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barry-cotter

19,630 karma · joined March 13, 2008

username with - replaced by p at iCloud
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barry-cotter··on Foundations: Why Britain Has Stagnated
The Indian Civil Service was always tiny. There were so few British in India that in 1950 when the Indian government surveyed the populace to try and see if they knew the British had left they discovered the average Indian wasn’t aware there had ever been a British Empire. The British Empire in India and the British Army in India at all but the most rarefied levels were staffed by Indians and there weren’t even that many of them.

> At the time of the partition of India and departure of the British, in 1947, the Indian Civil Service was divided between the new Dominions of India and Pakistan. The part which went to India was named the Indian Administrative Service (IAS), while the part that went to Pakistan was named the "Civil Service of Pakistan" (CSP). In 1947, there were 980 ICS officers. 468 were Europeans, 352 Hindus, 101 Muslims, two depressed classes/Scheduled Castes, five domiciled Europeans and Anglo-Indians, 25 Indian Christians, 13 Parsis, 10 Sikhs and four other communities.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_Civil_Service

barry-cotter··on Foundations: Why Britain Has Stagnated
The French are richer than the British. They have more stuff and a higher quality of life. It would be good for more British people to have more stuff and a higher quality of life. Building more housing allows both for more people to afford a (better quality of) primary residence, and for more people to have a holiday home. Those are all good. Focussing on utilisation is Green Party, NIMBY, degrowth, pro-poverty thinking. It sees a fixed pie and thinks how to distribute it instead of trying to make everything better for everyone.

More housing. A holiday home should be an utterly normal thing for a middle class family like in Finland or Spain.

barry-cotter··on Foundations: Why Britain Has Stagnated
What an ugly, impoverished view of the world. Someone sees that the UK is poorer than it would be if economic policy wasn’t a disaster and wants to publicise that so it can be improved and tens of millions of people’s lives improved and you’re looking for an “angle”.

Poverty is bad. There’s the angle.

barry-cotter··on Impact of PhD Studies on Mental Health–A Longitudinal Population Study
> … in the years preceding their PhD studies, prospective students collect psychiatric medication at a rate similar to that of a matched sample of individuals holding a master’s degree. However, following the start of PhD studies, the use of psychiatric medication among PhD students increases substantially. This upward trend continues throughout the course of PhD studies, with estimates showing a 40 percent increase by the fifth year compared to pre-PhD levels. After the fifth year, which represents the average duration of PhD studies in our sample, we observe a notable decrease in the utilization of psychiatric medication.

Emphasis not in original. Doing a PhD is extremely bad for your legal health.

barry-cotter··on Jake Seliger has died
May you be treated as a free man and not the slave you wish others to be treated as.
barry-cotter··on Jake Seliger has died
You are past of the reason the world is a worse place than it could be. Without people like you defending excessive caution as good for the PR of drug regulatory agencies millions of people who are dead would be alive, possibly tens of millions.
barry-cotter··on The Poor You Will Have with You Always, Even with UBI
Work in what sense? It doesn’t improve physical or mental health.

https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf

barry-cotter··on I'm terrified of old people
> Firstly, professional armies are recruited from the general population and are on average no better or worse than conscripts.

This isn’t true. The US and UK conscript armies of WW1 and WW2 were significantly healthier and better educated than the general population. Lots of people grew up in wretched poverty and had deficiency diseases or were malnourished or had parasites. Those people were rejected.

It is illegal for the US military to accept recruits with an ASBAB score of ten or below, roughly equivalent to IQ 83. The military is in some sense representative but it is not a random sample.

