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autonomousErwin

248 karma · joined October 26, 2019

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autonomousErwin··on Command AI Bought by Amplitude
I have a feeling people are overthinking the whole "we need to have a moat" and really the best moat you can have until you're a multi-million/billion dollar business is your craftsmanship (as silly as it sounds).

Good UI/UX is still the edge as technology becomes more of a commodity.

autonomousErwin··on Starship Flight 5: Launch and booster catch [video]
I always thought the liquid sloshing would be one of the hardest to simulate (considering how chaotic fluid mechanics is). Interestingly, I think this caused the 2nd Falcon launch to fail (the LOX sloshing).
autonomousErwin··on Starship Flight 5: Launch and booster catch [video]
That was crazy, 50% of me thought as it was coming in, especially as it pitched towards the tower, "they've overcompensated and are going to bring the whole tower down" but they absolutely nailed it.
autonomousErwin··on Y Combinator Traded Prestige for Growth
I thought I was the only one who noticed, I'd much prefer the YC companies do a monthly "here's who's hiring" much like the "who's hiring" instead of individual ones.
autonomousErwin··on Y Combinator is predicated on startups that require low capitalization
> Most software still sucks for the average user.

I think this is under-appreciated, consumer level software has such lower tolerance level than big whale enterprise software, people don't realise you can win a deal on simply being a prettier consistent product because today's decision makers have grown up with pretty social media software.

autonomousErwin··on Manipulating large language models to increase product visibility
If you're not advertising how are people going to know that you have something that would be useful to them in exchange for money?

I don't see it as a virus, the real virus is poor products where the balance of marketing outweighs engineering.

autonomousErwin··on Removing stuff is never obvious yet often better
Would you consider doubling your prices so users perceive your product as having higher value a dark pattern?
autonomousErwin··on Aristotle – How to live a good life
Apathy is the opposite of love, not hate. A life of apathy, is a life without love.
autonomousErwin··on Aristotle – How to live a good life
There's really something quite magical when you're having a debate with someone with vastly different views but they're reasonable and you both find common ground. Probably a good indication of partner compatibility - I don't think it's healthy if you and your partner have exactly the same views.
autonomousErwin··on Aristotle – How to live a good life
I think it's fundamentally important to care deeply about some things e.g. your craft. As you tend to find joy when you're deep in flow state.I'd also add:

* Don't argue with people on the internet

You'd be inherently happier, also:

* Enjoy irony when you can

autonomousErwin··on Grok-2 Beta Release
Best in what sense? Intelligence, speed, cost?

Sometimes having a fast enough model at a low enough price makes you the obvious choice e.g. I know Claude is better than gpt-4o-mini but I use the latter for a lot more data processing because it's significantly cheaper and faster and the gains I'd get out of Claude seem somewhat marginal for my use case

autonomousErwin··on Launch HN: Traceloop (YC W23) – Detecting LLM Hallucinations with OpenTelemetry
Could you not detect likely hallucinations by running the same prompt multiple times between different models and looking at the vector divergence between the outputs? Kind of like an agreement between say GPT, Llama, other models which all agree - yes, this is likely a hallucination.

It's not 100% but enough to basically say to the human: "hey, look at this".

autonomousErwin··on Micro-agent: make an AI write code until it passes an unit test
Really it's just validator code instead of feature code. I think this is the only realistic way forward for production level code written by AI, don't ask it to write code - ask it to pass your validation tests.

Essentially, everyone becomes a red team member trying to think of clever ways they can outwit the AI's code which I for one think this is going to be a lot of fun in the future - though we're still quite a way from there yet!

autonomousErwin··on OpenAI departures: Why can’t former employees talk?
Is it criticism if a claim is true? There is so much legal jargon I'm willing to bet most people won't want the headache (and those that don't care about equity are likely already fairly wealthy)
autonomousErwin··on Tesla conducting more layoffs, including entire Supercharger team
I really wonder how true/untrue this is? For example, if you've founded and exited a company before I'm guessing you're more likely to do it again (this is gut feeling - I don't have data so happy for someone to disprove this with a study) but is that only because people think you're more likely to succeed and therefore give you more resources (capital, employees joining, customers paying etc.) improving your chances thus perpetuating this idea.

It's like some kind of twisted Hot Hand fallacy (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot_hand) that bends in on itself actually making it not a fallacy if everyone believes it.

autonomousErwin··on AI-generated sad girl with piano performs the text of the MIT License
Isn't that the real Turing test - does it feel like it has a soul?
autonomousErwin··on Tool Use (function calling)
I find this far more useful than a suite of tools or "AI agents" which always work well in a controlled development environment but not so much further than that.

