300 karma · joined August 2, 2020
And we definitely don't know the real numbers, reported tether trading volumes are total nonce, they wash traded them to the point that they report higher volumes than all the world stock/bond markets combined.
It's "backed by other assets", not backed 1:1 but "is always valued by Tether at 1 USD" and "Tether makes no representations or warranties about whether Tether Tokens that may be traded on the Site may be traded on the Site at any point in the future, if at all." all on their website.
There are, it's currently under investigation, lookup tether/bitfinex new york court case.
Tether is needed as many exchanges cannot trade in USD so need a crypto-substitute in a form of a 1:1 dollar equivalent stable coin.
Not being backed matters because it means a single company can essentially print infinite money and buy up crypto, leading to fast price increases, just like the one we are seeing right now. When you see $30000 price tag on a bitcoin you don't know what percentage of it is actually fake USDT dollars. Right now it doesn't mater as you can exchange usdt for usd 1:1, but one day the music will stop and a "bank run" will happen, which will expose a giant hole and a real price of btc, collapsing the whole scheme.
>why 1) isn't BTC tanking
My current theory is that they co-opted a lot of exchanges, if you read their website https://tether.to/ they admit that they are not backed by USD and mention "loans made by Tether to third parties" which sounds like they give exchanges billions of dollars for IOUs. So exchanges get free billion dollar loans and in turn tether can print more billions and trade it for real money on bitfinex which they own.
And almost 22 billion fake tether dollars injected into the space.
This passage on tether's website specifically:
>tether is always 100% backed by reserves which include other assets and receivables from loans made by Tether to third parties
makes it sound like if you are an exchange, you can ask for a billion dollars of tether and give back an IOU written on a napkin saying you pinky promise you owe them that billion. So tether gives out free cash to anyone who asks and in exchange can print fake money of their own and sell it on bitfinex.
>Every tether is also 1-to-1 pegged to the dollar, so 1 USD₮ is always valued by Tether at 1 USD.
So it explicitly says that it is not backed by USD, but is "valued by tether at 1 USD"
> Every tether is always 100% backed by our reserves, which include traditional currency and cash equivalents and, from time to time, may include other assets and receivables from loans
That passage probably means that they print fake dollars, then buy bitcoin with it, which rises the price of bitcoin, and allows them to claim that their reserves are "fully backed"
My guess would be that the Usdt is somewhat backed, so you can exchange some amount of it for usd and as long as no one questions any of that arbitraging it across exchanges is basically free money. Once tether gets a bank run and it becomes obvious it's not fully backed, that spread will shoot up
>Nobody in crypto wants to expose them because the value of their own holdings will plummet to zero
Gotta give it to them it's a pretty smart scheme. Print money out thin air and co-opt the whole crypto community to not question it as it'd crash everything.
I do wonder how much longer that can continue.
I am not changing topics, my point is that when you see a price of $15000 on the exchanges, what you are actually seeing is mostly btc/usdt pairs, that is, you are getting 15k usdt for a bitcoin, not USD. You can see it in e.g. https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/markets/
It is currently pegged 1:1, so you can exchange it for actual US dollars for the most part, which allows exchanges to claim that USDT=USD and they merge them all into a single thing. But there is no reason to believe USDT is actually equal to USD as they keep printing billions of them without any proof that there's any real money behind it.
Until it isn't. There is zero proof those guys are actually holding their claimed $16,866,411,506 USD in cash somewhere, considering they were kicked out of all the banks years ago