barry-cotter··on I'm terrified of old people
Doesn’t matter. If a real war starts you want a lot of men and the only reliable way is conscription. No one could have fought WW2 with a volunteer military. Ukraine aren’t relying on volunteers. Israel don’t rely on volunteers. You do the best you can with what you’ve got available.
barry-cotter··on The loneliness of the low-ranking tennis player
This seems very unlikely to me given the propensity of finance firm to hire even college athletes never mind people who got to be in the top one or 200 of their sport in the world. Anyone who is capable of pushing the work in day after day to get a good at some thing that doesn’t very well like sport is capable of putting enormous amount of work day after day to get good at something that does pay well. Most famously jocks are good at sales. Athletes are no fools. Often of the top of my head Michael Jordan has had a very successful career as an investor after the end of his sporting career. Michelle Debruin, and Irish Olympic gold medallist in swimming, went on to become a Barrister, a trial lawyer in the American parlance. The people who stay in Borsh are staying in sports because they really really love i,t not because they’re not capable of making more money in other ways.
barry-cotter··on 'Vice' Went from a $6B Media Empire to Bankruptcy
The beginning of the end came in 2017. […] The walls of Vice’s sprawling Brooklyn headquarters were lined with magazine covers charting the company’s transformation from insouciant Canadian post-punk magazine to money-printing media colossus. In early 2018, long before college students discovered that dispatching problematic statues into canals would be reliably met with institutional approval, a group of employees demanded that the covers be removed from the walls. Not a specific cover. All of them.
barry-cotter··on The Nonprofit Industrial Complex and the Corruption of the American City
If no housing is built that’s good for landlords and property owners as rents and property prices rise. If no (affordable) housing is built in an area with strong economic growth that’s good for fundraising of some charities as the problem gets worse.
barry-cotter··on Jo Boaler Is Not Unusually Bad for an Education Researcher: She's Usually Bad
> “People have raised questions for a long time about the rigor and the care in which Jo makes claims related to both her own research and others,” said Jon Star, a professor of math education at Harvard Graduate School of Education.

> But Star says many other education researchers have done exactly the same, and the “liberties” Boaler takes are common in the field. “That’s not to suggest that taking these liberties is okay,” Star said, “but she is being called out for it.”

barry-cotter··on I Was a Heretic at the New York Times
> Yes, We Mean Literally Abolish the Police

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/12/opinion/sunday/floyd-abol...

barry-cotter··on I Was a Heretic at the New York Times
Bravo, excellently done satire. The last line really took it over the top to laugh out loud territory.
barry-cotter··on I Was a Heretic at the New York Times
Unless you’re willing to say who you are your claim to be an NYT employee is worthless.
barry-cotter··on TSMC is having more luck building in Japan than in America
Americans capable of being productive at TSMC cost too much for TSMC to afford. They can get better paying jobs with better work life balance, easily. Japan has a similarly terrible work culture and is much poorer than the US, like Taiwan, so TSMC has much less cultural mismatch to deal with.
barry-cotter··on Aging Is No Blessing
> Yet attempts to increase health and lifespan have been successful in nearly every animal studied so far. In a 1993 study, changing just one gene (daf-2, a pathway humans share) in C. Elegans worms doubled their lifespan. Changing one additional gene (rsks-1) resulted in a five-fold lifespan increase—the equivalent of a 400-year-old human. In mammalian models, approaches like inhibiting mTOR activity or eliminating senescent cells often result in increased function and median survival rates.

> Technologies like genome engineering for polygenic conditions may be decades away from safety, and a long list of scientific and technological bottlenecks remain underfunded. In addition, because clinical trials for multiple disease indications are also costly, lengthy, and prone to false-fails, the effects of existing therapeutics on human aging remain largely speculative.

barry-cotter··on Handwriting but not typewriting leads to widespread brain connectivity
> Just jotting it down by hand is not the source of the benefit

This is the exact opposite of everything I have ever read singing the praises of handwritten notes.

barry-cotter··on We Are Repaganising
> There’s a very short and very brutal poem by the Scottish poet Hollie McNish, written in 2019 and titled “Conversation with an archaeologist”:

> he said they’d found a brothel on the dig he did last night I asked him how they know he sighed: a pit of babies’ bones a pit of newborn babies’ bones was how to spot a brothel

> “It’s true, you know,” said the writer and lawyer Helen Dale when we had lunch in London last year and I mentioned this poem, which I chose as one of the epigraphs to my book The Case Against the Sexual Revolution. Helen was a classicist before she was a lawyer, and as a younger woman she had taken part in archaeological excavations of ancient Roman sites. “First you find the erotic statuary,” she went on, “and then you dig a bit more and you find the male infant skeletons.” Male, of course, because the males were of no use to the keepers of Roman brothels, whereas the female infants born to prostituted women were raised into prostitution themselves.

barry-cotter··on What Happened to David Graeber?
More than ten years later this was one of the organiser’s reflection.

