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aristophenes

885 karma · joined December 1, 2018

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aristophenes··on Let’s avoid talk of ‘chemical imbalance’: it’s people in distress
I think the problem is misidentified in the article. I agree that giving people the idea that they need a pill to function normally is not great. But the 'chemical imbalance' explanation itself is very helpful, and doesn't require discounting a person's experience, a dependency on medication, or a fear of being labeled as crazy.

I had severe depression as a young man, and I remember being confused about it, as when I objectively examined my life there was no reason for it. But I was drowning in despair. When depression was explained to me, with the idea of a chemical imbalance, it all clicked. It enabled me to fight back appropriately and win back my mind. Without medication. It took a few years to get back to normal but I am a much, much stronger person for it, and have never had a hint of a relapse despite actually going through difficult times since then.

Humans are, as much as we hate to admit it, fundamentally emotional thinkers. And when we have emotions we immediately conjure up logical reasons for those emotions to exist, whether they are truly justified or not. And then we tell ourselves the reasons came first, and caused the emotions. Depression can be a bad feedback loop of chemicals that color the way we see the world, and then we justify how bad we feel, making us feel worse.

This might not be the solution for everyone, but for me the trick was not to try to understand my emotional suffering, but to ignore it. I would think, "that's the depression talking, its meaningless, you will feel bad today but it doesn't matter, get on with life". It was very hard, but as I stopped feeding the beast it slowly died away. Of course there are those that truly have reasons to be depressed, but I still think, after processing what happened, the best approach is to move on.

aristophenes··on Apple, ARM, and Intel
There's Tesla as an American car company, which is arguably the most fearsome in the world right now. Kind of interesting how US manufacturing lead in several industries is tent-poled by one immigrant, Elon Musk. SpaceX doesn't just manufacture rockets, they are also now the largest satellite manufacturer in the world.

We're also really good at manufacturing houses and food. Besides cars, houses, and food actually representing a good chunk of physical things we buy, more of our spending is moving towards software/information in which we have a crazy lead.

I see it as manufacturing was displaced by an even more value adding industry. Though certainly it isn't good for our national security to be relying so much on imports for physical goods.

aristophenes··on 'Enigmatic' footprints reveal prehistoric crocodile that walked on two legs
What if the mud that preserved the prints was covered in water at the time the foot prints were made. Then the croc was just floating along with its back legs down.

I suspect some paleontologists extrapolate too much from small data points. Which is somewhat safe in their field, hows it going to be disproven?

aristophenes··on Zoom Acknowledges It Suspended Activists' Accounts at China's Request
Zoom says it is a US company, and the account it banned was a US account. Imagine if everyone did that. China doesn’t get to make their laws for our companies to enforce for us. We have our own laws. Freedom of speech would be dead otherwise.

Zoom needs to own up to being a Chinese company or stop bowing to the CCP, at least outside of China.

aristophenes··on The China tea trade was a paradox of global capitalism
Unrelated to the point of the article, but in the picture at the top look at the third woman from the left's feet. Grotesquely bound, I can't imagine the pain and what they looked like with the bindings removed. Could she walk? And her and the woman next to her are displaying their hands in a strange way, I wonder if long slender fingers were appealing?
aristophenes··on 40-60% of the unexposed produce Covid-19 antibodies due to earlier cold exposure [pdf]
Does this mean that it was much more contagious than thought, if it spreads so fast while so many already have some immunity? Also, if 1/4 of New York City has already had covid-19, then maybe there is only ~1/4 left who wouldn't have immunity. Which would imply that if all restrictions were lifted (in NYC) the "curve" of new infections would be much lower than the first one.
aristophenes··on TSMC to Build Advanced Semiconductor Factory in Arizona
Can US $12 Billion cost be right? Going to be difficult to make their money back on what will by then be an old node, with 20,000 wafers per month.
aristophenes··on Dinosaur Footprints on a Cave Ceiling
Here's a link to an article from April 2nd that actually shows a picture of the cave ceiling: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00972-y
aristophenes··on New – M6g EC2 Instances, Powered by AWS Graviton2
Keep in mind the AMD instances are using chips AMD put out almost 3 years ago. They still aren't using the new generation of Rome chips that came out a year ago, which almost doubled performance.
aristophenes··on Ten-Minute Coronavirus Test for $1
> Given the simplicity of the testing process using PCR, why does it seem like the US is moving so slowly with getting tests in peoples hands?

