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alpineidyll3

789 karma · joined June 7, 2014

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alpineidyll3··on Starve the Beast: Monopoly Power and Political Corruption
A reason for telecom Monopoly not mentioned in the article is the overuse of cloud infrastructure to achieve "service locked-in" and "user commodity" business models. I think the HN community would do well to think more about whether their tech needs to feed this beast.

For example: I would love a digital assistant that lived in my home network, not on Google servers, and it's technologically quite feasible. I can even run GPT-J in my home lab and it's much better than Google assistant , but I can't buy that as a product. Google/openAI would rather I depend on communication with their servers.

We are moving towards a future where most things scarcely turn on without checking certs with a full internet, and thats not an ideal tech stack, imo.

alpineidyll3··on OpenAI Sold its Soul for $1B
The claim that OpenAI needed the money seems flimsy in light of gptj
alpineidyll3··on Johnson and Johnson’s HIV vaccine fails first efficacy trial
Tldr: part of the reason it failed to demonstrate even small effecacy was the difficulty of observing infection events. Hopefully things go better as more data comes in!
alpineidyll3··on A Compass for the Politics of Collapse
This is actually fun
alpineidyll3··on TSMC hikes chip prices up to 20% amid supply shortage
Don't forget the main advantage of mining over buying coin is to avoid all fiat associated regulations. So it's not just about slightly cheaper tokens, it's really about distributing the cost of tax evasion and money laundering.
alpineidyll3··on The big-load anti-pattern
The flip side is that sometimes unnecessary optimizations can slow progress towards the actual goal, especially if the data transformations are sophisticated math.
alpineidyll3··on NIST’s Quantum Crystal Could Be a New Dark Matter Sensor
So true.
alpineidyll3··on Correlating financial time series with micro-blogging activity (2012) [pdf]
When evaluating trading systems looking at returns over time is meaningless because of the large fat tailed variance of financial price series. Instead if you want to quantify anything in a rigorous way you need to think about units of information and tests of null hypotheses...
alpineidyll3··on Entire German bond yield curve back in sub-zero territory
For all the high class jargon, interest rates are nothing but a game of hot potato, with the potato being bad credit to low growth corps. If people stopped pretending this is 4d chess, and call it like it is, maybe someday it could be fixed.
alpineidyll3··on 'Havana syndrome'-like mystery illness affects Vienna US diplomats
Why the hell aren't they just shielding the embassies against microwave radiation already? If I was a diplomat I would be walking around with a tinfoil hat and underwear, and I'd be quite furious about the lack of defense.
alpineidyll3··on Prison Memoirs of a Japanese Woman (1926)
Wow. What a dream of a woman. Thx for posting.
alpineidyll3··on Sub-zero water splitting marks a new dawn for solar hydrogen production
I think you should look at plots of CO2 emissions over time. Life is very efficient at exploiting resources in an exponential fashion, when they become available.
alpineidyll3··on Sub-zero water splitting marks a new dawn for solar hydrogen production
Just as burning fossil fuels cause dangerous reconfiguration of earth's atmosphere, I think that the idea of a hydrogen economy requires careful thought. Hydrogen shares with helium a unique property, that it is at escape velocity at the temperatures of the upper atmosphere. It seems unfathomable now, but if we converted all earths water into hydrogen and oxygen without containment, the planet would become a dead rust ball. It's not that these technologies should not be pursued, merely that adopting any technology on a planetary scale, should require some incredibly serious consideration.
alpineidyll3··on Top U.S. Officials Consulted with BlackRock as Markets Melted Down
Essentially yes. A million million is a trillion btw lol.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

alpineidyll3··on Top U.S. Officials Consulted with BlackRock as Markets Melted Down
Actually, there was no reason whatsoever for the asset purchases of bonds that were placed to stabilize the market to be made in the form of Black Rock Products. Its not nefarious, in the, business as usual sense that all federal economic intervention chiefly benefits the Uber Uber wealthy. The last time I calculated, the bonds purchased that ended up on the fed balance sheet worked out to >14x the payments made to individuals. It is not surprising that if one goes to Black Rock to learn how to stabilize markets, Black Rock says buy our stuff. It is however ridiculous people are naive to the relative flows of capital. I can't stop hearing about funemployment, and just thinking about how fun my job is at the hedge fund lol.
alpineidyll3··on Regularization is all you need: simple neural nets can excel on tabular data
Anyone who finds this paper interesting should read: "self attention between datapoints" Which shows non-parametric transformers often beat GBDTs on tabular data.