> think the best way to understand Graeber is as a writer of speculative nonfiction. He is often wrong on the facts, and more often willing to push them farther than they really ought to be pushed, requiring shallow foundations of evidence to bear a heavy load of very strongly asserted theoretical claims.

https://crookedtimber.org/2023/07/08/debt-4102-days-later/

barry-cotter··on What Happened to David Graeber?
> Graeber and Wengrow tend to introduce a conjecture with the requisite qualifications, which then fall away, like scaffolding once a building has been erected. Discussing the Mesopotamian settlement of Uruk, they caution that anything said about its governance is speculation—we can only say that it didn’t have monarchy. The absence of a royal court is consistent with all sorts of political arrangements, including rule by a bevy of high-powered families, by a managerial or military or priestly elite, by ward bosses and shifting council heads, and so on. Yet a hundred pages later, the bifurcation fallacy takes effect—there’s either a royal boss or no bosses—and we’re assured that Uruk enjoyed “at least seven centuries of collective self-rule.” A naked “what if?” conjecture has wandered off and returned in the three-piece suit of an established fact.

> A similar latitude is indulged when we visit the Trypillia Megasites (4100–3300 BC) in the forest-steppe of Ukraine. The largest of these settlement areas, Taljanky, is spread over 1.3 square miles, archaeologists have discovered more than a thousand houses there, and Graeber and Wengrow tell us that the per-site population was, in some cases, probably well over 10,000 residents. “Why would we hesitate to dignify such a place with the name of ‘city’?” they ask. Because they see no evidence of centralized administration, they declare it to be “proof that highly egalitarian organization has been possible on an urban scale.”

> Proof? An archaeologist they draw on extensively for their account, John Chapman, indicates that the headcount Graeber and Wengrow invoke is based on a discredited “maximalist model.” Those thousand houses, he suspects, weren’t occupied at the same time. Drawing from at least nine lines of independent evidence, he concludes that these settlements weren’t anything like cities. In fact, he thinks a place like Taljanky may have been less a town than a festival site—less Birmingham than Burning Man.

> A reader who does the armchair archaeology of digging through the endnotes will repeatedly encounter this sort of discordance between what the book says and what its sources say. Was Mohenjo Daro—a settlement, dating to around 2600 BC, on one side of the Indus River in Pakistan’s Sindh province—free of hierarchy and administration? “Over time, experts have largely come to agree that there’s no evidence for priest-kings, warrior nobility, or anything like what we would recognize as a ‘state’ in the urban civilization of the Indus valley,” Graeber and Wengrow write, and they cite research by the archaeologist Jonathan Mark Kenoyer. But Kenoyer has concluded that Mohenjo Daro was likely governed as a city-state; he notes, for instance, that seals with a unicorn motif are found throughout Indus settlements and infers that they may have been used by officials “who were responsible to reinforce the economic, political and ideological aspects of the Indus ruling elite.” Why should we hesitate to dignify (or denigrate) such a place with the name “state”? Then there’s Mashkan-shapir in Iraq, which flourished four thousand years ago. “Intensive archaeological survey,” we’re told, “revealed a strikingly even distribution of wealth” and “no obvious center of commercial or political power.” Here they’re summarizing an article by the archaeologists who excavated the site—an article that actually refers to disparities of household wealth and a “walled-off enclosure in the west, which we believe was an administrative center,” and, the archaeologists think, may have had an administrative function similar to that of palaces elsewhere. The article says that Mashkan-shapir’s commercial and administrative centers were separate; when Graeber and Wengrow present this as the claim that it may have lacked any commercial or political center, it’s as if a hairbrush has been tugged through tangled evidence to make it align with their thesis. They spend much time on Çatalhöyük, an ancient Anatolian city, or proto-city, that was first settled around nine thousand years ago. They claim that the archaeological record yields no evidence that the place had any central authority but ample evidence that the role of women was recognized and honored. The fact that more figurines have been found representing women than men signals, they venture, “a new awareness of women’s status, which was surely based on their concrete achievements in binding together these new forms of society.” What they don’t say is that the vast majority of the figurines are of animals, including sheep, cattle, and pigs; it’s possible to be less sanguine, then, about whether female figurines establish female empowerment. You may still find yourself persuaded that a preponderance of nude women among depictions of gendered human bodies is, as Graeber and Wengrow think, evidence for a gynocentric society. Just be prepared to be flexible: when they discuss the Bronze Age culture of Minoan Crete, the fact that only males are depicted in the nude will be taken as evidence for a gynocentric society. Then there’s the fact that 95 percent of Çatalhöyük hasn’t even been excavated; any sweeping claim about its social structure is bound to be a hostage to the fortunes of the dig.