This has already happened in the US, with 1.5 million tests ready to ship, with emergency approval from the US government. In April they will be producing 5 million tests per week. https://ir.thermofisher.com/investors/news-and-events/news-r...

aristophenes··on Li Wenliang
As soon as he started feeling sick he booked a hotel room to keep his pregnant wife and child from getting it. Respect.
aristophenes··on Coronavirus Death Toll Rises to 805, Passing SARS
They don't have a mortality rate of 7.1%, that would imply that only 140,000 people got the flu or pneumonia. "7.1% of the deaths occurring during the week ending January 25, 2020 (week 4) were due to P&I". Of all the people that died, 7.1% of them died of flu or pneumonia, and many of them likely had other things going wrong. 10,000 people dying is a lot, but consider that tens of millions of people get sick. As opposed to tens of thousands getting sick and hundreds dying, which is a big difference in mortality.
aristophenes··on What happens to Google Maps when tectonic plates move?
I've sometimes wondered how surveyors deal with a similar, but more extreme situation. Many properties, at least in the northeastern United States, are defined by "metes and bounds". A combination of landmarks, distances, and compass bearings. Newer properties metes and bounds are often based on the older metes and bounds as an old farm is split up, and can be hundreds of years old. But magnetic North moves by dozens of miles each year, and has shifted from Russia to Canada and back, moving by hundreds of miles.

The closer you are to the poles the more inaccurate compass readings will become. Based on the alignment of old stone walls[0], they think over the last few hundred years magnetic north has drifted by around 7 degrees in the northeast US, should be worse in England. When the property description uses a bound of a road, a stream, or other landmark, then the rest is all based on compass readings and distances of up to miles, that can make a huge difference.

I believe finding that your house is on your neighbors property is solved by "adverse possession" laws (sometimes referred to as squatters rights?) where if you act like you own something, and everyone else acts the same way for long enough time, it doesn't matter what the land records say, that is your property. It's a way of cleaning up mistakes.

Oddly, since GPS values will necessarily shift as the Earth's surface moves around, I think the old metes and bounds can be more accurate over time as long as it is based on true North instead of magnetic North.

[0] http://theconversation.com/old-stone-walls-record-the-changi...

aristophenes··on The Internet of Beefs
I can't, I'm in sort a niche area where there are people you've never heard of but are heroes in my field. I think this is the greatest strength of Twitter, it's not the same few celebrities. You find the people who are doing the things you want to know about. What do you do? What do you care about? Look for the leaders in those fields, and search for keywords to find conversations and you'll find other people who have a little community around it.
aristophenes··on The Internet of Beefs
Twitter is amazing. I didn't get into it until a couple years ago, I was missing so much. Many of the most influential, intelligent, thoughtful people post what they think or are interested in. In the past, unless they were a journalist, you'd have to wait for someone to write a book, and then buy it. Now you can pick and choose from the most amazing people of the world, and actually interact with them.

I kind of can't get over that this is free and such a high percentage of the people I want to know about are on it, and I worry that it is a temporary situation before everyone gets so afraid of possible negative consequences that they stop sharing. I think it is an added bonus that important people get used to dealing with criticism, as that leads to freer society.

It's up to you to pick the right people to listen to and not get engaged in foolish flame wars. The information I've gleaned from the conversations I've seen and participated in on Twitter over the last two years have saved me a decade or two of my own personal work.

aristophenes··on Wanggongchang Explosion
Except any sound before the initial explosion would be impossible. The meteor would be traveling faster than the speed of sound, the first thing felt or heard by anyone would be the light and heat of the explosion followed by the shockwave.

When anything combustible is aerosolized and mixed with oxygen, it allows it to explode. This is how thermobaric explosives work https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermobaric_weapon see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dust_explosion

Gunpowder doesn't need oxygen, but it burns instead of exploding. If there was an initial set of fires and smaller explosions that dispersed unburned gunpowder and wood/grain dust into the sky, once it was dispersed a flash could have spread through the dust cloud and created a huge explosion as described. This theory would explain both the initial disturbances and the huge explosion at the end, but I don't see it mentioned anywhere.

aristophenes··on Suspected Campaign from Russia on Reddit
It will be interesting to see the moral gymnastics involved here, seeing as Trump and Corbyn are perceived as being on opposite ends of the political spectrum, and President Trump basically did similar things (take advantage of leaks from Russian agents). I imagine many of the same people that excoriate Trump for this will find a way for Jeremy Corbyn to be innocent, and those that condemn Corbyn will have justified Trump.

The Russians meanwhile, probably just want everyone divided and easy to manipulate. Which has been working pretty well I guess.

aristophenes··on Oil Is the New Data
It's such a blind cultural arrogance. Build a narrative of how the world works in the high-tech areas of the USA and just bring that with you everywhere.
aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
I believe the phrase is a high "Personal Risk Tolerance"
aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
Would you mind linking to that? Thanks
aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
Looks like Robinhood is now Robinhood's clearing broker: https://robinhood.com/support/articles/360001397126/whats-cl...
aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
They're both responsible, the difference is Robinhood has to settle the trade in a day, and then they have to try to collect from someone who likely doesn't have any assets to give them. And if they do, they will still likely have to take them to court. So it costs Robinhood time and money even if they get their money back, which is doubtful.
aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
Taking this line of thinking a bit further, they may have been trying to get more money from investors, and if they haven't already, now these stories are out they might not be able to. So I wouldn't be surprised if Robinhood freezes all accounts over the next week, and the SIPC gets involved.

