330 karma · joined November 21, 2021
As you suggest, it's good that the alumni seem to be doing fine, although Harry Enten's commentary on CNN is not as thougtful as he was on 538 podcasts.
Originating from 17th century persecution for their religous beliefs and practices. I can't speak of modern-day mistreatment of the group.
This does assume the current crisis is successfully resolved as it was for the Civil War and Great Depression/WWII.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fourth_Turning https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fourth_Turning_Is_Here
China was a growing country that clearly knew how to build infrastructure. In Wuhan, they built an entire development intended to employ 100,000 engineers (Huawei + our US company's 50). They built a subway system in a decade that's bigger than New York City's. I took the high-speed rail to Beijing and it was superb. They replaced an old, shabby international airport terminal with a new one with the widest concourse I've ever seen. They subsidized regular flights between Wuhan and San Francisco on China Southern airlines. The Hyatt Regency there was one of my favorite hotels I've ever stayed in (cheap and high quality). In a big commerical district, they had the largest screen I've ever seen that had a Blue Screen of Death :-)
Dazzling yet I'm not bullish on China due to its demographics, among many other reasons.
I think it's also doing well re: reproductive rate. I expect it to continue be a thriving place for years to come.
I was never interested in market timing, though.
I had been at Purdue when Walter Tichy built RCS. I discovered in my first job that businesses lagged the state of the art more than I ever imagined.
On the other hand, I was later at Rational who then bought ClearCase. Argh...
No comments on either of those. At least that pilot in Orlando who slammed on the brakes before we actually took off came on and said a cockpit window was open. Ok...
And for all the scorn it gets on HN, Facebook still works for some of my use cases: high school friends, low-contact relatives, obscure geography groups, the Philippines.
My old (US) company's AI expert was in Belgium for reasons but the country being on the leader board surprises me.