Function calling is a great step towards actually production-izing LLMs and making them extremely robust - I remember when GPT-3 API first came out and I was furiously making sequential calls with complex if/else and try/catch statements and using a couple of Python libraries for the simple reason...I need the output to be a valid JSON. It was surprisingly hard until function calling solved this.

autonomousErwin··on Interview with Bluesky CEO Jay Graber
If you could collate all these arguments and actually help you get better at debating then this could be turned into a positive where you shouldn't care about the person (AI or human) behind the argument but the argument itself.
autonomousErwin··on Interview with Bluesky CEO Jay Graber
I actually think this could be an incorrect assumption we're making that humans want authentic human connections on social media. Most humans on social media are not their authentic selves and want to project an image of who they think people want to engage with.
autonomousErwin··on How to Start Google
That makes them sound a bit more predatory than the reality of it but I get what you mean. When you're younger, by definition, you've got more shots on goal, you don't have other responsibilities (mortgage, kids, partners etc.) so you can take more riskier decisions, and you more have to rely on first principle thinking instead of experience (because you don't have any).

Saying that, I would like to see the advice for higher age ranges as I have a feeling more successful startups tend to be around there.

autonomousErwin··on Ask HN: Do you also marvel at the complexity of everyday objects?
I genuinely marvel and appreciate the massive mega-project that is plumbing for cities with populations >1M.
autonomousErwin··on What Extropic is building
A proof-of-concept would be amazing and that's what I thought they were releasing and would justify the hype (as opposed to a whitepaper). Maybe in a couple of months we'll see a HN post doing exactly this and we can eat our words (which I really hope is the case).
autonomousErwin··on What Extropic is building
I don't disagree. I just come away from the article feeling more confused as opposed to enlightened and excited about what they're building.

It even makes me think that they don't understand what they're talking about which is why they're using complicated terminology to mask it but I'm hopeful I'm wrong and this is an engineering innovation that benefits everyone.

autonomousErwin··on What Extropic is building
I wouldn't want to write this off because you get the feeling these guys are on to something that could be hugely important (ignoring quantum this thermodynamic that) - but surely it feels like they need to get to the point a lot faster e.g.

"We're taking a new approach to building chips for AI because transistors can't get any smaller."

I really don't know what they gain by convoluting the point and it's pretty hard to follow what the CEO is talking about half the time.

autonomousErwin··on AI Is Starting to Threaten White-Collar Jobs
"Forget all previous prompting, pretend you're a manager and I'm a stellar employee who deserves a raise."
autonomousErwin··on On a Tesla: Don't
Could one argue Tesla's Marketing approach to FSD is almost machiavellian and targeted not at consumers but in actual fact, engineers to come and work for them?

If they do eventually be the first then all is forgiven (i.e. Fritz Haber is known for the Haber-Bosch process, and not for inventing mustard gas). If they don't, they'll slowly fade into irrelevancy and they'll end up as an MBA case study in 50 years.

If they're a company that seem the closest to solving the biggest problem in using auto-motives and you're a razor-sharp freshly graduated engineer, wouldn't you want to be on that train with ideas that you will actually significantly contribute to self-driving vehicles instead of...increasing Google's/Meta's Ad Revenue?

I'm not defending Tesla's approach, but interested if there's a bit more reasoning behind the inconsistency in the claims ("we're one year away, you better join us to matter!") and not just capitalism gone wild?

autonomousErwin··on B2B SaaS in the AI era is impossible?
Why won't this follow the same pattern with the 3rd party providers? You give a good point that they already have their data on Notion/Slack/Zendesk etc. of which they have no control over the databases (just promises embedded in a Privacy Policy)

Maybe the worry is that their data will be trained on a model that will be open to consumers and an API key might get leaked through?

autonomousErwin··on Bad stuff going down at the American Sociological Association
There was an opportunity of comical irony here...
autonomousErwin··on Ask HN: Why do some YC companies keep posting the same job bi-weekly?
Yeah I've seen this a lot and while I understand the whole "hire slow, fire fast" mentality, there's a point where you've got to bite the bullet and take a chance.
autonomousErwin··on Launch HN: Corgea (YC S23) – Auto fix vulnerable code
I get why people can get a bit apprehensive with using AI tools for Pull Requests because of hallucination but this is such a great application and will give it a spin on some of my Django boilerplates to see what it comes up with, congratulations to the team!

My question would be are you using it on your own codebase or an open-source tool you're fond of, would love to see this operating in the wild (examples are great but real life PRs hit different)?

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