is:

1) open formats for data

2) plain text instead of proprietary blobs

3) the ability to replicate calculations easily

4) the ability to see some sort of evolution or mistake-fixing in the project's history.

a_conservative··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
This comment really made me think, thank you for that. I agree with everything you said.

I think the danger comes from people using results that aren't (can't?) be replicated and treating them as if they were fact.

"It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."

a_conservative··on U.S. has world’s highest rate of children living in single-parent households
It isn't society making it easier for two parents to raise a child vs one parent. It's having double the number of people raising that child.

I see no way to read that as BLM supports the nuclear family. So the largest social justice movement in the US doesn't support two parent families. That seems pretty significant

a_conservative··on U.S. has world’s highest rate of children living in single-parent households
Why don't you restate the quote in your own words if you think I am misunderstanding.
a_conservative··on U.S. has world’s highest rate of children living in single-parent households
krapp, BLM explicitly states that they want to disrupt the nuclear family.

Again, why in the world would it be necessary to disrupt the nuclear family to gain greater connection to extended family and the community??

a_conservative··on U.S. has world’s highest rate of children living in single-parent households
I'm perhaps a little sensitive to this and may have overstated things. The comment in particular I was thinking of has indeed been down voted now.

I do see it in maybe a less overt way in a lot of comments on HN. There are comments in this discussion blaming a lack of social programs in the US for the problem. Things like that. There's nothing wrong with believing that, but the counter arguments don't get much visibility around here.

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