What SIPC does: https://www.sipc.org/for-investors/what-sipc-protects And thankfully Robinhood Financial LLC of Menlo Park CA is a member: https://www.sipc.org/list-of-members/R

I would assume there is almost no one with over $500,000 using Robinhood, but if so, you better get your money out now.

aristophenes··on Robinhood Traders Discovered a Glitch That Gave Them ‘Infinite Leverage’
Yes, that this bug has existed so long after it was used and publicized is scary. If it goes on too long, Robinhood becomes insolvent because they absorb the losses but pass the winnings on to their customers.

Which leads me to believe this has already happened and Robinhood is falling apart organizationally as they realize they don't have enough money to cash everyone out. Which in turn means they need to keep it quiet or else there will be a "run on the bank".

aristophenes··on The math of media bosses who told Deadspin to ‘stick to sports’ doesn’t add up
Nothing is wrong with that. I agree, that should be all there is.
aristophenes··on The math of media bosses who told Deadspin to ‘stick to sports’ doesn’t add up
As I stated in my comment, the writers do not appear to believe that their bosses are asking them to do anything unethical, and that would certainly be a different situation justifying a different response. Definitely, writers should use ethics in deciding what to write. Do you think that writing about sports is unethical?

To steelman your argument, you may say that it would be unethical for the writers to not write about something they felt needed to be known, and I think I would agree with that. But that doesn't mean their bosses have to put it up on their site that they have decided to dedicate to sports. And it seems they are not using their freedom to, for example, expose modern day slavery, but rather to discuss music and clothing.

Finally I think these writers can do whatever they want, if they have a vision of what Deadspin is, and it doesn't agree with what management's vision is, they can push for it and quit if they don't get it. But I don't think it's necessary for this to become a moral judgment on the management that appears to just want one of their properties to be a sports site.

aristophenes··on The math of media bosses who told Deadspin to ‘stick to sports’ doesn’t add up
I am largely confused about this whole discussion. Why are we trying to figure out if the Deadspin bosses are justified in whether they want their writers to write about sports related things?

This isn't about free speech. Each one of the writers has the ability to write to their own blog, to tweet whatever they want. This is about some writers insisting that a company pays them money to write about whatever the writers want, instead of writing about what the people who are paying them want. That seems fine if the company agrees. I think some companies make that work, might even be a good idea. But if the company doesn't agree, well, I mean that's ok too, right? And the writers can quit if they don't like it (as they appear to have done), and good for them if they can achieve their vision elsewhere.

I think it would be wrong if the management was asking them to deceive people, or break laws. But presumably writing about sports is not abhorrent to any of the writers. Why all of a sudden did it become noble to tell your boss that they can't tell you what to do at work, for work related activities?

Am I a freedom fighter if I tell my boss that I'm not going to code that thing they want to get out the door next week, I have a pet project that I really like, and then me and all my other co-workers go on strike when I can't do that?

aristophenes··on Slave markets found on Instagram and other apps
I don't know why you are saying this, because all I did was say we should stop slavery. Whether or not we protect copyright or whatever, we definitely should stop slavery. Taking down a post isn't stopping slavery, it's insulating elite Westerners like myself from being aware that slavery is actually happening.

Up until today I was aware of piratebay, copyright issues, etc because it has impacted my life. I was unaware that in some places it was still accepted practice to not only enslave people but to publicly post about it. I imagine a lot of the people who work at the social media companies are similar to myself in that respect.

aristophenes··on Slave markets found on Instagram and other apps
> "What they are doing is promoting an online slave market," said Urmila Bhoola, the UN special rapporteur on contemporary forms of slavery. > "If Google, Apple, Facebook or any other companies are hosting apps like these, they have to be held accountable."

Of course we don't want social media enabling that. But the bad guys are the people who are keeping others as slaves, and the law enforcement that turn a blind eye. The solution isn't to take down the posts, but to alert law enforcement.

These governments should be urged to find and arrest the people who are doing this, otherwise it won't stop even if blocked. A single dev could mock up a replacement, "like craigslist, but for slaves".

aristophenes··on US Constitution – A Git repo with history of edits
This is cool, but I was a little disappointed to see the amendments as just commits. Should have been pull requests, with all the proposed amendments in there, with arguments about them, most of the PRs closed, only a few getting merged :)
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