482 karma · joined September 24, 2011
I'm a strong proponent of free software, but I do see your point, that there's safety for non-technical people in a walled garden, as long as you trust the gardener.
I'm wondering if the concept of free-software and a walled garden are really that incompatible. Let's say the garden has a gate, that a user has to go through a clear process in order to allow to install non-recommended software.
This would give a similar level of protection for non-technical people, but will still be free-software, and allow technical users to install whatever they want.
One effect would be that, if the gardeners decide not to recommend some popular software, then many users would be inclined to disable the safety features, thus reducing overall safety, so there will be a penalty if the gardeners are too strict.
The problem with your original calculation, is you're assuming the rate is constant, which it may be, roughly, for day 3 through day 27, however in these campaigns there's always an uptick right before the deadline. Really, it's that uptick that you want to estimate, based on previous campaigns.
I don't think kickstarter or indigogo release this kind of data though, unfortunately.
The only way to ensure long-term survival is to develop science and technology quickly enough to solve problems (both natural and artificial) as they come up.
This includes solving problems created by past generations, who necessarily did not have access to the knowledge needed to avoid creating those problems in the first place.
It's certainly not guaranteed that we will do so fast enough.
I'm confused, why is this? From the tweet:
"Return the pack on your journey back or keep it & we'll bill you the difference"
It looks like (from info on wikipedia pages) the Xeon Phi 3100, gets about 3.3 GFLOPS/WATT, whereas the Epiphany E64G401 manages about 50 GFLOPS/WATT.
So something like 10 of these might compare to 1 xeon phi, and still be cheaper in terms of hardware, and much cheaper in terms of power consumption.
Yeah, we're on the same page.
I think the critical thing with the software/systems-analogy is that it's far easier for us to understand these technologies, and more over, the technologies generally lend them selves to reproducible experiments. You can collect 'lessons learned' and do experiments, and based on that knowledge, refactor. It's much harder in politics for the reasons you mentioned.
The whole reason we have 'free' markets is that we lack the knowledge that would be required to efficiently run a command-economy, so we let the market decide, and apply duck-tape where appropriate. Same goes with democracy: we lack the knowledge to build a benevolent dictator which maximizes its people's happiness.
So I guess democracy + duck-tape is the best we can do, for now.
I would take the idea more seriously if its something that can be rigorously demonstrated; i.e. there is no way to amend the US government without adding so many rules as to frustrate the situation even further.
That being said, any government that consists of human beings is going to have an emergent agenda of some sort or the other. It seems to me that job number one of any government would be to police it self so that that agenda is generally in the people's favor, first. I would have thought that that's really what democracy means, maybe I'm wrong.
Surely even a more libertarian government would have policies in place to fight its corruption?
I get what you're saying. If a government barely has any powers, they yes, it's not worth corrupting, but I really don't think we're headed in that direction any time soon. Surely even a medium sized-government would still be worth corrupting?
Moreover, why can't we have both? A government with smaller influence, but still freer of money-influence than today's.
It seems to me that the current political reality is that Lesig's proposals would be much easier to achieve than bringing our government's influence to a level more agreeable to a libertarian.
I would speculate that democracies like our own broadly tend coverage to the middle of extreme views. If that's the case, then we won't achieve a libertarain-sized government, unless you convince a good majority of voters. Hence, it seems clear that we should focus more on the quality of government, right now.
I really don't mind paying $200 extra for a great screen.
> 2560x1440 tablet
If that's the nexus 10 you're referring to, it's actually 2560×1600 :)
Sure, personal responsibility and all. That doesn't imply that a drug-pusher/dealer isn't an asshole.
I agree with this. It seems to be a huge hole in the entire discussion. It's not enough to cite historical data, and assert that exponential growth will continue indefinitely. I could speculate a bit about some explanations. But I'm curious if there are any good discussions out there, does anyone have some recommendations?
This is maybe simplistic, but I'm thinking progress is better served if more people can buy iGadgets, than if bank execs can spend more on luxury goods.
There are huge, positive, side effects when people buy more technology, because technology gets cheaper, which then advances economic growth.