> And so it goes, as we hopscotch our way around the planet. If, a generation ago, an art historian proposed that Teotihuacan was a “utopian experiment in urban life,” we will not hear much about the murals mulled over and arguments advanced by all the archaeologists who have since drawn rather different conclusions. The vista we’re offered is exhilarating, but as evidence it gains clarity through filtration. Two half-truths, alas, do not make a truth, and neither do a thousand.

https://archive.is/ATyH2 https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2021/12/16/david-graeber-di...

barry-cotter··on Advice to young people, the lies I tell myself
Get the help you need.
barry-cotter··on Fired comedian ordered to get day job back after jokes ruled 'simply funny'
If you refuse to answer your employer must by law give their best guess.
barry-cotter··on Math Team and Other Horrible Things You Do to Get into Stanford
> The problem with doing something pointless for accolades is that you have to do so much of it, for so much longer than you expect. Time flattens out like a square stretched in both dimensions. First it feels like it's taking forever subjectively, because it's so damn boring, then it also drags out objectively because you are doing it so ineffectively, because it's so damn boring.
barry-cotter··on The Journalist and the Murderer
> Every journalist who is not too stupid or too full of himself to notice what is going on knows that what he does is morally indefensible. He is a kind of confidence man, preying on people’s vanity, ignorance, or loneliness, gaining their trust and betraying them without remorse. Like the credulous widow who wakes up one day to find the charming young man and all her savings gone, so the consenting subject of a piece of nonfiction writing learns—when the article or book appears—his hard lesson. Journalists justify their treachery in various ways according to their temperaments. The more pompous talk about freedom of speech and “the public’s right to know”; the least talented talk about Art; the seemliest murmur about earning a living.
barry-cotter··on In continued defense of effective altruism
> Still not impressed? Recently, in the US alone, effective altruists have:

> ended all gun violence, including mass shootings and police shootings cured AIDS and melanoma prevented a 9-11 scale terrorist attack Okay. Fine. EA hasn’t, technically, done any of these things.

> But it has saved the same number of lives that doing all those things would have.

> About 20,000 Americans die yearly of gun violence, 8,000 of melanoma, 13,000 from AIDS, and 3,000 people in 9/11. So doing all of these things would save 44,000 lives per year. That matches the ~50,000 lives that effective altruist charities save yearly18.

> People aren’t acting like EA has ended gun violence and cured AIDS and so on. all those things. Probably this is because those are exciting popular causes in the news, and saving people in developing countries isn’t. Most people care so little about saving lives in developing countries that effective altruists can save 200,000 of them and people will just not notice. “Oh, all your movement ever does is cause corporate boardroom drama, and maybe other things I’m forgetting right now.”

barry-cotter··on Charlie Munger has died
It’s probably an exaggeration. He wasn’t literally living on the street. Also, his wife was still taking care of two children.
barry-cotter··on US Confidence in Higher Education Institutions Continues Long Decline
Many more people enjoy the four or five year paid holiday component than enjoy the intellectual stimulation component.

> “Research on college boredom is thin but confirms the continuity of pain. A study of British college students found 59% were bored in half or more of their lectures. Only 2% claimed to find none of their lectures boring.34”

Excerpt From The Case against Education Bryan Caplan “34. Mann and Robinson 2009, pp. 249–50.”

Boredom in the Lecture Theatre https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2009-04304-005

barry-cotter··on The world nearly adopted a calendar with 13 months of 28 days
Janus is a god, not an emperor. February is named after a purification ritual, not an emperor. March is named for Mars, a god, not an emperor. April’s etymology is unknown but we can be confident it wasn’t named after an emperor. July is named after Caesar, August after the man once known as Octavian.
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