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No method today is a panacea. RAG naturally isn’t the approach you would take if you’re trying to summarize a large body of text, as in your example. That doesn’t make sense. That is not what it is for.

What it’s awesome for is asking a somewhat specific question about some thing in a book if it can be answered by reviewing a paragraph or a few across the entire book.

So to answer your question: Start by using the right tool for the job. The problem with this is: Some tools are prohibitively expensive, challenging, or very time-consuming to use.

That quote: I don’t buy it. There is plenty of incremental innovation now and more ambitious people still shoot for the stars. If AI is mediocre and doesn’t solve what humans want to solve, it won’t replace human desire for real innovation.

Ideas are cheap and plentiful, everyone has them. They will be pursued, just in greater numbers.

Short term: Odds are very low. Long term: Odds are very high.

Science is not done in TikTok videos.

I bet if we went back in time 2 years and asked Cory if “next-word-predictors” could produce anything remotely close to gpt-4, he would have the same arrogant / confident tone and say, of course not.

I think for the simple fact that our ability to predict emergent properties of complex systems is nascent at best, warrants an extreme humility when discussing these topics. We simply are terrible at predicting what will emerge.

Also this debate of his is single-dimensional. Even in the unlikely case that significant advances in LLMs were not possible, combining certain technologies / tech stacks here with LLM/LLM(s) is likely (I would say guaranteed) to result in additional surprises in emergent behaviors that will continue to look eerily similar to our intelligence and sentience. We’re unlikely to be near the local maxima.

Never worked. Project canceled.

In general I think what is so often missed on HN, which is so ironic given this is in big part a board for founders or those who aspire to be (I thought), is the challenge and effort and success of building companies and teams that execute on larger than life projects. It is incredibly hard to recruit the best talent in the world, and assemble them and make it work. The leader must be incredibly competent and believable to do that.

Got it, so no then right.

I love Carmack, but having an idea for something is infinitely easier than actually successfully executing on it, especially as incredibly successfully as SpaceX.

Hmm that website could be really interesting if it clearly didn’t try being misleading, e.g. a statement about something being in development but not yet out isn’t a promise that it will be out now. Really silly.

Also if it didn’t exclude everything that has been delivered. That long list would be interesting to see as well.

Agreed, feel bad for anyone that did that. Hopefully lessons learned on not making huge purchases based on some revolutionary future tech that isn’t fully baked yet / all problems solved for. Definitely an area I would never want to be an early adopter in.

Source? The article mentions they now have / use both.

Vaporware assumes it will never happen. Is that the case you think or is it that he was vastly over optimistic? Very likely the latter.

Can it solve some of them likely? Probably worth it then?

He delivered on them though right? Also reusable rockets didn’t exist?

What that he has talked about been vaporware?

Just curious who you think is avoiding the question? As if it’s a conspiracy? Every single leader I know that is involved with AI talks about it all the time.

Superintelligence can solve all the things we’re struggling to solve. All human diseases, Earth being destroyed, fundamental questions about the universe, etc., etc. etc., etc. Worth pursuing?

Hey modeless. Love it. Is your project open source by any chance? Would love to see it.

Amazing the effect competency has when trying to win a blank check away from others.

Or… you view it as just another perspective just like that from a human coworker where most ideas are throwaway but you take what you like and leave the rest. Understandably we all want AI to be perfect but what we have today is much more human.

Grok to me seems like an awesome name for an AI in any case, not because of some reference to a book but because of the meaning of the word. For sure beats “Bard”.

The tweet says it will answer questions others won’t. Not that it will answer every question. And it’s an early beta. So… I guess we will see. Or we can just instantly jump to conclusions and attack the person.

I agree. Though I know things like classical mechanics are emergent phenomena that I believe are many many levels up from what he has been dealing with thus far (quantum scale) as well. Given computational irreducibility and how poor we are in general at predicting/estimating phenomena in complex systems (chaos), it’s likely we’re far from “simulating” most physics at this scale anytime soon.

Bold claim against the chief engineer of the most advanced rocketry company on Earth.

I think at the same time there are 100 decisions he made that have paid off. Of course agree this one didn’t and of course hope he learned from it.

Is your argument that SpaceX has succeeded despite Elon, not in large part due to Elon?

All the uses

Tell that to the millions of individual humans that have advanced humanity in some way or another for the past tens of thousands of years, through some discovery or invention or inspiring groups of people to do something great.

Hopefully Community Notes in Twitter helps provide useful context in many cases?

Then do something about it. Or if it bothers you too much but you’re not motivated enough to do anything about it, then it’s misplaced energy.

Supplement right before bed. This stuff is so individualized/your mileage may vary so need to try and see what works for you but I used to do a basic magnesium citrate supplement and now do a triple mag blend with glycinate, malate, taurate.

I have an Oura ring and got it because I had a sense my deep sleep was terrible. I would often wake up at night and wake up with a headache in the morning as I often stay up late and often would not get enough sleep. Found that magnesium personally helped me incredibly. I now sleep through the night, feels like my sleep is much deeper, etc., and my Oura stats show likewise.

Still the other most important thing is to just go to bed on time. If I jump on my computer before bed I almost always get stuck and go to bed way too late. Hard habit to change but essential.