alun

Sounds like it did

It's interesting how Anthropic haven't shipped their own IDE for more vertical integration.

All it would take is implementing their own forked version of VSCode (like Cursor did) and making Claude the default choice.

Obviously I'm simplifying here, but they definitely have the capability to do it.

A lot of people become "stuck in their ways" as they get older. Marc saying this about introspection might be an example of it starting to happen to him. By definition, "being stuck in your own ways" is having a lack of introspection.

It feels like these weight-loss drugs distract from the underlying issue which is that obesity is mostly caused by an unhealthy lifestyle.

It amazes me that we live in a world where people need an injection just to appear healthy. Most of the benefits of fitness come from the process itself (going to the gym, doing cardio, eating high quality food, getting enough sleep, being in a routine, etc.)

Yeah I think where we fundamentally disagree is what prediction markets should be optimizing for.

If the goal is to produce the most accurate forecast possible, then informed traders (especially asymmetrically informed traders) are a feature of the system, not a bug. The market is a system for discovering the truth, and it generally rewards whoever brings that truth to the table first.

If the goal is to create a fair playing field where the crowd collectively arrives at an answer, then yeah someone with private information becomes problematic.

But I'd argue that's optimizing for fairness at the cost of accuracy, and accuracy is much more important.

The actual economic theory behind prediction markets (if you read Robin Hanson's work, efficient market hypothesis, etc.) is that these markets work precisely because informed traders bring private information into the price. That's literally the core mechanism that underpins them.

Yes prediction markets represent "wisdom of crowd", and they do this by rewarding people who contribute correct information. So informed traders are the ones making the system work, and they're putting actual money on the line to back up their claim. Without them you're just left with uninformed guesses, which isn't really "wisdom of crowds", it's noise.

This may be an unpopular opinion, but calling it insider trading misses the entire point of what prediction markets are built for.

The goal of a prediction market is to be able to forecast the future as accurately as possible. Restricting informed traders weakens the mechanism that makes them useful.

Money signals how strongly someone believes something will happen.

Oatmeal has become my favorite breakfast by far. It's delicious and never seems to never give me the "crash" that people describe with other carbs (probably due to it's low GI). Very easy to blend them into my protein shakes after a morning workout too.

This is a good example of why companies that have IAM figured out (Amazon, Google, etc.) might do well as AI becomes more embedded into our daily lives.

Yup, it becomes a race to the bottom. And honestly that's a good thing, everyone hates paying for all of these subscriptions.

> "You have this innovation bazooka with these models. Why would you point it at rebuilding payroll or ERP or CRM"

Most SaaS companies are just expensive wrappers on top of existing tools. For non-VC-funded companies, SaaS tools are a serious cost. If you can re-create them in-house with AI, why wouldn't you? The result is saving capital (which you can then employ to do the more innovative things), and being in control over your own data.

At least you know it's human slop and not AI slop

This is the correct answer. One of the best things about HN is the comments section. I enjoy the discussions on the non-tech topics almost as much as the tech ones because you get the same sort of skeptical / critical sentiment, (mostly) well-thought out opinions, etc. which is difficult to find elsewhere at such a large scale.

Daft Punk are very clever in the way they make their music. Their song "One More Time" is a simple three-part sample from a 70s disco song. This video is a great visualization on how it's composed. Absolutely incredible.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QwOpRh-IfI

My list:

- General knowledge: by intentionally curating the information I consume

- Chess: by practicing tactics, watching videos, and learning new openings

- Salsa: by dancing a lot

- SEO: by building a side project and trying to get it to rank well on Google

The thinness is impressive, but I'd trade some of that for a small screen size. Smart phones are massive these days and it's a pity how Apple discontinued the iPhone Mini series.

Am I the only one who noticed the gov.uk theme? Pretty brilliant!

I love this idea of local-first software, but from a business point of view there's unfortunately no current incentive to adopt it since it's nowhere near as profitable compared to SaaS. That, in my opinion, is the biggest bottleneck right now to this getting worldwide adoption

Definitely a step in the right direction for the UK, a nation that has historically been full of inventors.

One of the most important factors for ARIA’s success will be whether its leadership can protect a culture that accepts that some bets won’t pay off until after their term ends. Short-termism plagues government leadership roles, and it's exactly the kind of thing that could kill a program like this.

In other words, pick bold leaders that don't have an ego.

This is very cool. I’m curious about how it works under the hood. Specifically, how are you handling fetching the job posts and the application submissions on the official company websites? I’ve experimented with scraping in the past, but I always run into blockers that are tough to bypass. Would love to hear how you handled those challenges

You might find the essay "I, Pencil" by Leonard Read interesting. It's told from the point of view of a pencil who talks about the complexity of his own creation and all of the components involved in the process

Maybe this is an unpopular opinion, but if a search algorithm is truly designed to showcase the best content, then making it transparent shouldn't lead to manipulation

Check out Dim Sum Labs, it's a really cool hacker space in Sheung Wan. I think meet ups are every Tuesday

Developer-turned-marketer open to opportunities

Location: New York, USA

Remote: Yes

Willing to relocate: yes

Programming: Python, Node.js, SQL, React

Marketing: Push Notifications, Emails, AB Testing, Automation Jobs with Node.js and AWS

Data Science: D3.js, Python, AWS Lambda, Redash, Amplitude, Google Analytics

Résumé: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alun/

Email: alunsc@gmail.com

Github: https://github.com/41un

I had the same experience buying a charger for my razer. I created an account to buy this very specific charger from a Chinese seller and my account was immediately closed a few hours later. After constant back and forth with their customer service, they basically said that my account was permanently banned from using their service and that I wouldn't be able to use eBay ever again. I kept asking what I did wrong and they wouldn't tell me. The representative that I was speaking to even knew that I did nothing wrong and was telling me that they were sorry because it was beyond their control and that their manager was telling them not to pursue the matter any further because they themselves could get into trouble.

Fast forward about two years after the incident, I randomly remembered it and decided to ring up their customer service to see if they'd unban my account. The customer service rep unbanned with no problem and when I asked what the issue was, they told me that they sometimes ban new accounts with suspicious activity and that fresh new accounts have a very high chance of committing some sort of fraud.

While it's nice that I got unbanned after two years, I will never be using eBay ever again if I can help it. Even if they offer the cheapest price on a product, I will purposefully pay more elsewhere.

OP could add an optional online mode where you occasionally see other drivers cruising around and make it so that you'd just go through them as if they were ghosts if you tried to crash into them

The same thing happened to me. I was just trying to buy a charger for my razer and suddenly my account got permabanned. After constant back and forth with Customer Support, they told me that I won't be able to use eBay ever again and that they couldn't help me because getting my account back was above their control. I was asking what I did wrong and they couldn't even answer that either.