:https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https:/...

alpineidyll3··on Michael Burry warns the 'mother of all crashes' is coming
Investment personalities predicting crashes is a classic PR move, because if the predicted crash doesn't occur, there's no penalty. If it does, the person receives universal permanent adulation.

Ultimately, this nonsense preys on the public's misunderstanding about how markets work, and that all financial positions are bets, which express a measure of certainty in an uncertain outcome.

alpineidyll3··on Starbucks Waiting Time and Lean Operations (2010)
Anyone who orders anything besides a coffee at Starbucks is evil in my book.
alpineidyll3··on San Francisco’s Progressive Nightmare
Ideology is strong exactly because it is no longer experienced as ideology… we feel free because we lack the very language to articulate our unfreedom....

Please don't post ideology to HN. It's about tech.

alpineidyll3··on I built my own analog drum machine (2020)
"Lady's in trouble with the law" is a classic track. I love this guy.
alpineidyll3··on The Apple M1 compiles Linux 30% faster than my Intel i9
Imagine if the processor wasn't proprietary how much faster it could be
alpineidyll3··on A Death in Cryptoland: The Story of Gerald Cotten and QuadrigaCX
I wonder what his new face looks like
alpineidyll3··on SEC Charges S&P Dow Jones for Failures Relating to Volatility-Related Index
Omg. You obviously have never traded a VIX future. There are not infinite counter parties.
alpineidyll3··on PsiQuantum to Build the World’s First Full-Scale Quantum Computer
Such nonsense hype they didn't even bother to offer any case for how they surmounted the 40 different technical revolutions needed to achieve actual error correction.
alpineidyll3··on Is There a Case for Legalizing Heroin?
I agree you're onto something. There must be some reason society loves the war on drugs. I've always felt it was a tribal ritual of control and denial. Similar to food prohibitions that exist in many religions (kosher food, haram
alpineidyll3··on Is There a Case for Legalizing Heroin?
Flip that. What's the social value of criminalizing any drug consumption?

Profit and advertisement of these products should be banned, and the state should provide addicts with clean supplies at-cost to out compete criminal enterprises.

The amount of violence this would avoid in the Americas is staggering, and clearly desirable.

alpineidyll3··on Could Covid lead to a lifetime of autoimmune disease?
I'll get down voted into oblivion for this, but at this point anyone's covid concerns are about as worrysome as the sun going red giant. Covid is endemic now. It's going to be. To endlessly ponder it is not more useful than pondering the impact of any of the other several hundreds endemic virii thought to cause autoimmune diseases (Epstein Barr virus, etc) It's a topic of academic interest, not something you can do anything about besides getting vaccinated.
alpineidyll3··on Pressure-induced high-temperature superconductivity retained at ambient
You must have never submitted a paper for peer review :P The incentive is to make the paper seem as important as possible, the hope it could work is impact, they would never admit such experiments.
alpineidyll3··on Pressure-induced high-temperature superconductivity retained at ambient
The patents alone would have been worth a fortune beyond imagination.
alpineidyll3··on Pressure-induced high-temperature superconductivity retained at ambient
Note this is about phase metastability, and not RT, 1ATM high Tc. They don't claim that in the actual article, just that phases like high Tc phases survive at 1ATM. There is __no way in hell__ that they would have published this, if they hadn't already tried the viable RTS phases, and they didn't work. It would have been literally giving away a Nobel prize to any other group which could race to do it first.
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