1,000 karma · joined May 19, 2013
The big downside of AWS: to difficult to use for many. It seems to me a new entrant which combines easy of use, embraces opensource, would have a good chance in the market.
+ Rackspace. But like many these don't come from the cloud market and still think in terms of servers mostly.
2) Longest lecture Nick Szabo, inventor of blockchains, ever gave was in the money museum in Zurich: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWuN2R2DC6c
3) Study the original source code (bitcoin version 0.0.1).
1. Every function is a tiny VM already. Every macro is a layer on top of a "compiler" to let you redesign a language. LISP gives much more power, precisely because every program is its own DSL, and all power of the language within that DSL is available. http://www.paulgraham.com/avg.html
2. In SICP they show how to build anything from LISP constructs. The elegant thing is that LISP actually only needs very few machine primitives. https://mitpress.mit.edu/sicp/full-text/book/book-Z-H-30.htm...
The most powerful constructs I've seen is a combination of these 2: Clojure/async is a macro which transforms any program to state machines. I think that kind of power gives you 20-30x advantage in business type applications. In fact I've seen C++ programmers spending a decade on discovering similar things by themselves. I strongly believe everyone should know at least a little about LISP.
Usually 1M$ will be much more valuable when going from 0 then the next 1M$. In the example it seems irrational not to sell for 1M$, if the employee doesn't have already a lot of money. But usually people are not given the choice and need a liquidity event (IPO or acquisition). If one assumes that shares could be liquid from day 1 the dynamic changes. Most likely options will have vesting.
The real issue here however, in most cases, is that there is no liquid market until very later stages. So the company might be worth 100M$ in its entirety to sell, but employees can't sell options. Also simple options might actually not be the best instrument, but it is too costly to customly define an instrument for every employee. Say an employee could be an option which maximizes wealth for 0-1M$ (1%). If the total value hits 100M$ the other owners could buy out those options cheaply, and both sides win. Having only one strike price makes the potential value curve extremely steep, making startup shares more like lottery tickets.
To consider an extreme case - Google. Page almost sold Google for 1.6M$ in 1997 Luckily he didn't. In many cases it really depends on the belief of the founders/employees/investors. For employees it seems that their problem is more that they can't sell earlier than the liquidity event, which is due to the fact that IPO's are so expensive.
With Crypto-finance there will be the potential to create a market for stock at almost no cost, which will change the game, because it allows to float stock from the earliest stages when the most wealth is created. It will be much more common for employees to exit early and for the wealth to be more widely distributed. Getting to 10-100M$ is magnitudes of order more common than the 1B$+ exits.
"To say that I was treated pretty shabbily by David Nolen on this issue almost goes without saying."
Bitcoin is volatile, but its extremely useful as money (if you live in Argentina or Zimbabwe, etc.). Descendants types will be far superior to government debt as money. Deflation basically means price-appreciation versus other assets. Inflation as its currently happening is fraudulent accounting on a unprecedented scale. The blockchain by contrast offers honest computer based accounting.